Jonathon Peros, NEFMC Staff Joint Scallop PDT & AP Meeting October 23, 2018 Scallop Committee Meeting October 24, 2018 1
Upcoming Meetings (2018) October 23/24 – PDT/AP & CTE (Boston, MA) PDT – To be determined November 27/28 – AP & CTE (TBD) Framework 30 Final Action – December Council April 1 – Target Implementation 2
UPDATE: 2019 & 2020 OFL and ABC Year ABC OFL 2019 57,003 mt 73,421 mt 2020 46,028 mt 59,447 mt OFL and ABC estimates for FY 2019 are similar to the FY 2018 values approved by the SSC. Estimates for FY 2020 represent a decline from the record high levels observed in recent years. This decline is attributed to the extraordinarily large 2012 and 2013 year classes recruiting to the fishery and the absence of strong recruitment in subsequent years. 3
“Spatial Management” FY 2019 ACL FY 2019 Proj. Landings (F=0.51) ~60 million lbs ~123 million lbs (~50% of 2019 ACL) 4
Specification Discussion Presentations: 2018 Fishery Information SAMS model runs and outputs – Dr. Dvora Hart Economic scenarios FW30 specification considerations Several anticipated outcomes from this meeting: See memo from Committee Chair Vincent Balzano Also Doc. 3a Focus on recommending alternatives for FW30 5
Specifications for 2019 NOTE: All projections use the same spatial management configuration for open bottom. Mix and match open area F rates with access area scenarios. Consider: DAS (landings) associated with each open area F Total pounds coming from rotational areas Outcome: Interpret a wider range of options than just the projection runs that were completed. See example on next slide. 6
Specifications for 2019 EXAMPLE: Can mix and match open area F rates with access area scenarios. (See Doc.0) ~30 DAS 5 trips ~30 mil F=0.295 (25.5 mil) 18k lbs lbs ~31 DAS 6 trips ~36 mil F=0.3 (26 mil) 18k lbs lbs ~39 DAS 7 trips ~35 mil F=0.4 (32.5 mil) 15k lbs lbs 7
Rotational Harvest NLS-West and MAAA → Multiple trips 4 trips 5 trips 6 trips 7 trips One 18,000 lbs FT trip is around 6 mil lbs. 24 mil. 30 mil. 36 mil. 42 mil. 4 trips 5 trips 6 trips 7 trips One 15,000 lbs FT trip is around 5 mil lbs. 20 mil. 25 mil. 30 mil. 35 mil. 8
Nantucket Lightship Regions - Biomass NLS-West NLS-S-deep http://bit.ly/scallopsurvey 38% of total 2018 biomass is estimated to be in these two areas. 9
Nantucket Lightship 2018 VMS data & VIMS survey data 10
PDT Thoughts on Access Areas (2 years) Access Area 2019 2020 Closed Area 2 S Closed Combined Closed Area 2 Ext Open-Bottom Access Area Closed Area I North Combined Access Closed Closed Area I Access Closed Area (1 trip, 15k lbs) NLS-North Closed Combined NLS-South-shallow Closed Access Area NLS-West Multiple trips Multiple trips MAAA Multiple trips Multiple trips NLS-South-deep Not growing normally - 2019 Priority 11
2018 Fishery Performance As of October 17, 2018 – 55% of FY complete FW29 Final Rule: April 19, 2018 Component Landings to-date (lbs) Limited Access 40,782,454 LAGC IFQ 2,116,511 LA w/ LAGC IFQ 94,854 TOTAL 42,993,819 LA & IFQ Projected landings: ~56 million lbs. Does not include set-asides 12
Specifications Discussion: Develop Alternatives for FW30 See Doc.0 and Doc.3a 13
Projected Allocations (SAMS Runs) See Doc.0 and Doc.3a 2. "Committee 1" 3. "Committee 2" 4. "Committee 3" 5. "Council" 6. "PDT" Spatial management 6 at 18,000 lbs; 6 at 18,000 lbs; 5 at 18,000 lbs; 7 at 15,000 7 at 15,000 1 CAI; 1 CAI; 1 CAI; lbs; lbs; 3 NLS-W; 3 NLS-S&W; 2 NLS-W; 1 CAI; 1 CAI; 2 MAAA 2 MAAA 2 MAAA 1 CAII; 3 NLS-W; 3 NLS-W; 3 MAAA 2 MAAA a Projected Landings (mil lbs) 61.6 65.5 62.8 61.0 57.6 b APL after set-asides (mil lbs) 59.1 62.9 60.3 58.5 55.0 c Open Area F 0.295 0.35 0.4 0.3 0.25 d FT LA DAS 30 35 39 31 26 e Open Area landings (mil lbs) 25.5 29.4 32.5 26 22.5 f Rotational landings (mil lbs) 36.1 36.1 30.3 35.0 35.1 g LAGC IFQ Quota (5%) (mil lbs) 3.0 3.1 3.0 2.9 2.8 h Overall F 0.131 0.15 0.131 0.122 0.122 i LPUE (AA + Open) - lbs day 2,931 2,879 2,801 2,912 2,999 j LPUE-OPEN BOTTOM - lbs day 2,355 2,323 2,294 2,352 2,381 k Total days at sea 21,031 22,752 22,429 20,955 19,194 l Area swept - sq nm 2,635 3,100 3,467 2,846 2,336 14
Specifications Matrix: Doc.0, Doc.3 i ii iii 5 trips at 6 trips at 7 trips at 18,000 lbs - 18,000 lbs - 15,000 lbs - "Committee "Committee 1 "Council and 3" & Committee PDT" 2" Rotational 30 mil lbs 36 mil lbs 35 mil lbs landings (mil) Open FT LA Open Area Area F DAS landings (mil) a 0.25 26 22.5 52.5 58.5 57.5 b 0.295 30 25.5 55.5 61.5 60.5 c 0.3 31 26 56 62 61.0 d 0.35 35 29.4 59.4 65.4 64.4 e 0.4 39 32.5 62.5 68.5 67.5 15
Potential GB/SNE Dredge Exemption 16
Default Measures for 2020 Standard Default Measures: Default specifications: Set DAS and LAGC IFQ quotas at 75% or previous years allocations. Allocate 5.5% of access area allocations to the LAGC IFQ component for access area fishing. Council can deviate from this formula. AP and Committee: You may wish to identify Access Areas to be included as part of 2020 default measures. The PDT recommends considering access to the NLS-West, the MAAA, or both. 17
NGOM Measures Document 3a & 3b for more details. No change to how the NGOM area is managed → FW29. Overall TAC, capping total removals. Same formula for splitting the TAC. (first 70k to GC, then 50/50 split) LA share available for RSA fishing. 18
NGOM TAC Setting: Anticipated Outcome (need motion) Identify F TARGET rates for TAC setting, and the range of areas that are used to calculate the TAC. PDT Recommends: 1. Consider setting NGOM TAC using F=0.2 or F=0.25. 2. Develop TAC using estimates of areas that are likely to be fished. 3. Consider setting default measures at conservative level (or zero) 19
20
Action Plan: FW30 Specifications and Standard Default Measures GOAL: New specs in place by April 1, 2019 Include standard default measures Scallop benchmark → New reference points Current Draft Plan: FW30 would be in streamlined action Other measures would be addressed in a separate Framework or Amendment Council can work on multiple actions at the same time. FWs and Amendments can be focused and streamlined. 21
Anticipated Outcomes. The AP and Committee may wish to identify potential 2019 work priorities. This will not be the last opportunity to discuss work for next year. The Council will take final action on 2019 priorities in December. 22
Regulatory Requirements & Council Ranking Ongoing work • Specifications for 2019/2020 1. Modify Access Areas to be • Benchmark (SAW/SARC 65) consistent with OHA2 • Support Scallop RSA Program 2. Standard default measures • In-season catch accounting 3. Monitoring and catch accounting • Specify Allocation Review 4. Consider LAGC IFQ trip limits Triggers 5. NGOM Management measures 23
2018 Priorities and Vehicles Each column represents a way to address the priority Specs Package Framework Amendment Other Benchmark Specifications (SAW/SARC) 3. Monitoring 1. Modify AAs and Catch Accounting Standard Provisions Default Measures RSA Support Ongoing Tracking 4. LAGC IFQ Trip Limits flatfish catch Minimal/No Progress made so far in 2018 5. NGOM Allocation Eastern GB? Management Review HABITAT FW Measures Triggers
5 Meeting Outlook: DRAFT Doc. 8 DRAFT and subject Expected progress on priorities relative to upcoming Council meetings to change Council Meeting: Dec-18 Jan-19 Apr-19 Jun-19 Sep-19 Regulatory Requirements and Ongoing Work Review 2019 Survey survey data, Specifications for New specs in Final Action Submit FW30 cruises on preliminary 2019/2020 place April 1 the water OFL/ABC Regulatory projections Requirements Announce Council Support Scallop RSA Proposals Due, Proposals in 2019/2020 votes on FFO Program Reviews begin evaluation awards; RSA 2020/21 Published Share day Priorities In-season catch Estimates for GF Evaluate YT accounting FW, FW30 transfer to GF Specify Allocation Executive Committee Discussion; Review Triggers Proposal to Council. TBD Other Issues for 2019 After Clam Dredge FW is complete, likely coordinate with Habitat on EGB Access on Eastern GB (TBD) (Habitat Action) Other 2019 Issues TRAC Address SSC (Scallop request for management additioal data GB YT (Groundfish) working (Aug. 23, paper) 2018 memo) 25
Recommend
More recommend
