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Investor Presentation December 2012 Forward looking statements - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Investor Presentation December 2012 Forward looking statements This presentation may contain forward-looking statements and information that both represents management's current expectations or beliefs concerning future events and are subject


  1. Investor Presentation December 2012

  2. Forward looking statements This presentation may contain forward-looking statements and information that both represents management's current expectations or beliefs concerning future events and are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties. A number of factors could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements. December 2012 | Page 1

  3. Premier today ... is in a stronger position today than ... which is reflected in our first half ever before ... results and recent market updates • Stronger production and resource base • Production up 58% year-on-year; pro-forma resources of 725 mmboe • Portfolio of operated developments will • Solan, Pelikan, Naga and Dua approved; deliver 100,000 boepd Catcher moving forward • Acquisition activity positions us for future • Falkland Islands transaction growth beyond 100,000 boepd • Transforming the exploration portfolio • Prospective resource portfolio increased to 2.7 billion boe • Existing projects, dividend and future • $1.1 billion of cash and undrawn facilities; exploration programme fully funded strongly rising cashflows and profitability Historic NAV/share CAGR of 14.2% at constant oil prices December 2012 | Page 2

  4. Operations update December 2012 | Page 3

  5. Chim Sáo and Dua Chim Sáo • Year-to-date production averaged 28.4 kboepd • Higher level of facility uptime achieved in 2H • Water injection rates are now at 30 kbpd, providing effective reservoir pressure support • Two well supplementary drilling programme into additional reservoirs completed in June and wells tied-in in Q3 • Total well capacity in excess of 40 kbopd Dua • Dua will develop ~10 mmbbls • Prime Minister approval of FDP received in August • Long lead items being procured and contracted • Development drilling to commence in April 2013 • Subsea installation and tie-in in Summer 2013 • First oil 2014 December 2012 | Page 4

  6. Natuna Sea Block A GSA 1 (Anoa) • 1H production at maximum capacity – Phase 4 expansion and Pelikan projects will access additional reserves and raise capacity • Block A’s share of deliveries under GSA1 has averaged 45% year-to-date against a contractual market share of 37% • Block A’s share of remaining reserves dedicated to GSA1 was 64% at start of year (before the Anoa Deep discovery) GSA 2 (Gajah Baru) • Production facility has performed very well • All Singapore demand was met during the 1H 2012 and rates have continued to increase in 2H 2012 Gas Swap Agreement (Gajah Baru) • Discussions to sell an additional 40 BBtud into the Indonesian domestic market continue December 2012 | Page 5

  7. Huntington and Rochelle Huntington Rochelle • Development drilling completed in August • First of two development wells has been drilled to final casing point – To schedule and on budget – Better than expected well results • Horizontal section of the development well expected to – Debottlenecking study underway be completed early 1Q 2013 • Subsea pipeline and umbilical installation underway • FPSO arrived on location on 3 October – Two out of the five risers have been installed • Operator expecting first gas in 1Q 2013 – Carry over work and commissioning underway • First oil anticipated before end of 1Q 2013 with the field expected to produce 25 kbopd after a ramp-up period December 2012 | Page 6

  8. Solan • Premier is Operator with 60% equity • All significant contracts have been awarded – Procurement and fabrication of platform (Burntisland Fabrications) – Heavy lift installation (Heerema) – Subsea tank fabrication (Dry Docks World Dubai) – Drilling rig (Awilco) • Construction of topsides has commenced • Phase 1 development drilling to commence in March 2013 • First oil targeted for Q4 2014 with an initial production rate of 24,000 bopd FEED 2012 2013 2014 Design and Procurement Government Approval First Oil Construction Platform T ank Drilling Installation, Hook-up and Commissioning December 2012 | Page 7

  9. Catcher update Significant licence changes • Premier increased stake to 50% and appointed operator • Strengthened partnership to progress development Concept Selection & Contracting strategy • Partners have agreed concept selection • FEED programmes are expected to proceed shortly, including a funded competitive FEED programme with a shortlist of FPSO providers • Submission of the FDP to DECC is targeted for mid- FPSO and Subsea Wells 2013 • First oil modelled for early 2016, subject to FPSO contractor discussions December 2012 | Page 8

  10. Sea Lion Transaction details • Farm- in for 60% of Rockhopper’s interests in the Falklands • Initial payment of $231 million plus an exploration and development carry of up to $48 million and $722 million, respectively • Fully funded from existing cash, facilities and cash flow; commitment to fund dividend unchanged Development plan • FPSO in 450m water depth; tanker offloading • Associated gas used as fuel or re-injected • 22 producers, 13 water injectors and a gas injector, drilled from 3 subsea centres • Insulated flowlines and risers • HSPs for artificial lift and flow assurance Targeted schedule • Gross plateau rate of 80-85 kbopd • Concept Selection in Q2 2013 • Capex to first oil of ~$3 billion (purchased FPSO) • Project Sanction in mid 2014 • Subsequent development of satellite fields • First Oil in Q3 2017 December 2012 | Page 9

  11. Fully funded programme Development Funding Investment Profile Development capex (US$ million) (US$ million) • Dividend, exploration 1800 1800 Acquisitions / disposals Sea Lion and all existing projects Exploration expenditure Existing Assets 1600 1600 Development Capex are fully funded at * $85/bbl 1400 1400 * 1200 1200 • Capacity to increase spend on exploration 1000 1000 and new development 800 800 projects at higher oil prices 600 600 400 400 • Forward profile funded by cash flow and 200 200 facilities even at $65/bbl 0 0 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Note: Assumes exploration expenditure of $250 mm pa *Assumes standby funding is taken up by Rockhopper. from 2014. Purchased FPSO case. December 2012 | Page 10

  12. Exploration update December 2012 | Page 11

  13. Exploration 1H 2012 and vision Vision Existing New 1. Known geologies 3. New skills and/or • 1.6 billion boe resources over life of plan, at a finding cost of < $3/boe and/or skills in geologies in Existing Existing existing areas existing areas • Opportunity to invest up to $500mm per annum from 2015 North Sea • Focus on geologies (Rift or Frontal fold belts) in existing or new areas Asia Rest of World • Building on $2.7 billion of NPV from Premier discoveries (since 2005)* and ENB New New 2. Known skills and/or 4. New skills and/or 2012 year-to-date geologies in new geologies in new areas areas • Success at Carnaby in the Catcher area, Anoa Deep on Natuna Existing New Sea Block A and Badhra B North-1 appraisal well in Pakistan 1.6 billion boe of net resource targeted • Unrisked prospective resource portfolio increased to 2,723 mmboe (453 mmboe risked)** – Increased lead and prospect inventory in the Falklands, Iraq and Vietnam – APA 2011, UK deferred 26th Round awards added Portfolio increased by ~ 1 billion boe to 2,723 billion boe (net, unrisked) during 1H 2012 * DeGoyler & MacNaughton estimate ** Excludes PL23 and PL24 in the Falkland Islands and the UK 27 th Round awards December 2012 | Page 12

  14. Transforming the exploration portfolio Evaluate Drill Appraise Leads Prospects Mature Drillable Prospects Prospects Asia Block 121 Silver Singa / Sillago Kuda Laut Indonesia Buton: Benteng Ca Voi Mackerel Vietnam Swordfish Norway and Luno II . Block 12W: CS Cau Matang Bonneville Inner Moray Firth North Sea Herring Norway PL378: Lacewing Grosbeak & Skarfjell Pre- Development Norway PL374S: Blabaer New York K-32 Rest of World Badhra-7 Badhra South Badhra-6 Parh Falkland Islands* Project Extension Appraisal Iraq Gate Approval Gate Drill Decision Gate Peer Review Peer Assist * Excludes PL23 and PL24 in the Falkland Islands Net NPV10 $mm Net EMV10 $mm (shown as circle inside NPV) Acquire Licence Gate <10 <100 >100 >250 <10 >10 >25 >50 December 2012 | Page 13

  15. Asia • Anoa Deep success – Play opener Phu Khanh Basin – More than 4 wells planned Block 121 2013/2014 • Buton Success LEARNINGS – Establish commerciality Block A Aceh & 12W 07/03 Andaman Sea • Matang to be drilled in Q4 2012 Tuna • 2 exploration wells planned in the LEARNINGS NSBA Nam Con Son basin in 2013 • Oligocene learnings transferred to frontier geographies – Andaman Sea JSA Buton – Block 121 in Vietnam December 2012 | Page 14

  16. Ca Voi prospect Ca Voi (Whale) Prospect (Vietnam Block 121) • Premier 40% equity (subject to Government approval) • First test of the Oligocene clastics play in the Phu Khanh Basin – Primary target is the Ca Voi prospect, a four-way dip closed structure below the Mid Miocene Unconformity – The Oligocene syn-rift sands are a proven hydrocarbon bearing reservoir in the region, including Premier’s Nam Con Son and Natuna Fields • Risk assessment: high (a true frontier wildcat) • Gross prospective resource assessment: 40-100-200 mmbo • Well planned for 1H 2013 • Significant follow on potential December 2012 | Page 15

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