Lin inking Natural l Capit ital Acc ccounting in into In Indonesia ia Natio ional l Development Pla lan 2020-2024 Dr. Medrilzam Director for Environmental Affairs Ministry of National Development Planning/ National Development Planning Board (BAPPENAS) 2nd Policy Forum on Natural Capital Accounting for better decision making, the Hague, Netherlands, 22-23 November 2017
Preparation Schedule of Natio ional Development Pla lan 2020-2024: 2020 2017 2018 2019 Initial Background Study Writing of RPJMN approved by the Preparation of RPJMN RPJMN selected President MISSION: DEVELOP THE NEXT INDONESIA DEVELOPMENT PLAN BECOME GREENER AND LESS CARBON HOW NCA COULD FIT IN INTO DEVELOPMENT PLANNING?
Lo Low Carbon Development Pla lan will be In Integrated in into National Development Pla lan 2020-2024 2024 “ This is why our upcoming 5 year development plan, … will be Indonesia’s first low -carbon development plan . We want to use this plan to address sustainability challenges and unlock some of these opportunities which will be critical to achieving a prosperous, low- carbon growth path. We want to ensure that our growth, moving forward, continues to secure our natural assets, providing value in tandem with the creation of new opportunities for economic transformation and development ….” (Prof. Bambang Brodjonegoro – Minister of National Deveopment Planning, Bonn COP 23 UNFCCC, 2017);
Pri rinciples applied to LCD Pla lanning for National Mid id- Term National 2020-2024: 1) Apply integrated and systemic approach among sectors – Evidence Based Policy 2) Put future carrying capacity (including GHG Emission) is part of priority concerns in development plan 3) Emphasise implication of various policies- planning-program Toward a balancing and trade- off between economy, poverty and environment goals 4) Apply HITS (Holistic, Integrated, Thematic, Spatial) 5) Involving development planners and environmental stakeholders
Lin inkages between Poli licies, , Carry rying Capacit itie ies, Sectors and Economy Trade off Carrying Capacity Inter-related Human Activities Impacts/ Energy and Pressures Industries Mining Assmilative Water Intervention capacity Ocean Policy Emission Agricultures Forestry Biodiversity Supportive Land cover Capacity Fishery, other Settlements (availability sectors (tbd) IKLH concept) *) NCA should provide necessary information on Sectoral stock and flow of Natural Resource and Carrying GDP Poverty Trade off Target Capacity being assessed
WHERE NCA FITS IN INTO DEV’T PLAN 2020 -2024 PROCESS? MAPS Spatial Dynamics Analysis INTERFACE Green Growth and Low Carbon Development Plan Green Carrying System Dynamics Economy Database Centre Capacity Model Green Job Tabular (Statistics) (Non-Spatial) (Sectors: dan Spatial Agriculture, Forest, Policy/Planning/ Mining, etc.) Programming in RPJMN 2020-2024 Natural Capital Stock-Flow Investment Analysis World Bank Econ. of Low Card. Dev (WAVES) (Indonesia Stern Review)
POVERTY Low Carbon Development Model Structure for RPJMN 2020-2024 POPULATION ENERGY Economics stock- flows Social stock-flows WATER LAND USE ECONOMY Natural resources stock and flows NCA Contribution Absortive capacity stock-flows FISHERY GHG EMISSION BIODIVERISTY CLIMATE
Low Carbon Development modelling process requires Stock and flow information from NCA : Fishery Land sectors Water sectors Energy Notes: • Indonesia Statistics Agency (BPS) leads the development of NCA in Indonesia • Development of the NCA should be Mineral Forest Pilot Project Full Account based on the needs of policy and Account only Account planning • Strong collaboration is needed Indonesia NCA/ between WAVES consultant and WAVES SUPPORT SISNERLING modelling team 8
2020 2017 2018 2019 Preparation Background Study Writing of RPJMN approved by the of RPJMN RPJMN selected President SEA Model conceptualisation, Integrated model Policy SEA report for integrated model and structure and Policy communications RPJMN 2020-2024 Database development simulations … It is a good timing for NCA to be applied.. But delayed NCA process cannot be tolerated.. NCA DEVELOPMENT The clock is ticking….. !!
Further contact: Directorate for Environment Affairs Email: medril@bappenas.go.id or Medrilzam.Medrilzam@gmail.com Ph: +623900412 (Office), +62811802824 (Mobile)
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