MOD451AV Prepayment meter profiles DESC 15 Oct 2014
Background on MOD451AV • MOD 451AV was approved by Ofgem to facilitate effective competition by improving cost energy allocations, which would be more reflective of the gas consumed by prepayment customers. • This followed evidence from Shippers suggesting that the profile for prepayment customers is flatter than that of a standard domestic credit meter (EUC1) customer. • This shows that typically during the winter period there is an over allocation of gas usage and in the summer period an under allocation of gas usage. • The impact of this gives a disparity in the allocation of costs compared to the billed consumption resulting in a financial impact on shippers with above average proportions of prepayment customers in their portfolio. • Effective implementation date is 1 February 2014 • Xoserve is still designing and developing a system solution for calculation of credits/charges
Nature of Analysis • As agreed at the previous DESC meeting, profiles have been created (and published for review on UK Link Docs Wed 1 st Oct – deadline for comments Wed 8 th Oct) for all LDZ’s using only those MPRNs that had at least 50 reads. • The following slides show: – Sample sizes used for creating the profiles per LDZ – ALPs for gas year 2013/14 & 2014/15 for LDZ: NT, SC, SO and WM – DAFs for gas year 2013/14 & 2014/15 for LDZ: NT, SC, SO and WM
No of sites used in analysis LDZ Aggregated no. of sites EA 2768 EM 6871 NE 3373 NO 2884 NT 2984 NW 7504 SC 3669 SE 3482 SW 1854 WM 5675 WN 707 WS 1659 SO 1837
WM ALP 2013/14 WM ALP Comparisons 2013/14 2.5 2 1.5 ALP 1 0.5 0 01/10/13 01/12/13 01/02/14 01/04/14 01/06/14 01/08/14 ALP 01B WM 2013/14 Aggregated WM_ALP 201314
WM DAF 2013/14 WM DAF Comparisons 2013/14 1.6 1.4 1.2 1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0 01/10/13 01/12/13 01/02/14 01/04/14 01/06/14 01/08/14 PPM DAF 13/14 EUC DAF 13/14
SC ALP 2013/14 SC ALP Comparisons 2013/14 2 1.8 1.6 1.4 1.2 ALP 1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0 01/10/13 01/12/13 01/02/14 01/04/14 01/06/14 01/08/14 ALP 01B SC 2013/14 Aggregated SC_ALP 201314
SC DAF 2013/14 SC DAF Comparisons 2013/14 1.4 1.2 1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0 01/10/13 01/12/13 01/02/14 01/04/14 01/06/14 01/08/14 PPM DAF 13/14 EUC DAF 13/14
NT ALP 2013/14 NT ALP Comparisons 2013/14 2.5 2 1.5 ALP 1 0.5 0 01/10/13 01/12/13 01/02/14 01/04/14 01/06/14 01/08/14 ALP 01B NT 2013/14 Aggregated NT_ALP 201314
NT DAF 2013/14 NT DAF Comparisons 2013/14 1.6 1.4 1.2 1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0 01/10/13 01/12/13 01/02/14 01/04/14 01/06/14 01/08/14 PPM DAF 13/14 EUC DAF 13/14
SO ALP 2013/14 SO ALP Comparisons 2013/14 2.5 2 1.5 ALP 1 0.5 0 01/10/2013 01/12/2013 01/02/2014 01/04/2014 01/06/2014 01/08/2014 ALP 01B SO 2013/14 BG EON UTILITA AGGREGATED_ALP 13/14
SO DAF 2013/14 SO DAF Comparisons 2013/14 1.2 1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0 01/10/13 01/12/13 01/02/14 01/04/14 01/06/14 01/08/14 PPM DAF 13/14 EUC DAF 13/14
WM ALP 2014/15 WM ALP Comparisons 2014/15 2.5 2 1.5 ALP 1 0.5 0 01/10/14 01/12/14 01/02/15 01/04/15 01/06/15 01/08/15 ALP 01B WM 2014/15 Aggregated WM_ALP 201415
WM DAF 2014/15 WM DAF Comparisons 2014/15 1.6 1.4 1.2 1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0 01/10/14 01/12/14 01/02/15 01/04/15 01/06/15 01/08/15 PPM DAF 14/15 EUC DAF 14/15
SC ALP 2014/15 SC ALP Comparisons 2014/15 2 1.8 1.6 1.4 1.2 ALP 1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0 01/10/14 01/12/14 01/02/15 01/04/15 01/06/15 01/08/15 ALP 01B SC 2014/15 Aggregated SC_ALP 201415
SC DAF 2014/15 SC DAF Comparisons 2014/15 1.4 1.2 1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0 01/10/14 01/12/14 01/02/15 01/04/15 01/06/15 01/08/15 PPM DAF 14/15 EUC DAF 14/15
NT ALP 2014/15 NT ALP Comparisons 2014/15 2.5 2 1.5 ALP 1 0.5 0 01/10/14 01/12/14 01/02/15 01/04/15 01/06/15 01/08/15 ALP 01B NT 2014/15 Aggregated NT_ALP 201415
NT DAF 2014/15 NT DAF Comparisons 2014/15 1.6 1.4 1.2 1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0 01/10/14 01/12/14 01/02/15 01/04/15 01/06/15 01/08/15 PPM DAF 14/15 EUC DAF 14/15
SO ALP 2014/15 SO ALP Comparisons 2014/15 2.5 2 1.5 ALP 1 0.5 0 01/10/14 01/12/14 01/02/15 01/04/15 01/06/15 01/08/15 ALP 01B SO 2014/15 BG EON UTILITA AGGREGATED_ALP 14/15
SO DAF 2014/15 SO DAF Comparisons 2014/15 1.4 1.2 1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0 01/10/14 01/12/14 01/02/15 01/04/15 01/06/15 01/08/15 PPM DAF 14/15 EUC DAF 14/15
Summary of Feedback received from industry review • To Be Updated (feedback requested by 8 th Oct).
Conclusion • Is DESC happy to conclude development of the profiles as requested by MOD Panel? • MOD Panel requested report back to November meeting
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