Local Planning Networks and Neighborhood Vulnerability Indicators - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Local Planning Networks and Neighborhood Vulnerability Indicators Philip Berke Department of Landscape Architecture & Urban Planning, Professor Institute of Sustainable Communities, Director Texas A&M University College Station, Texas 77843-3137 Email: pberke@tamu.edu Tel: 919 357 0239 CRC 2nd Annual Meeting The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Feb. 1-3, 2017

Proje ject ct Overvi view -- Land use planning is key to resilience. --Cities adopt networks of plans. --Integration of hazards/climate change in local plans affects future resilience. Ft. Lauderdale Downtown Area Plan League City Open Space & Washington, NC Comprehensive Plan Ft. Lauderdale Future Park Plan Sensitive Area Plan CRC 2nd Annual Meeting The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Feb. 1-3, 2017

Highlands, NJ Before Hurricane Sandy: Opposing Intentions? Hazard Mitigation Plan Comprehensive Plan FIGURE LU-6 FIGURE LU-4 CONCEPT PLAN M AP 100 YEAR FLOODPLAIN MAP Atlantic Atlantic Locust w o l Highlands S i l Highlands h W o r e Locust Gateway National D r i w v e l o B a y S i l s h W i d Snug Harbor Avenue Marine Place Recreation Area o e r e R B Water Witch Ave. D D i e r i n a v Gateway National r i Mathews c e v g h B a e Huddy Ave. y s O B i d Marine Place e c o R e u Recreation Place B a D i e Recreation Area l e r n a n Central Avenue i M c v v g h A a e . r a t v d t Ocean Avenue B S e h o e n e u Recreation Place ✱ u w L i l e a r e Central Avenue v u a s r M C a e h e Marie St. r l e d D r f r u i v ✱ l P e l a c Laurel Drive Ralph Street e Snug Harbor Avenue C h e Washington Avenue e r f W u l P B a l a c a Ralph Street t Huddy Avenue e r S e b r e Atlantic Street e a W Washington Avenue r 36 i D i e � t r c Barberie Avenue A i h Linden Avenue v f t A Sea Drift Avenue e A Atlantic Street 8B n v Water Witch Drive v e u Fifth Street e e B 36 n n a u y Shore Drive u A Holly St. L i e e v e n d e n A Rogers Street L n v e n u e i u F n e o 8B d u P Water Witch Drive Fifth Street e r t o n t h i Bay Avenue Waddell Street A e S n v e t e t r S Shore Drive Holly St. n r B e t . u S t a e Rogers Street L e r y t i Fourth Street a A Cornwell Street n v Valley Avenue d P d e n e o C e Second Street u North Street Waddell Street n t i e A e n t v e S e r B n t t . u S a e r y A a Cornwell Street d v Valley Avenue e n C e Second Street u North Street C S e 8B h e John St n r e t Shore Drive e w s Miller Street r N A Center Avenue S Jackson b e v u 8B h w e r J r J n y o e e r u Shore Drive M h ws s n Middletown e e i y N l S S A e l Jackson t b North Peak Street t a e u t v w r e B e n S r H J y i a e t g y u r r h w s e a A e Middletown e e y v y t e S A 3 6 n N t a v u t e o e B e n r H ✱ t i a h g h y u e w u P a A e y v n e e e 3 6 n v W H a u A i k e y g h e o l S a l l a n e V o d 36 t B A r u d v e n l a y e e P r o a n e s p e S u t v W H 36 c t S n t e A i g M t r e e d r P y o h t e e l e e a l l o a n o H V d t a i l d B A u k l s a v n w i n L i g h P l y e t a i T t r o s a n i n S d u s e R o a d p e c S u e S t t H o t S n t t re e r e h M t r e e t d r Peak Street t e g e 0' 500' 1,000' A L i o e e H v u t i l t 100-year floodplain & l s e n w i n L i g h t n t a i i T n d u s e R o a d u S t t H o r e e e g h e t A L i v e n C u Oak h e e s t KEY n u severe repetitive loss C t O a k h S e G t r s t r e n a e u n t Potential Gateway Redevelopment Area d t S T t o Grand Tour r u e r e t designation Potential CBD Redevelopment Area Potential Waterfront Redevelopment Areas P Sea Bright o Sea Bright New Road r t l a n County Park d P New Road o R r o t l a a d n d ✱ Focal Point Locations R o a d Gateway Treatments Waterfront Gateway Treatments Potential Municipal/Public Use � 0' 500' 1,000' Public Fishing Piers Twin Lights National Landmark KEY CONCEPT PLAN MAP 100 YEAR FLOODPLAIN MAP Rt. 36 Bridge 100 Year Floodplain Highlands Borough, Monmouth County, New Jersey Highlands Borough, Monmouth County, New Jersey Figure LU-4 Figure LU-6 500 Year Floodplain Heritage Trail Outside the Floodplain Waterfront Connection 1"-1000' October 2004 1"-1000' October 2004

Project Objectives Develop and apply a resilience scorecard: 1. To spatially evaluate the coordination of local networks of plans. 1. To spatially assess the degree to which the network of plans targets areas most physically and socially vulnerable. 2. To develop a guidebook and a software tool for local practitioners to evaluate networks of plans. CRC 2nd Annual Meeting The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Feb. 1-3, 2017

Phases for Spatial Evaluation of Networks of Plans for a Resilience Scorecard Phase 2 Phase 3 Phase 1 Delineate planning De Determine vu vulnerability ty Sc Score plans The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill districts and hazard zones

Mean Policy Scores for Physical Vulnerability for All Districts 100-year floodplain (# districts)* Fort Washington(8) League City(21) Boston(21) Tampa(137) Asbury Park(11) Lauderdale(111) 35.00 29.10 30.00 25.00 Overall mean policy scores for all plans 17.35 20.00 16.75 15.00 10.00 6.00 5.00 0.81 0.00 -5.00 -4.00 -10.00 *Higher scores indicates greater support for vulnerability reduction

Correlation between Physical Vulnerability and Policy Scores* (# districts) Correlation between physical vulnerability and policy scores for plans Washington(8) League City(21) Fort Lauderdale(111) Boston(21) Tampa(137) Asbury Park(11) 0.10 0.01 0.00 -0.02 -0.10 -0.12 -0.20 -0.25 -0.30 -0.40 -0.39 -0.50 -0.60 -0.63 -0.70 *Pearson’s r coefficient: Negative r means that greater policy scores are associated with lower vulnerability of districts.

Vulnerability Policy Scores by District: Ft. Lauderdale, FL Hazard Mitigation Plan Comprehensive Plan

Networks of Plans Asbury Park, New Jersey League City, Texas Master Plan (2006) Comprehensive Plan 2035 (2013) Monmouth County Hazard Mitigation Plan (2012) Local Mitigation Plan (2010) Consolidated Housing Plan (2015) Parks & Open Space Master Plan (2006) Waterfront Redevelopment Plan (2005) Consolidated [Housing] Plan (2012) Main Street Redevelopment Plan (2008) CBD Redevelopment Plan (2003) Scattered Site Redevelopment Plan (2003)

District #7: Clear Creek, League City, TX Total Plan Integration Score = +37 (Supports Reducing Vulnerability) Policies Land use regulations that limit new development. • riparian buffer, cluster development, low density • Land acquisition in proposed conservation areas. • repetitive loss areas, parks and recreation • Public facility investments for stormwater. • low impact design technologies • Development limits tied to evacuation times. •

District #12: Waterfront Redevelopment, Asbury Park, NJ Total Plan Integration Score = - 12 (Supports Increasing Vulnerability) Policies • Smart growth • Raise density, mix uses, complete streets • Zoning overlays that support economic development • Boardwalk, entertainment, renewal areas • Development agreements for affordable housing • 5% of the new housing units

Publications Berke, P., G. Neman, J. Lee, T. Combs, C. Klosna, and ZD. Salveson. 2015. Evaluation of Networks of Plans and • Vulnerability to Hazards and Climate Change, Journal of the American Planning Association , 81(4): 287-302. (Best Article of the Year Award, American Planning Association) Berke, P., M. Malecha, S. Yu, J. Lee, J. Masterson. 2017. Plan Integration Scorecard for Resilience: • Evaluating Networks of Plans in Six Coastal Cities, Landscape and Urban Planning (under review) Berke, P. J. Cooper, S. Yu, J. Lee, J. Masterson. 2017. Do Plans Pay Attention? Social Vulnerability and • Networks of City Plans, Nature Climate Change (under preparation) Doctoral Dissertations Matt Malecha, Urban & Regional Science • Siyu Yu, Urban & Regional Science • CRC 2nd Annual Meeting The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Feb. 1-3, 2017