Key Note Arjen DEIJ ETF Key note speaking points 21 century skills - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Key Note Arjen DEIJ ETF

Key note speaking points – 21 century skills - changing demands – Where are the jobs of the future? – Linking Jobs to Qualifications – Breaking trends, building a vision for a better future – How to get there –facilitating effective lifelong and lifewide learning

21 century skills ≠ 20 century skills

GLOBAL DEMOGRAPHIC DEVELOPMENTS 2010-2050 38% MORE WORLD CITIZENS, BUT WORLD WIDE AGING SHRINKING POPULATIONS IN EUROPE SHRINKING LABOUR FORCE WORLD WIDE World BiH Asia Africa Europe Germany Russian Federation 2010 population 0-14 1,842,237 27 1,060,076 25 424,072 41 114,050 15 11,133 13 670 17 21429 15 population 15-64 4,543,439 66 2,821,198 68 571,630 55 505,284 68 54,610 66 2,606 68 103374 72 population >65 530,507 8 284,166 7 35,381 3 120,975 16 17,275 21 570 15 18815 13 total 6,916,183 4,165,440 1,031,083 740,309 83,018 3, 846 143,618 100 60 15 11 1.20 0.056 2.08 share world population 2050 population 0-14 2,034,447 21 925,669 18 771,113 32 109,036 15 9,158 13 430 13 20643 17 population 15-64 6,026,928 63 3,337,993 65 1,481,951 62 409,378 58 39,665 55 2,002 60 75477 62 population >65 1,489,570 16 901,000 17 140,111 6 190,653 27 23,743 33 900 27 24776 20 total 9,550,945 5,164,662 2,393,175 709,067 72,566 3,332 120,896 100 54 25 7 0.76 0.035 1.27 share world population change 2050/2010 % 38 24 132 -4 -13 -13 -16 Imbalances and international labour shortages and surpluses will lead to more mobility, people in Europe have to stay longer active

21 century skills ROUTINE TASKS ARE INCREASINGLY TAKEN OVER BY MACHINES OR SOURCED OUT

Findings on 21 century skills Increased need for information processing skills and HL cognitive and • interpersonal skills in addition to occupation specific skills Access to computers and ICT is widespread and growing and ICTs are changing how • services are provided and consumed Focus on core skills and cross disciplinary skills integrated into the • curriculum More emphasis on competence as the ability to apply rather than on academic • abstract skills Recognising that there is more than one pathway to obtain learning outcomes • • More blended approaches to learning including in real life and work situations

From skills to jobs… Are higher skills generating more jobs?

EU Labour force 2000-2020 by qualification level

Trends in Education and Jobs in BiH 2006-2013 Youth employment Employment by Education attainment level 70.00 80.00 attainment 60.0 70.00 60.00 50.0 60.00 120000 50.00 40.0 50.00 100000 40.00 employment 15- 24 Primary school 40.00 80000 Primary school 30.0 and less 30.00 unemployment and less 15-24 Secondary school Secondary school 30.00 60000 20.00 20.0 Higher education Higher education 20.00 40000 10.00 10.0 10.00 20000 n° HE students 0.00 0.00 2006200820102012 0 0.0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 In BIH HIGHER EDUCATION IS OFFERING BETTER JOB PERSPECTIVES, BUT INCREASED ATTAINMENT LEVELS DID NOT INCREASE EMPLOYMENT

Sectors likely to grow or shrink Some sectors offer better prospects than others

Jobs in demand in Europe 41% 44% 14% 22% 78% EU Jobs in demand in care and leisure, retail, domestic services, business and finance in particular to replace existing workers

Jobs in demand in US In US health and construction jobs offer great prospects US 2012 Employment Matrix title 2012 2022 increase % salary Total, All Occupations 145,355.8 160,983.7 15,628.0 10.8 $34,750 Industrial-organizational psychologists 1.6 2.5 0.9 53.4 $83,580 Personal care aides 1,190.6 1,771.4 580.8 48.8 $19,910 Home health aides 875.1 1,299.3 424.2 48.5 $20,820 Insulation workers, mechanical 28.9 42.4 13.5 46.7 $39,170 Interpreters and translators 63.6 92.9 29.3 46.1 $45,430 Diagnostic medical sonographers 58.8 85.9 27.0 46.0 $65,860 Helpers--brickmasons, blockmasons, stonemasons, and tile and marble setters 24.4 34.9 10.5 43.0 $28,220 Occupational therapy assistants 30.3 43.2 12.9 42.6 $53,240 Genetic counselors 2.1 3.0 0.9 41.2 $56,800 Physical therapist assistants 71.4 100.7 29.3 41.0 $52,160 Physical therapist aides 50.0 70.1 20.1 40.1 $23,880 Skincare specialists 44.4 62.0 17.7 39.8 $28,640 Physician assistants 86.7 120.0 33.3 38.4 $90,930 Segmental pavers 1.8 2.4 0.7 38.1 $33,720 Helpers--electricians 60.8 83.3 22.4 36.9 $27,670 Information security analysts 75.1 102.5 27.4 36.5 $86,170 Occupational therapy aides 8.4 11.4 3.0 36.2 $26,850 Health specialties teachers, postsecondary 190.0 258.6 68.6 36.1 $81,140 Medical secretaries 525.6 714.9 189.2 36.0 $31,350 Physical therapists 204.2 277.7 73.5 36.0 $79,860 Orthotists and prosthetists 8.5 11.5 3.0 35.5 $62,670 Brickmasons and blockmasons 71.0 96.2 25.2 35.5 $46,440 Nursing instructors and teachers, postsecondary 67.8 91.8 24.0 35.4 $64,850 Nurse practitioners 110.2 147.3 37.1 33.7 $89,960 Audiologists 13.0 17.3 4.3 33.6 $69,720 Dental hygienists 192.8 256.9 64.2 33.3 $70,210 Meeting, convention, and event planners 94.2 125.4 31.3 33.2 $45,810 Therapists, all other 28.8 37.9 9.1 31.7 $53,210 Market research analysts and marketing specialists 415.7 547.2 131.5 31.6 $60,300 Substance abuse and behavioral disorder counselors 89.6 117.7 28.2 31.4 $38,52

Jobs in demand in Canada Priority Occupations in Canada Restaurant and Food Service Managers Psychologists Primary Production Managers (Except Agriculture) Social Workers Professional Occupations in Business Services to Management Chefs Insurance Adjusters and Claims Examiners Cooks Biologists and Related Scientists Contractors and Supervisors, Carpentry Trades Architects Contractors and Supervisors, Mechanics Trades Specialist Physicians Electricians (Except Industrial and Power System) General Practitioners and Family Physicians Industrial Electricians Dentists Plumbers Pharmacists Welders and Related Machine Operators Physiotherapists Heavy-Duty Equipment Mechanics Registered Nurses Crane Operators Medical Radiation Technologists Drillers and Blasters – Surface Mining, Quarrying and Construction Dental Hygienists and Dental Therapists Supervisors, Oil and Gas Drilling and Service Licensed Practical Nurses Good prospects for health and construction jobs in Canada, where there are also good opportunities in business, catering, and mining

Jobs in Germany Sought after: good doctors • German’s health market could do with another 5,000 doctors. Both clinics and doctors’ surgeries are finding it difficult to find successors. Urgently needed: experts in technology, IT, and science • Numerous developments in the natural sciences, IT, mathematics and technology have made the German economy very successful. Companies are looking for qualified staff in this area, hence job prospects are promising. Wanted: innovative engineers • There are vacancies in many technology-driven companies in Germany. Right at the top of the wish list of many businesses are specialised mechanical and automotive engineers, as well as electrical engineers. In demand: Experts with vocational qualifications • If you are a professional with vocational qualifications, you will not require a university degree to work in Germany. For EU citizens with vocational qualifications that are recognised in Germany, employment prospects are currently good. Since July 1, 2013, citizens from non-EU countries holding vocational qualifications have also been able to take up employment in Germany .

Findings on 21 Century skills • In many countries the relative share of higher level jobs is increasing, but often less than the number of higher educated people coming on the labour market. Many of them therefore end up in intermediate or lower level jobs. • Over education is increasing and under education is decreasing • There is a need for professionals rather than for generalists. • What people choose to learn matters.

From Jobs to Qualifications

A new concept of qualifications Traditional qualifications for initial training Modern qualifications for lifelong learning Determined by providers Defined by stakeholders Based on learning outcomes Based on curriculum Alternative pathways Learning in a set context Used for different purposes, including job entry, Used for first job entry changing jobs, further learning & career change For all types of learners Focused on young learners Horizontal & vertical progression and mobility Foresee mainly vertical progression Involves different institutions and stakeholders Overseen by a single authority, often MoE led Partial recognition (unitisation) key principle to Only full qualifications recognised facilitate validation of non-formal and informal learning

developing qualifications Labour Market

Labour Market Anticipation of Skills Needs developing qualifications

Labour Market Labour Market Anticipation of Anticipation of Skills Needs Skills Needs developing qualifications OS1 OS1 OS2 OS2 OS3 OS3

Educational Policy Labour Market Objectives Anticipation of Skills Needs developing qualifications OS1 OS2 OS3