Narrative on Data Analysis and Root Cause Identification Jeffco - PDF document

Narrative on Data Analysis and Root Cause Identification Jeffco Public Schools is the second largest school district in Colorado with nearly 84,000 PK- 12 students and approximately 15,000 employees. With approximately 155 schools and programs on 168 campuses and you will see a staff dedicated to building a bright future for every student. District staff is supported by a committed school board, involved parents, and a caring community that combine to provide quality education to prepare all children for a successful future. Charts 1 and 2 below show Jeffco’s student demographics for free/reduced lunch eligible students and ethnicity. For the past five years, trends in these populations have been relatively stable at about one-third of the student population overall. Chart 1: Jeffco Public Schools Free/Reduced Lunch Eligible K-12 Student Enrollment Trends 18/19 Chart 2: Jeffco Public Schools Minority K-12 Student Enrollment Trends 18/19 Source: Colorado Department of Education http://www2.cde.state.co.us/schoolview/dish/dashboard.asp 1

Chart 3 below shows a fairly stable trend for the district’s overall attendance rate. Note that the substantial decrease in the district’s 2017-18 mobility is due to a new CDE calculation that does not include mobility changes prior to October 1. Chart 3: Jeffco Public Schools Attendance and Mobility Rate Trends Source: Colorado Department of Education http://www2.cde.state.co.us/schoolview/dish/dashboard.asp Note: CDE’s Mobility Rate calculation changed in 2017-18, so trending is not comparable from 2016-17 and earlier. Chart 4 below shows the overall percentage of identified G/T students by subgroup. In 2019, the overall percentage of identified G/T students decreased by about one percentage point compared to 2016. The percentage of G/T identified Free/Reduced Lunch (FRL) and ELL students showed similar declines over the past three years. In contrast, the percentage of G/T identified Twice Exceptional (both IEP/504) has continually increased compared to 2016. Chart 4: Advanced Learning Plan (ALP) Demographic Three Year Trend ALP Demographic Four Year Trend 20% 18% 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% All Students Male Female FRL ELL IEP/504 and GT % of Demographic Group with an ALP 2016 2017 2018 2019 2

Jeffco 2019 DUIP Targets The tables on the following pages review results from the targets set on the district’s UIP from last year. Performance Indicator: Academic Achievement CMAS Grades 3 ELA & READ Act 2018-19 Targets Performance ● From 47 % to 46% Goal not me t 2019 CMAS Grade 3 ELA: ● Increase overall met/exceeded from 47% to 49% ● 29% (2017-2018) to 30% (2018-2019) Goal not ● Decrease did not yet meet/partially met from 29% me t to 27% READ Act: Reduce the percentage of students who have been 12% of K-3 students have been identified with an identified with a significant reading deficiency SRD as of Spring 2019. Goal not me t (SRD) from 11% in 2018 to 9% in 2019. 48% of all K-3 students stayed well-below Decrease the percent of K-3 students from 49% to benchmark (red composite) from the beginning of 47% who began the year “well below” on the the year to the end of the year on DIBELS Next. DIBELS Next early reading assessment and continued to be “well below” at the end of the year Improvement but goal not met K = 28% 1 = 48% 2 = 63% 3 = 60% CMAS Grade 7 Math 2018-19 Targets Performance ● Overall: Stayed the same 39% to 39% 2019 CMAS Grade 7 Math: ● Increase overall met/exceeded from 39% to 41% Goal not me t 3

Performance Indicator: Academic Growth CMAS Grade 4 ELA 2018-19 Targets Performance ● All Students: Increased from 51 st to 53 rd 2019 CMAS Grade 4 ELA: Median Growth Percentile Grade 4 Increase to 50 th Median Growth Percentile (if below) Assessment for the following student groups: or maintain MGP (if at/above 50 th ) for 2019 CMAS Goal met Grade 4 ELA assessment for the following student ● Males: Increased from 42 nd to 49 th percentile groups: Improvement but goal not met ● All Students: Maintain or increase 51 st ● Hispanic increased from 44 th percentile to 46 th ● Males: increase from 42 nd Improvement but goal not met ● Hispanic (largest minority group): Increase from ● Students with disabilities: Stayed the same 44 th from 37 th percentile to 37 th Goal not met ● Students with disabilities: increase from 37 th ● LEP: From 44 th percentile to 48 th percentile percentile Improvement but goal not met ● Limited English Proficient (LEP) (largest English ● Gifted/Talented exceeded state at 64 th Learner group): 44 th ● Gifted/Talented (G/T) (any identified strength area): percentile Goal met 63 rd percentile to exceed state performance ● Free/Reduced: Increased from 42 nd percentile ● Free/Reduced Lunch: increase from 42 nd to 45 th Improvement but goal not met CMAS Grade 7 Math 2018-19 Targets Performance 2019 CMAS Grade 7 Math: ● All Students: Decrease from 49 th to 46 th Increase to 50 th Median Growth Percentile (if percentile Goal not met below) or maintain MGP (if at/above 50 th ) for 2019 ● Hispanic: increase from 41 st to 42 nd CMAS Grade 7 Math assessment for the following percentile Improvement but goal not met student groups: ● All Students: Increase from 49 th ● IEP: Increased from 43 rd percentile to 44 th ● Hispanic (largest minority group): increase from Improvement but goal not met 41 st percentile ● LEP: Increase from 36 th percentile to 48 th ● IEP (Special Education): increase from 43 rd Improvement but goal not met percentile ● Gifted/Talented - Decreased to 50 th ● Limited English Proficient (LEP) (largest English percentile, did not exceed state at 55 th Learner group): increase from 36 th percentile percentile Goal not met ● Gifted/Talented (G/T) (any identified strength ● Free/Reduced Lunch: Decrease from 42 nd area): 55 th percentile to exceed state performance ● Free/Reduced Lunch: increase from 42 nd percentile to 40 th Goal not met 4

Performance Indicator: Postsecondary & Workforce Readiness 2018-19 Targets Performance ● Increase overall 2019 Colorado SAT mean scale • Decreased overall 2019 Colorado SAT mean score for: scale score for: o EBRW* from 533 to 537 EBRW* from 533 to 526 Goal not met o o Math from 523 to 527 ● Increase to 50 th Median Growth Percentile (if Math from 523 to 522 Goal not met o below) or maintain MGP (if at/above 50 th ) for the 2019 PSAT to SAT Median Growth Percentile (MGP) for: • Overall: from 55 th /Math stayed the same at 53 rd o Overall EBRW* 55 th /Math 53 rd Goal met (maintained 50 th ) Data for EBRW not reported due to CDE change in high school o Free/Reduced Lunch: EBRW* increase growth calculation from 46 th /Math increase from 47 th • Free/Reduced Lunch: ERBW: Data not o Minority (non-white): EBRW* increase reported due to CDE change in high school from 49 th /Math 50 th percentile growth calculation • o Students with Disabilities: EBRW* increase Minority (non-white): Data not reported due to from 38 th /Math increase from 33 rd CDE change in high school growth calculation • Students with Disabilities: Data not reported due to CDE change in high school growth * EBRW = Evidenced-based Reading and Writing calculation ● Based on CDHE’s Annual Report on • Based on CDHE reporting, the district Concurrent Enrollment, Jeffco will increase the increased from 8% to 10% for percentage of concurrently enrolled students concurrently enrolled students Goal met districtwide in grades 9 through 12 from 8% to 9% in 2017-18. ● Based on CDE reporting in the District • Based on CDE reporting in the District Performance Framework, increase the Performance Framework, Jeffco decreased matriculation rate** for all students from the matriculation rate for all students from 65.3% to 64.5% Goal not met 65.3% to 67% **Reflects all 2018 high school graduates that enroll in a Career & Technical Education program, and 2- Year or 4-Year Higher Education Institution during the subsequent academic year 5