Intact Financial Corporation (TSX: IFC) Investor Presentation July 2011
Forward-looking statements and disclaimer Certain of the statements included in this presentation about IFC’s current and future plans, expectations and intentions, results, levels of activity, performance, goals or achievements or any other future events or developments constitute forward-looking statements. The words “may”, “will”, “would”, “should”, “could”, “expects”, “plans”, “intends”, “trends”, “indications”, “anticipates”, “believes”, “estimates”, “predicts”, “likely”, “potential” or the negative or other variations of these words or other similar or comparable words or phrases, are intended to identify forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are based on estimates and assumptions made by management in light of our experience and perception of historical trends, current conditions and expected future developments, as well as other factors that management believes are appropriate in the circumstances. Many factors could cause IFC’s actual results, performance or achievements or future events or developments to differ materially from those expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements, including, without limitation, the following factors: IFC’s ability to implement its strategy or operate its business as management currently expects; its ability to accurately assess the risks associated with the insurance policies that IFC insurance subsidiaries write; unfavourable capital market developments or other factors which may affect IFC’s investments and funding obligations under its pension plans; the cyclical nature of the property and casualty insurance industry; management’s ability to accurately predict future claims frequency; government regulations designed to protect policyholders and creditors rather than investors; litigation and regulatory actions; periodic negative publicity regarding the insurance industry; intense competition; IFC’s reliance on brokers and third parties to sell its products to clients; IFC’s ability to successfully pursue its acquisition strategy; IFC’s ability to execute its business strategy; the terms and conditions of, and regulatory approvals relating to, the acquisition of AXA Canada (“Acquisition”); timing for completion of the Acquisition; synergies arising from, and IFC’s integration plans relating to the Acquisition; management’s estimates and expectations in relation to resulting accretion, equity internal rate of return, net operating income per share, return on equity, combined ratio, MCT, debt to total capital and other metrics used by IFC in relation to the Acquisition; IFC’s financing plans for the Acquisition and thereafter; various other actions to be taken or requirements to be met in connection with the Acquisition and integrating IFC and AXA Canada after completion of the Acquisition; IFC’s participation in the Facility Association (a mandatory pooling arrangement among all industry participants) and similar mandated risk-sharing pools; terrorist attacks and ensuing events; the occurrence of catastrophic events; IFC’s ability to maintain its financial strength and debt ratings; IFC’s access to debt financing and its ability to compete for large commercial business; IFC’s ability to alleviate risk through reinsurance; IFC’s ability to successfully manage credit risk (including credit risk related to the financial health of reinsurers); IFC’s reliance on information technology and telecommunications systems; IFC’s dependence on key employees; general economic, financial and political conditions; IFC’s dependence on the results of operations of its subsidiaries; the volatility of the stock market and other factors affecting IFC’s share price; and future sales of a substantial number of its common shares. 2
Forward-looking statements and disclaimer These factors are not intended to represent a complete list of the factors that could affect us. These factors should, however, be considered carefully. All of the forward-looking statements included in this presentation are qualified by these cautionary statements. Although the forward-looking statements are based upon what management believes to be reasonable assumptions, IFC cannot assure investors that actual results will be consistent with these forward-looking statements. When relying on forward-looking statements to make decisions, investors should ensure the preceding information is carefully considered. Such forward-looking statements are made as of June 9, 2011. Undue reliance should not be placed on forward-looking statements made herein. IFC and management have no intention and undertake no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as required by law. Disclaimer The Company uses both International Financial Reporting Standards (“IFRS”) and certain non-IFRS measures to assess performance. Non-IFRS measures do not have any standardized meaning prescribed by IFRS and are unlikely to be comparable to any similar measures presented by other companies. Management of Intact Financial Corporation analyzes performance based on underwriting ratios such as combined, general expenses and claims ratios as well as other performance measures such as return on equity and operating return on equity. These measures and other insurance related terms are defined in the Company’s glossary available on the Intact Financial Corporation web site at www.intactfc.com in the “Investor Relations” section. Additional information about Intact Financial Corporation, including the Annual Information Form, may be found online on SEDAR at www.sedar.com. 3
Canada’s leader in auto, home and business insurance Who we are Distinct brands • Largest P&C insurer in Canada • $4.5 billion in direct premiums written • #1 in Ontario, Quebec, Alberta, Nova Scotia • $8.6 billion cash and invested assets Scale advantage Industry outperformer 2010 Direct premiums written 1 Top five insurers ($ billions) 10-year performance – IFC represent 37% $4.5 IFC vs. P&C industry 1 of the market outperformance $3.3 $2.4 $2.4 $2.3 Premium growth 1.8 pts Combined ratio 2 3.8 pts Co- Intact Aviva TD RSA operators Return on equity 3 7.7 pts Market 11.4% 8.4% 6.1% 6.0% 5.9% share 1 Industry data source: MSA Research excluding Lloyd’s, ICBC, SGI, SAF, MPI and Genworth. All data as at the end of 2010. 2 Combined ratio includes the market yield adjustment (MYA) 4 4 3 ROE is for Intact’s P&C insurance subsidiaries
Consistent industry outperformance Sophisticated In-house claims Significant Broker Multi-channel Proven pricing and expertise scale relationships acquisition distribution underwriting advantage strategy 2010 combined ratios Five-year average loss ratios Industry Intact 106% 80% 104.3% 75.1% Cdn. P&C 104% industry average 69.7% 71.0% 68.6% 70% 102% = 101.0% 100% 60.3% 60% 55.1% 98% 96.3% 96% 50% 94% 40% 92% Top 20 * (average) 30% Auto Personal Property Commercial P&C Industry data source: MSA Research excluding Lloyd’s, ICBC, SGI, SAF, MPI and Genworth Data in both charts is for the year ended December 31, 2010 Includes market yield adjustment (MYA) * Top 20 excludes Lloyd’s, Genworth and IFC 5
We continue to outperform the industry Operating highlights: Comparison with Canadian P&C Q1-2011 results industry 1 benchmark • Net operating income per share of $0.91 Intact Top 20 108% 104.3% 105% – a strong start to the year 102% • Healthy combined ratio of 94.6%, above 99% 96.3% last year’s exceptional 93.2%, based on 96% 93% this year’s more normal weather 90% conditions Combined ratio (including MYA) • Growth in direct premiums written of 3% 14.2% 15% reflects our continued prudent approach to the Ontario auto market 10% • Operating ROE of 14.8% for the last 12 4.3% 5% months, with $784 million in excess capital 0% Return on equity • Book value per share growth of 11% in the past 12 months 5.0% 5.0% 5% 1. Industry data source: MSA Research, excluding Lloyd’s, Genworth and Intact, full year 2010 results 4% For comparison purposes, ROE in chart is for Intact’s P&C insurance subsidiaries Direct premiums written growth 6 6 (including FA pools)
Q1-2011 Financial highlights Q1-2011 Q1-2010 Change (in $ millions, except as otherwise noted) Direct premiums written $943 $914 3% (in $ millions, except as otherwise noted) Net underwriting income $58 $69 (16)% 93.2% 1.4 pts Combined ratio 94.6% Net operating income per share (in dollars) $0.91 $0.95 (4)% $1.42 $1.19 19% Earnings per share (in dollars) Operating ROE for the last 12 months 14.8% n/a n/a ROE for the last 12 months 17.8% n/a n/a • Combined ratio of 94.6% reflects more normal weather patterns and higher catastrophe losses, partly offset by higher favourable prior year development, compared to a year ago • Operating ROE of 14.8% (ROE of 17.8%) with an 11% increase in book value per share in the last 12 months • Healthy DPW growth in all lines of business, except Ontario auto due to our prudent approach to growth in that province 7
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