Metropolitan Education District Estimated 2008-09 Actual and 2009-10 Proposed Budget
1 Overview of the State Budget This is a terrible Budget year! State revenues have fallen dramatically Expenditures continue to rise Borrowing has been more difficult and more expensive than ever before California continues to lose jobs More people demand social services – that won't be available – during a downturn There is no way to "trim around the edges" and not deal with the realities of the imbalance between state revenues and the cost of public services That said, we do not want and should not have more cuts to education Nevertheless, there are more cuts to education and all other major areas of the Budget
2 Overview of the State Budget Proposition 98 has been on a rollercoaster ride Cuts to the revenue limit Cuts to categoricals Flexibility within categorical funding Withdrawal of Public Transportation Funds with no backfill Addition of one-time federal funds?? What does it all mean? Less of everything for California's students Coupled with cuts to health and welfare programs, the most vulnerable Californians – mostly children – are in for a very tough year (or several years?)
3 California's Economy California's economy is suffering even more than the nation as a whole The state was at the epicenter of the subprime mortgage collapse Home building fell for the fourth consecutive year in 2008, with housing starts expected to be down 24% in 2009 The state's unemployment rate is among the highest in the nation at 11.2% in March 2009, up from 6.4% one year earlier Personal income is projected to decline 1.0% in 2009, the first time it has fallen since 1938
4 May Revision Features The already reduced 17-month Budget adopted in February is reduced by another $24.3 billion Major cuts to K-12 education, welfare, prisons, and higher education No suspension of Proposition 98 – not needed as funding floor has dropped No cost-of-living adjustment (COLA) and a huge deficit factor Lottery and other special election proposals appear to be dead More cuts to K-12 – $3.9 billion – between the February Budget and the May Revision Some additional flexibility anticipated, but not yet approved Even more funding deferred – placing an even greater burden on cash flow Our proposed 2009- 10 budget is based on Governor’s budget proposal enacted in February 2009
Remember this? 5 Economic Trends (2 nd Interim March 11, 2009) State Budget Deficits $60 B ?? 60.0 $42.0 B 50.0 40.0 $24.3 B In Billions 30.0 $14.5 B 20.0 $6.1 B 10.0 - July, 2007 Jan. 2008 May, 2008 Jan. 2009 June, 2009 ??
6 California’s Personal Income (Percent Change) 7.0% 6.3% 5.9% 6.0% 5.0% 4.0% 3.0% 2.5% 2.0% 1.4% 1.0% 0.0% -1.0% -1.0% -2.0% 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 -----Projection---- Source: 2007, 2008, and 2009 May Revisions
7 California's Unemployment Rate 12% 11% 10% 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr Source: Employment Development Department; Historical Civilian Labor Force, May 27, 2009
8 California’s Employment Rate Wage and Salary Employment 15,000 14,900 14,800 14,700 14,600 14,500 14,400 14,300 14,200 14,100 Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr _________2008_________ _________2009_________ Source: Employment Development Department; Historical Civilian Labor Force, May 27, 2009
2008-09 ROCP Revenue Limits – 9 Metropolitan Education District Base Revenue Funded Base 2008-09 Limit per ADA Deficit Factor Revenue Limit (A) (B) (C) = (A) x (B) 1. 2007-08 Base Revenue Limit $ $ 3,492.80 3,492.80 1.00000 2. 2008-09 Base Revenue Limit $ $ 2,939.35 3,492.80 0.8415* $ 3. Dollar Change (Line 2, Column C, minus Line 1, Column C) 553.45 4. Percentage Change (Line 3 divided by Line 1, Column C, % converted to a percentage) 15.85 *0.8415 deficit factor = 84.15% funding, or a 15.85% deficit applied to ROCP
2009-10 ROC/P Revenue Limits – 10 Metropolitan Education District Base Revenue Funded Base 2009-10 Limit per ADA Deficit Factor Revenue Limit (A) (B) (C) = (A) x (B) 1. 2008-09 Base Revenue Limit $ $ 2,939.35 3,492.8 0.8415 2. 2009-10 Base Revenue Limit $ $ 2,808.26 2,939.35 0.9554* $ 3. Dollar Change (Line 2, Column C, minus Line 1, Column C) 131.09 4. Percentage Change (Line 3 divided by Line 1, Column C, 4.46 % converted to a percentage) *0.9554 deficit factor = 95.54% funding for ROC/P, or a 4.46% deficit
Categorical Funding Overview 11 With more than a billion dollars already cut from categoricals in 2008-09 and 2009-10; the Governor has stayed away from making proposals for further across-the-board cuts However, there are a few programs that are proposed for significant reduction or elimination: Home-to-School Transportation – reduced by 65% High Priority Schools Grant Program – eliminated for 2009-10 Child Care – funding drops with CalWORKs cut Our Budget Proposal is based on Governor’s February Budget Enactment
Recap of Flexibility Plus Updates – Tier III 12 Categorical Programs Funding for all Tier III programs is to be provided based on the proportion of funding received by each LEA of the state's total 2008-09 funding for the included programs In subsequent years, this amount would be adjusted based on statewide budget adjustments SBX3 4 identified 2008-09 as the base year for all programs, but CDE has indicated that, for several programs that rely on attendance/participation data, the base year legislatively will be changed to 2007-08 Supplemental Hourly Programs ROC/P Adult Education Community Day Schools Cal-SAFE 9 th Grade CSR Advanced Placement Fee Waiver Program
May Revision Flexibility – 13 Reduction in the School Year The Governor's January Budget proposal, calling for a shorter school year, was shot down by the Legislature However, given the further cuts that are being proposed, the proposal is revived and expanded Permits, does not require, schools to drop from a minimum of 180 days of instruction to 173 days (seven fewer days) for a period of no more than three years The Governor's proposal reduces revenues and makes it possible to legally reduce expenditures But, ultimately, LEAs would need to renegotiate contracts to realize expenditure savings
14 Deferrals
15 Cash is King Many LEAs are forced to use their reserves to balance their budgets this year because of the midyear cuts The use of reserves will affect future cash flows Fewer reserves mean less working capital – less cash on hand to meet expenses Remember that "cash is king"
2009-10 Budget Assumptions for ROCP 16 Budgets are built based on several important assumptions Fund 010 Budget Assumptions 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 Revenue Limit COLA 0.00% 0.90% 2.40% Revenue Limit Reduction (4.46%) 0.00% 0.00% Total ROCP Revenue Limit $2,808.26 $2,833.53 $2,901.54 ADA Cap Growth (0.55%) 0.00% 0.00% Reserve-Economic Uncertainty 6.00% 6.00% 6.00% General Reserve for Cash Flow 4.00% 4.00% 4.00% Employer Paid Benefits Increase 5.00% 5.00% 5.00% Employer Paid Benefits Maximum $11,737 $12,324 $12,940 Salary Increase COLA (4.00%) 0 0 Workers Comp Rate Increase 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% PERS Contribution Rate Increase 0.28% 0.00% 0.00%
2009-10 Budget Assumptions for Adult Ed 17 Budgets are built based on several important assumptions. Fund 110 Budget 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 Assumptions Revenue Limit COLA 0.00% 0.90% 2.40% Revenue Limit Reduction (4.46%) 0.00% 0.00% Total ROCP Revenue Limit $2,138.62 $2,158.62 $2,210.62 ADA Cap Growth 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% Reserve-Economic Uncertainty 6.00% 6.00% 6.00% General Reserve for Cash Flow 4.00% 4.00% 4.00% Employer Paid Benefits Increase 5.00% 5.00% 5.00% Employer Paid Benefits $11,737 $12,324 $12,940 Maximum Salary Increase COLA (4.00%) 0.00% 0.00% Workers Comp Rate Increase 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% PERS Rate Increase 0.28% 0.00% 0.00%
18 District Budget Overview – Fund 010 ROCP 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 General Fund - Operations Estimated Budget Budget Budget Total Revenues 15,479,475 13,943,950 14,019,370 14,316,473 Total Expenditures 14,866,001 13,629,316 13,524,499 13,661,264 Net Revenues/Expenses 613,474 314,634 494,871 655,208 Other Sources (Uses) (1,537,242) (286,840) (286,840) (286,840) Changes to Fund Balance (923,768) 27,793 208,031 368,368 Reserves & Designated: Revolving Fund, Prepaid 20,000 20,000 20,000 20,000 General Reserve (4%) 656,550 557,066 552,873 558,344 Economic Uncertainty (6%) 984,824 835,599 829,310 837,516 Contingency for State Deficits 220,493 602,822 767,162 1,067,781 Lottery Contingency 102,780 156,953 211,126 265,299 Cosmetology Contracts 160,000 0 0 0 Total Reserves 2,144,647 2,172,440 2,380,471 2,748,840 Total Fund Balance 2,144,647 2,172,440 2,380,471 2,748,840
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