Latinos and the Future of Nebraska Lissette Aliaga Linares, Ph.D. Research Associate Office of Latino/Latin American Studies OLLAS
Latino Population Projected to Triple by 2050 Omaha, Nebraska. Saturday, October 12 Family March and Rally for Dignity and Respect Source: http://cojmc.unl.edu/mosaic/2013/10/13/omaha-rally-puts-focus-immigration-reform/
Growing from the Youngest Percentage of Latinos in Nebraska Population Age Distribution 2010-2050 2010 2030 2050 2050 2010 2030 2010 100 + 100 + 100 + 100 + 95-99 95-99 95-99 95-99 90-94 90-94 90-94 90-94 85-89 85-89 85-89 85-89 14% at retirement age 80-84 80-84 80-84 80-84 75-79 75-79 75-79 75-79 70-74 70-74 70-74 70-74 65-69 65-69 65-69 65-69 60-64 22% at voting age 60-64 60-64 60-64 55-59 55-59 55-59 55-59 50-54 50-54 50-54 50-54 45-49 45-49 45-49 45-49 40-44 24% at working age 40-44 40-44 40-44 35-39 35-39 35-39 35-39 30-34 30-34 30-34 30-34 25-29 25-29 25-29 25-29 20-24 20-24 20-24 20-24 15-19 15-19 15-19 15-19 10-14 10-14 10-14 10-14 5-9 5-9 5-9 5-9 < 5 < 5 < 5 < 5 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% Source: 2010 US Census, CPAR Projections, June 2013
Latinos: Hardly Ever a Population of Only Foreigners in Nebraska Evolution of Latino/Hispanic-Origin Population in Nebraska by Nativity, 1870-2011 200,000 All Latinos, 190,000 180,000 173,909 170,000 160,000 150,000 140,000 130,000 120,000 110,000 U.S. Born, 100,000 113,520 90,000 80,000 70,000 60,000 50,000 Foreign Born, 40,000 68,335 30,000 20,000 10,000 0 1870 1880 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Source: Source: Graph produced by OLLAS based on 1850-2011 Integrated Public Use Microdata Series (IPUMS-USA) *Data on nativity was not available for years 1960 and 1970
Yes, Not Even Mexicans Evolution of Mexican-Origin Population in Nebraska by Nativity, 1870-2011 150,000 All Mexican 140,000 Origin, 137,733 130,000 120,000 110,000 100,000 90,000 80,000 U.S. Born, 70,000 85,724 60,000 50,000 40,000 Mexican Born, 30,000 52,009 20,000 10,000 - 1870 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1980 1990 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Source: Graph produced by OLLAS based on 1850-2011 Integrated Public Use Microdata Series (IPUMS-USA). *Data on nativity was not available for years 1960 and 1970
Immigration Reform a Critical Issue for the Second Generation of U.S. Citizens Percentage of U.S. Born Latinos under 17 years, by Nativity of their Parents, Nebraska 2009-2011 Two foreign born parents, 27% Lives with one or two U.S. born Lives with at least parents one foreign born One foreign born 41% parent parent, 20% 59% Two parents, one of whom is foreign born, 12% Source: OLLAS calculations based on American Community Survey 2009-2011
Latino Growth Mostly Due to Natural Increase Source: Graph elaborated by David Drozd and presented at 24 th Data Users Conference, August 2013
Young Latinos Attending College Latino Population Ages 18 to 24 Attending College, Nebraska 2000-2011 2000 2009-2011 6,000 5,098 5,000 4,000 3,561 3,000 2,146 2,000 1,663 1,537 1,000 483 - Total U.S. Born Foreign Born Source: OLLAS calculations based on American Community Survey 2009-2011
Latino Businesses Growing Strong Growth rates for the Number of Firms, Sales, Employment and Annual Payroll by Owner Race/Ethnicity, Nebraska, 2002-2007 Number of Firms Sales Employment Annual payroll 81% 61% 56% 56% 39% 37% 37% 35% 25% 23% 21% 19% 17% 14% 10% 9% 5% 4% -4% -12% -14% -22% -27% -29% Total Hispanic White Black Asian Native American Source: Graph produced by OLLAS based on U.S. Census Bureau 2002 and 2007 Survey of Business Owners Summary Tables A1
Latino Establishments in Nebraska Kept the Highest Proportion of their Jobs Percentage of Jobs Retained by Establishments by Owner Race/Ethnicity United States and Nebraska, 2002-2006 95% 92% 91% 91% 88% 88% 87% 87% 87% 83% Total White Black Asian Hispanic Total White Black Asian Hispanic United States Nebraska Source: OLLAS calculations based on Special Tabulations of U.S. Census Bureau 2002 Survey of Business Owners and 1989-2006 Business Information Tracking Series. * Only classifiable Firms by Race/Ethnicity, category “Other” not included in graph
More Latinos Building a Home in Nebraska Percentage of Households Owning or Buying a House in Nebraska 2000-2011 67% 67% 51% 46% 56% 49% 48% 43% 2000 2009-2011 2000 2009-2011 2000 2009-2011 2000 2009-2011 All Nebraska All Latinos Foreign Born U.S. born Source: OLLAS calculations based on U.S. Census 2000 and American Community Survey 2009-2011
English Proficiency Improved but Not as Much for Foreign Born Latino Adults Percentage of Latinos who Declare Speaking English Well or Very Well, by Nativity and Selected Age Groups, Nebraska 2000-2011 5yrs+ 5-17yrs 18yrs+ 89% 94% 93% 93% 92% 92% 91% 91% 85% 74% 67% 63% 58% 56% 46% 42% 50% 46% 2000 2009-2011 2000 2009-2011 2000 2009-2011 All Latino Foreign Born U.S. Born Source: OLLAS calculations based on U.S. Census 2000 and American Community Survey 2009-2011
Latinos Are Much Less But High School Dropouts Likely to Dropout from on the Rise among U.S. High School than Before Born Latinos Latino High School Dropout Rate by Latino High School Dropouts by Nativity, Nebraska 2000-2011 Nativity, Nebraska 2000-2011 2000 2009-2011 2000 2009-2011 56% 6,986 6,326 41% 4,807 37% 4,067 25% 2,919 17% 17% 1,519 ALL LATINO U.S. BORN FOREIGN BORN ALL LATINO U.S. BORN FOREIGN BORN Source: OLLAS calculations based on U.S. Census 2000 and American Community Survey 2009-2011
A Persistent Gap in Socioeconomic Indicators All All Socioeconomic Indicators Nebraska Latinos in Nebraska 2012 2012 Median Household Income $ 50,723 $ 38,096 Poverty rates for families 9% 26% Population with no health 11% 31% insurance coverage Unemployment Rate 4% 7% Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Selected Population Profiles from American Community Survey 2012
Looking ahead… Thank you! Acknowledgements to Juliana Trout for her assistance in this presentation.
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