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Tab 18 n Revenues The e Future e of f Cali lifornia a Transportation Presentation to the California Transportation Commission Professor Asha Weinstein Agrawal December 5, 2018 Acknowledgements Co-authors Dr. Martin Wachs and Hannah King


  1. Tab 18 n Revenues The e Future e of f Cali lifornia a Transportation Presentation to the California Transportation Commission Professor Asha Weinstein Agrawal December 5, 2018

  2. Acknowledgements • Co-authors Dr. Martin Wachs and Hannah King • Funding from

  3. Study Goal & Methods Goal: project transportation revenues through 2040 • Revenues collected by the State of California (e.g., state gasoline excise tax) • Revenues spent only for transportation purposes (e.g., excludes VLF) Method: • Spreadsheet models • Data from widely-used authoritative data sources (e.g., US EIA) • Projections presented as ranges that encompass different population, economic, and technological trends

  4. Annual Revenues, with/without SB1

  5. Projections by Revenue Type

  6. Contribution by Revenue Type (SB1)

  7. Support for Federal Gas Tax Increase, 2010-17 2017 78 Maintenance 65 2016 Safety 57 2015 Local air pollution 2014 54 Global warming 2013 58 5-year increase 2012 52 Info on annual costs 2011 36 Baseline 10¢ increase 2010 80 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 90 Support (%) Source: MTI surveys by Agrawal & Nixon

  8. Want to learn more? • MTI projection and survey reports at www.transweb.sjsu.edu • Email: asha.weinstein.agrawal@sjsu.edu

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