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INTERIM RESULTS 2009 AGENDA Overview & Operating - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

INTERIM RESULTS 2009 AGENDA Overview & Operating Environment Performance Long Haul Airline Short Haul Airline Domestic Tasman & Pacific Islands Other businesses Strategy Financial Management


  1. INTERIM RESULTS 2009

  2. » AGENDA • Overview & Operating Environment • Performance – Long Haul Airline – Short Haul Airline • Domestic • Tasman & Pacific Islands – Other businesses • Strategy • Financial Management • Outlook 2 INTERIM RESULTS 2009

  3. » OVERVIEW • Normalised earnings* $26m • Operating revenue up 3.7% • Capacity reduced by 3.6% • Net cash position of $1.4bn • Domestic airport check in upgrade * Normalised Earnings before taxation after excluding net gains and losses on derivatives that hedge exposures in other financial periods 3 INTERIM RESULTS 2009

  4. » OPERATING ENVIRONMENT • Average jet fuel spot price was 36% higher • Weakening passenger demand across all markets • Increased competition on the Tasman • NZ dollar weakening 4 INTERIM RESULTS 2009

  5. KEY INFLUENCES ON » PROFITABILITY $NZD (m) 300 200 16 159 74 (27) 100 (78) 16 26 14 2 135 0 (12) (199) -100 (48) (24) -200 Normalised Traffic Yield Freight, Labour Fuel Maintenance Finance FX Gain on Other Normalised Hedge Timing Reported NPBT Earnings Contract Costs Acquisition Earnings Adjustment Interim 2009 Interim 2008 Services & Interim 2009 Other Revenue • Average hedged WTI fuel cost for the 6 months to December 2008 was US$100 per barrel. 5 INTERIM RESULTS 2009

  6. GROUP OPERATING » PERFORMANCE Load Factor ppt Movement Group Year-on-Year Load Factor & Year to Date Yield Movements FX Adjusted Yield Change 10% 10 ppt Yield Change 8% 8 ppt 6% 6 ppt Load Factor Movement Change in Yield 4% 4 ppt 2% 2 ppt 0% 0 ppt -2% -2 ppt -4% -4 ppt Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 6 INTERIM RESULTS 2009

  7. LONG HAUL » PERFORMANCE • Passenger numbers down 5.5% • Capacity reduced by 5.7% • Yields up 12.3% • Load factor improved 1.3 percentage points • Aggressive capacity management 7 INTERIM RESULTS 2009

  8. LONG HAUL CAPACITY » MANAGEMENT Long Haul Y.O.Y Capacity Change Load Factor ppt Movement & Load Factor Y.O.Y Percentage Point Movement ASK Change Projected ASK Change 5% 5 ppt Load Factor Movement 0% 0 ppt Change in Capacity -5% -5 ppt -10% -10 ppt -15% -15 ppt -20% -20 ppt Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun 8 INTERIM RESULTS 2009

  9. » DOMESTIC PERFORMANCE • Passenger numbers down 2.9% • Capacity decreased by 1.9% • Yield increased by 0.3% • Load factor decreased by 0.3 percentage points • New commercial accounts won • Domestic airport improvements well received 9 INTERIM RESULTS 2009

  10. TASMAN & PACIFIC » ISLAND PERFORMANCE • Passenger numbers decreased by 7.3% • Capacity was held constant - 0.1% increase • Yield increased by 6.4% • Load factor down 5.3 percentage points • Underlying market softening and increased competition • In-flight entertainment upgrade programme complete 10 INTERIM RESULTS 2009

  11. » OTHER BUSINESSES • CARGO – Volumes down 13% – Yield increase and FX benefit – Freighter to be withdrawn 31 March 2009 • TECH OPS – Increased third party work – Acquisition of Tenix and Masling – Falling NZD has increased competitiveness • OTHER – Acquisition of VCubed 11 INTERIM RESULTS 2009

  12. » COST FOCUS • Reduced capacity in response to demand softness • Labour initiatives – Voluntary and compulsory redundancies – Reduced working week and unpaid leave – Reduction through attrition • Reduced discretionary spend • Reduced regional charter capacity 12 INTERIM RESULTS 2009

  13. » STRATEGY PRIORITIES • Closely matching supply to demand remains a top priority • Being the leader in chosen markets • New generation interior design for 777-300ERs and 787-9s • Growing non-airline revenue sources • Being an industry leader on environmental initiatives 13 INTERIM RESULTS 2009

  14. » FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT • $1.4bn cash on balance sheet excluding $190m restricted cash • Gearing 52.7%, from 45.5% as at June 2008 • Limited debt repayments and no covenants or refinancing risk • Interim dividend is 3.0 cents per share 14 INTERIM RESULTS 2009

  15. » FLEET MANAGEMENT • 2 x Boeing 747-400s sold and leased back • Next jet aircraft not due until November 2010 • Additional Boeing 777-300ER confirmed for 2012 • New delivery date and terms for Boeing 787-9 agreed • Average operating fleet age of 7 years 15 INTERIM RESULTS 2009

  16. » CAPEX PROJECTION Including Option Aircraft 1,400 Excluding Option Aircraft 1,200 1,000 800 NZ$ (m) 600 400 200 0 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 1. Assumes NZD/USD = 0.53 2. 787-9 progress payments have shifted in line with announced delays 16 INTERIM RESULTS 2009

  17. » FUEL HEDGING* • The second half of FY09 is approx. 72% hedged with the average effective floor** at US$85.10 per barrel of WTI crude oil • At current prices, average Singapore Jet fuel price would be US$88 per barrel for the second half of FY09 compared with US$123 in the first half • The first half of FY10 is approx. 20% hedged with the average ceiling of US$68.47 and average floor of US$45.20 per barrel of WTI crude oil * Fuel hedge position as at 22 January 2009 ** The effective floor includes benefits from WTI bought put spreads 17 INTERIM RESULTS 2009

  18. » CURRENCY HEDGING • Operating cash flow exposure for the second half of 2009 is 99% hedged at an average NZ$/US$ rate of 0.765 • The 2010 operating cash flow exposure is 71% hedged at an average NZ$/US$ rate of 0.703 • US$370m of future capex commitments are hedged at NZ$/US$ rate of 0.720 spot 18 INTERIM RESULTS 2009

  19. » OUTLOOK • Competitive strength in core markets • Greater benefit from lower fuel prices in second half of FY09 • Strong currency hedging position • Global economic environment concerning If current conditions and jet fuel prices continue, Air New Zealand expects to see financial performance significantly improve in the second half of the financial year. 19 INTERIM RESULTS 2009

  20. » FINANCIAL OVERVIEW INTERIM INTERIM Dollar Percentage 2009 2008 movement movement Operating revenue $2,419m $2,332m $87m 4% Normalised Earnings* $26m $159m $(133)m (84)% Net profit after tax $24m $115m $(91)m (79)% Adjusted operating cash flow $113m $320m $(207)m (65)% Net cash $1,417m $1,222m $195m 16% Gearing 52.7% 48.6% (4.1) pts Interim dividend 3.0cps 5.0cps 2.0cps (40)% * Normalised Earnings before taxation after excluding net gains and losses on derivatives that hedge exposures in other financial periods 20 INTERIM RESULTS 2009

  21. » SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION INTERIM RESULTS 2009 21 INTERIM RESULTS 2009

  22. HEDGES RELATING TO » OTHER FINANCIAL PERIODS INTERIM 2009 INTERIM 2008 Earnings before Taxation $14m $172m Reverse net (gains) / losses on derivatives that hedge exposures in other financial periods: Fuel derivatives $101m $(14)m Foreign exchange derivatives $(88)m $(2)m Interest rate derivatives $(1)m $3m Normalised Earnings before Taxation $26m $159m 22 INTERIM RESULTS 2009

  23. » NEW AIRCRAFT ARRIVALS Aircraft Type FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 Boeing 777-300ER - - 3 2 - - Boeing 787-9* - - - - 3** 2 Bombardier Q300 2 - - - - - Beech 1900D 1 - - - - - * Launch customer ** New delivery dates and terms agreed with Boeing for the 787-9s delivery 23 INTERIM RESULTS 2009

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