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How StormGuard-Armor Stunningly Tames Bear Markers April 21, 2016 - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

How StormGuard-Armor Stunningly Tames Bear Markers April 21, 2016 By Scott Juds, President & CEO, SumGrowth Strategies, Seattle, WA 1 Why StormGuard-Armor? Her es a Poster Child For the Problem Whats Going On? Well a Guy Walks


  1. How StormGuard-Armor Stunningly Tames Bear Markers April 21, 2016 By Scott Juds, President & CEO, SumGrowth Strategies, Seattle, WA 1

  2. Why StormGuard-Armor? Her e’s a Poster Child For the Problem What’s Going On? Well… a Guy Walks Into a Bar…. 2

  3. Oooppps, I knocked the knife off the table 3

  4. You know traders Yeeeoooo! never catch a Why didn’t you stop it falling knife. from hitting my foot? Why didn’t you I didn’t think it move your foot? would fall that far! 4

  5. Is Momentum Broken or Pausing? 5

  6. Is Momentum Broken or Pausing? From Yoda Feb 2016 Of Course He is Right – Turbulent Markets Have no Trends. 6

  7. Is Momentum Broken or Pausing? 7

  8. Is Momentum Broken or Pausing? Let’s Examine Strategy History and See 8

  9. From the Introductory Presentation: StormGuard Real Time Performance • React too fast and you suffer from whip-saw losses when sharp drops often snap back. • React too slowly and you will get hurt if it really is a major market collapse. 9

  10. What’s Wrong With my Strategies? Death Crosses, and the Like, Can Be Fooled by Medium Term Glitches. That includes StormGuard. ---- ---- Buy ---- ---- Sell Buy High ---- ---- Sell Sell Low High Sell Low 10

  11. Poster Child For the Problem 11

  12. Why is StormGuard-Armor Better? It Utilizes Three Sources of Information – Not Just One. Better Performance Comes From Having More Information – Not Sliding the Problem Elsewhere. 12

  13. Why is StormGuard-Armor Better? It Analyses Three Different Kinds of Market Behavior. It Incorporates Event Detection, not Simply Timing Adjustments. 13

  14. StormGuard-Armor Performance 14

  15. StormGuard-Armor Performance ... and the Primary SPDR Sectors? ... and the World Region ETFs? 15

  16. StormGuard-Armor Performance It is Doubly Blessed When w/ Long-Term Treasury Bear Symbol. 16

  17. Why Use A Long-Term Treasury? 17

  18. Why a L.T. Treasury is a Problem Rolling 5-year correlation between US stocks and 5-year Treasury note. 18

  19. Why a L.T. Treasury is a Problem Common Mode Noise Reduction Better Signal to Noise Ratio Means Better Probability of Higher Returns Next Month. 19

  20. Let’s Improve These Live Online 20

  21. StormGuard-Armor Before After 21

  22. SectorSurfers Don’t Walk on Water 22

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