United States Department of Agriculture National Agricultural Statistics Service November Crop Production Executive Summary Lance Honig, Chief Crops Branch November 9, 2016 12:00 P.M.
Contents Field Crops Fruit & Nuts Specialty Crops Corn Citrus Sugarbeets Soybeans Sugarcane Cotton Dry Edible Peas Rice Lentils Peanuts Austrian Winter Peas Sorghum Fall Potatoes Cottonseed USDA-NASS 11-9-16
Survey Overview Florida Citrus Objective Surveys (Size and Drop) Fruit Maturity Survey Type Field Observations Laboratory Tests Crops Included Oranges, Grapefruit All Sample Size 1,801 groves 421 samples Collection Period October 10 - 25 October 24 - 25 Testing Period October 26 - 28 USDA-NASS 11-9-16
November 2016 Crop Production % Change % Change From From Crop Unit November Previous Previous 2016 Forecast Season Production Oranges Mil Tons 5.32 +1.7 -10.0 Grapefruit Thou Tons 756 NC -5.9 Tangerines & Thou Tons 992 -0.5 +6.1 Mandarins USDA-NASS 11-9-16
Orange Production Million T ons United States 16.0 14.0 13.7 13.0 12.9 12.7 12.4 12.2 12.0 11.5 10.1 9.80 10.0 9.30 9.10 9.02 8.98 8.91 8.27 8.24 8.0 7.63 6.77 6.35 5.91 6.0 5.32 4.0 2.0 0.0 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 USDA-NASS 11-9-16
Survey Overview Ag Yield Objective Yield Survey Type Farmer Reported Field Measurement Crops Included Field Crops Corn, Cotton, Soybeans Sample Size 8,856 4,952 Oct 29 – Nov 4 Oct 25 – Nov 1 Collection Period USDA-NASS 11-9-16
November 2016 Crop Production % Change % Change From From Crop Unit November Previous Previous 2016 Forecast Season Corn Harvested Mil Ac 86.8 NC +7.5 Yield Bu/Ac 175.3 +1.1 +4.1 Production Bil Bu 15.2 +1.1 +11.9 USDA-NASS 11-9-16
Corn for Grain Production Billion Bushels United States 16.0 15.2 14.2 13.8 13.6 14.0 13.1 13.0 12.4 12.3 12.0 11.8 12.0 11.1 10.8 10.5 10.1 9.92 9.50 9.76 10.0 9.43 9.23 9.21 8.97 8.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 USDA-NASS 11-9-16
USDA-NASS 11-9-16
Corn Objective Yield Region Ears Per Acre vs. Implied Ear Weight Lbs/Ear 0.370 Aug-16 Nov-16 0.360 Sep-16 Oct-16 2004 0.350 2009 2014 0.340 2005 2007 2008 2015 2006 0.330 2010 2013 0.320 0.310 2011 0.300 0.290 0.280 0.270 2012 0.260 25,000 25,500 26,000 26,500 27,000 27,500 28,000 28,500 29,000 29,500 Ears Per Acre Implied Ear Weight = (Published Yield * 56) / Ears USDA-NASS 11-9-16
Corn Objective Yield - November Percent of Samples Processed in the Lab Year Dent Stage Mature Percent 2012 < 0.5 95 2013 < 0.5 86 2014 < 0.5 96 2015 < 0.5 96 2016 < 0.5 96 USDA-NASS 11-9-16
November 2016 Crop Production % Change % Change From From Crop Unit November Previous Previous 2016 Forecast Season Soybeans Harvested Mil Ac 83.0 NC +1.6 Yield Bu/Ac 52.5 +2.1 +9.4 Production Bil Bu 4.36 +2.2 +11.1 USDA-NASS 11-9-16
Soybean Production Billion Bushels United States 5.00 4.36 4.50 3.93 3.93 4.00 3.36 3.50 3.36 3.33 3.20 3.12 3.07 3.10 3.04 2.97 2.89 3.00 2.76 2.69 2.76 2.74 2.68 2.65 2.45 2.38 2.50 2.00 1.50 1.00 0.50 0.00 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 USDA-NASS 11-9-16
USDA-NASS 11-9-16
Soybean Objective Yield Region Pods Per 18 Square Feet vs. Implied Pod Weight Grams/Pod 0.350 0.345 0.340 Sep-16 Oct -16 0.335 0.330 Nov-16 0.325 0.320 2014 2015 2013 0.315 0.310 2012 0.305 0.300 0.295 2009 2006 0.290 0.285 2005 2007 0.280 2008 2004 0.275 2011 0.270 2010 0.265 0.260 1,400 1,450 1,500 1,550 1,600 1,650 1,700 1,750 1,800 1,850 1,900 Pods Per 18 Square Feet Implied Pod Weight = (Published Yield / Pods) /0.0889 USDA-NASS 11-9-16
Soybean Objective Yield - November Percent of Samples Processed in the Lab Year Mature Percent 2012 94 2013 73 2014 92 2015 95 2016 93 USDA-NASS 11-9-16
November 2016 Crop Production % Change % Change From From Crop Unit October Previous Previous 2016 Forecast Season All Cotton Harvested Mil Ac 9.66 NC +19.6 Yield Lb/Ac 803 +0.8 +4.8 Production Mil Bls 16.2 +0.8 +25.4 USDA-NASS 11-9-16
All Cotton Production Million Bales United States 30.0 25.0 23.9 23.3 21.6 20.3 20.0 19.2 18.9 18.8 18.3 18.1 17.3 17.2 17.2 17.0 16.3 16.2 15.6 15.0 13.9 12.9 12.9 12.8 12.2 10.0 5.0 0.0 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 USDA-NASS 11-9-16
USDA-NASS 11-9-16
November 2016 Crop Production % Change % Change From From Crop Unit November Previous Previous 2016 Forecast Season Rice Harvested Mil Ac 3.13 NC +21.7 Yield Lbs/Ac 7,493 -0.5 +0.3 Production Mil Cwt 235 -0.5 +22.1 USDA-NASS 11-9-16
November 2016 Crop Production % Change % Change From From Crop Unit November Previous Previous 2016 Forecast Season Peanuts Harvested Mil Ac 1.59 NC +1.7 Yield Lbs/Ac 3,934 -1.1 +2.3 Production Bil Lbs 6.24 -1.1 +4.0 USDA-NASS 11-9-16
November 2016 Crop Production % Change % Change From From Crop Unit November Previous Previous 2016 Forecast Season Sorghum Harvested Mil Ac 6.05 NC -23.0 Yield Bu/Ac 76.5 -0.9 +0.7 Production Mil Bu 462 -1.0 -22.6 USDA-NASS 11-9-16
November 2016 Crop Production % Change % Change From From Crop Unit November Previous Previous 2016 Forecast Season Production Sugarcane Mil Tons 33.5 -0.7 +3.9 Sugarbeets Mil Tons 36.6 +0.9 +3.5 USDA-NASS 11-9-16
November 2016 Crop Production % Change % Change From From Crop Unit November Previous Previous 2016 Forecast Year Production Cottonseed Mil Tons 5.16 +1.0 +27.6 Fall Potatoes Mil Cwt 405 NA +0.1 USDA-NASS 11-9-16
November 2016 Crop Production % Change % Change From From Crop Unit November Previous Previous 2016 Forecast Season Production A. Winter Peas Thou Cwt 444 NA +70.8 Dry Edible Peas Mil Cwt 27.1 NA +48.1 Lentils Mil Cwt 12.4 NA +135.7 USDA-NASS 11-9-16
Upcoming Reports Release Date Report Title November 17 Farm Labor November 18 Cattle on Feed November 30 Agricultural Prices CAIR: Cotton December 1 CAIR: Oilseed Crushing CAIR: Fats & Oils December 9 Crop Production USDA-NASS 11-9-16
United States Department of Agriculture National Agricultural Statistics Service All Reports Available At www.nass.usda.gov For Questions 202-720-2127 800-727-9540 nass@nass.usda.gov
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