Ellington Financial LLC (NYSE: EFC) Fourth Quarter 2016 Earnings Conference Call February 14, 2017
Important Notice Forward-Looking Statements This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements involve numerous risks and uncertainties. Our actual results may differ from our beliefs, expectations, estimates, and projections and, consequently, you should not rely on these forward-looking statements as predictions of future events. Forward- looking statements are not historical in nature and can be identified by words such as “believe,” “expect,” “anticipate,” “estimate,” “project,” “plan,” “continue,” “intend,” “should,” “would,” “could,” “goal,” “objective,” “will,” “may,” “seek,” or similar expressions or their negative forms, or by references to strategy, plans, or intentions. Examples of forward-looking statements in this presentation include projections regarding our operating expense ratio, our dividend policy, and home price appreciation, among others. The Company's results can fluctuate from month to month and from quarter to quarter depending on a variety of factors, some of which are beyond the Company's control and/or are difficult to predict, including, without limitation, changes in interest rates and the market value of the Company's securities, changes in mortgage default rates and prepayment rates, the Company's ability to borrow to finance its assets, changes in government regulations affecting the Company's business, the Company's ability to maintain its exclusion from registration under the Investment Company Act of 1940 and other changes in market conditions and economic trends. Furthermore, forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties, including, among other things, those described under Item 1A of our Annual Report on Form 10-K filed on March 11, 2016, which can be accessed through the Company’s website at www.ellingtonfinancial.com or at the SEC’s website (www.sec.gov ). Other risks, uncertainties, and factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those projected may be described from time to time in reports we file with the SEC, including reports on Form 10-Q, 10-K and 8-K. We undertake no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise. Modeling Some statements in this presentation may be derived from proprietary models developed by Ellington Management Group, L.L.C. ( “Ellington”). Some examples provided may be based upon the hypothetical performance of such models. Models, however, are inherently imperfect and subject to a number of risks, including that the underlying data used by the models is incorrect, inaccurate, or incomplete, or that the models rely upon assumptions that may prove to be incorrect. The utility of model-based information is highly limited. The i nformation is designed to illustrate Ellington’s current view and expectations and is based on a number of assumptions and limitations, including those specified herein. Certain models make use of discretionary settings or parameters which can have a material effect on the output of the model. Ellington exercises discretion as to which settings or parameters to use in different situations, including using different settings or parameters to model different securities. Actual results and events may differ materially from those described by such models. Example Analyses The example analyses included herein are for illustrative purposes only and are intended to illustrate Ellington’s analytic approach. They are not and should not be considered a recommendation to purchase or sell any security or a projection of the Company’s future results or performance. The example analyses are only as of the date specified and do not reflect changes since that time. Projected Yields and Spreads Projected yields and spreads discussed herein are based upon Ellington models and rely on a number of assumptions, including as to prepayment, default and interest rates and changes in home prices. Such models are inherently imperfect and there is no assurance that any particular investment will perform as predicted by the models, or that any such investment will be profitable. Projected yields are presented for the purposes of (i) providing insight into the strategy’s objectives, (ii) detailing anticipated risk and reward characte ristics in order to facilitate comparisons with other investments, (iii) illustrating Ellington’s current views and expectations, and (iv) aiding future evaluations of performance. They are not a guarantee of fu ture performance. They are based upon assumptions regarding current and future events and conditions, which may not prove to be accurate. There can be no assurance that the projected yields will be achieved. Investments involve risk of loss. Financial Information All financial information included in this presentation is as of December 31, 2016 unless otherwise indicated. We undertake no duty or obligation to update this presentation to reflect subsequent events or developments. 2
Fourth Quarter 2016
Operating Results Quarter Quarter Ended % of Ended % of Year Ended % of December 31, Per Average September 30, Per Average December 31, Per Average 2016 Share Equity 2016 Share Equity 2016 Share Equity (In thousands, except per share amounts) Credit: Interest income and other income $ 11,902 $ 0.36 1.82% $ 11,822 $ 0.35 1.77% $ 51,408 $ 1.54 7.51% Net realized gain (loss) (3,964) (0.12) -0.60% 1,999 0.06 0.30% 5,600 0.17 0.82% Change in net unrealized gain (loss) (1,354) (0.04) -0.21% 7,182 0.22 1.07% (6,256) (0.19) -0.91% Net interest rate hedges (1) 1,801 0.05 0.27% 508 0.02 0.08% (371) (0.01) -0.05% Net credit hedges and other activities (2) 257 0.01 0.04% (16,722) (0.50) -2.50% (40,548) (1.21) -5.92% Interest expense (1,894) (0.06) -0.29% (1,875) (0.06) -0.28% (7,665) (0.23) -1.12% Other investment related expenses (1,736) (0.05) -0.27% (1,576) (0.05) -0.24% (6,884) (0.21) -1.01% Total Credit profit (loss) 5,012 0.15 0.76% 1,338 0.04 0.20% (4,716) (0.14) -0.68% Agency RMBS: Interest income 6,485 0.19 0.99% 4,659 0.14 0.70% 24,022 0.72 3.51% Net realized gain (loss) (1,328) (0.04) -0.20% 763 0.02 0.11% 2,257 0.07 0.33% — Change in net unrealized gain (loss) (17,216) (0.52) -2.63% 67 0.01% (3,177) (0.10) -0.46% Net interest rate hedges and other activities (1) — 15,480 0.47 2.36% 59 0.01% (8,226) (0.25) -1.20% Interest expense (1,597) (0.05) -0.24% (1,413) (0.04) -0.21% (5,936) (0.18) -0.87% Total Agency RMBS profit (loss) 1,824 0.05 0.28% 4,135 0.12 0.62% 8,940 0.26 1.31% Total Credit and Agency RMBS profit (loss) 6,836 0.20 1.04% 5,473 0.16 0.82% 4,224 0.12 0.63% — — — Other interest income (expense), net 150 0.02% (60) -0.01% 116 0.02% Other expenses (5,055) (0.15) -0.77% (4,863) (0.14) -0.73% (20,043) (0.60) -2.93% Net increase (decrease) in equity resulting from operations $ 1,931 $ 0.05 0.29% $ 550 $ 0.02 0.08% $ (15,703) $ (0.48) -2.28% Less: Net increase in equity resulting from operations attributable to non-controlling interests 239 34 304 Net increase (decrease) in shareholders' equity resulting from operations (6) $ $ $ 1,692 $ 0.05 0.26% 516 $ 0.02 0.08% (16,007) $ (0.48) -2.36% Weighted average shares and convertible units (3) outstanding 33,140 33,306 33,422 Average equity (includes non-controlling interests) (4) $ 654,979 $ 669,935 $ 684,754 Ending equity (includes non-controlling interests) $ 644,777 $ 664,753 $ 644,777 Diluted book value per share $ 19.46 $ 19.83 $ 19.46 Weighted average shares and LTIP units outstanding (5) 32,928 33,094 33,210 Average shareholders' equity (excludes non-controlling interests) (4) $ 647,832 $ 659,205 $ 678,226 1. (1) Includes TBAs and U.S. Treasuries, if applicable. (5) Excludes Operating Partnership units attributable to non-controlling interests. (2) Includes equity and other relative value trading strategies and related hedges. (6) Per share information is calculated using weighted average shares and LTIP units outstanding. Percentage 2. (3) Convertible units include Operating Partnership units attributable to non-controlling interests of average equity is calculated using average shareholders’ equity, which excludes non -controlling 3. and LTIP units. interests. (4) Average equity and average shareholders’ equity are calculated using month end values. 4
Recommend
More recommend
