August 2019 Portfolio Management Services Ambit Good & Clean Smallcap Fund (Emerging Giants) Pg 1 PRIVATE & CONFIDENTIAL Ambit Asset Management
Ambit Asset Management: An Overview Ambit’s Investment Philosophy Investment offerings focusing on the Quality o Companies with robust capital allocation track record and high quality of financial metrics o High quality of their accounts and corporate governance. o While the objective is to generate returns, the even bigger goal is to better manage drawdowns Process-Driven Approach o Highly qualified team of MBA’s, CA’s & CFA’s with deep-dive equity research experience & specializations across various sectors. o 5-member highly experienced & distinguished Investment Committee in place to review all investment decisions. o Full-fledged support of Ambit Group with over 230+ experienced employees spread across investment banking, institutional equities, equity capital markets, private equity, private wealth, among others. Multiple products as per the investment horizon of the investor Ambit Good & Clean Smallcap Fund Good & Clean India Fund Coffee Can PMS (Emerging Giants) Primarily Mid-cap stocks Primarily Large-cap stocks Primarily Small-cap stocks Investment Horizon: 3-5 years Investment Horizon: 8-10 years Investment Horizon: 5-6 years Cross cyclical winners with high ROE, high Great companies with proven track record of Finding the next Coffee Can companies reinvestment companies high ROE, high reinvestment companies Pg 2 PRIVATE & CONFIDENTIAL Ambit Asset Management
Ambit’s Emerging Giants: Philosophy of selecting the right companies 1 Consistent Track Record 2 Strong Corporate Governance • • Delivers consistent growth while Well diversified and respected Board maintaining superior return ratios • Minority friendly • High quality entrepreneur and management 1 • Dividend Policy 2 team • Timely and robust disclosures on corporate • Operates in a niche / or high opportunity governance issues segment maintaining its competitive Characteristics of advantages Portfolio company 5 3 5 Power of compounding 3 Market Leaders • • Concentrated portfolio with 15-20 stocks and Most companies in our portfolio companies 4 intended churn of less than 2-3 stock per dominate their market niche/ geographies year on average • Relentless focus on specific product/ • This allows the portfolio to benefit from service, allowing them to excel in their circle Power of Compounding of competence 4 Clean Accounting • Use our proprietary forensic accounting framework ( to filter out firms with suspect financials) Pg 3 PRIVATE & CONFIDENTIAL Ambit Asset Management
Portfolio Composition & Characteristics Stellar track records of capital allocation in terms of RoE Cash Consumer 12% Discretionary Consumer 24% Durable Low debt with the median portfolio company cash positive 6% Auto & Auto Components Median market cap of the portfolio is ~Rs1,700 cr. 8% Chemicals Homebuildi Growth potential above the comparable index 13% ng 12% Financials Industrials Reasonable valuations for quality stocks 12% 13% Net Debt/Equity P/E Past 5Y Growth RoE Comparison with Indexes FY18 FY19 FY20E Revenue PAT Current Emerging Giants (-0.1x) 25x 18x 10% 19% 20% 1.3% BSE Smallcap 1.6x 21x 16x 4% 13%* Nifty 1.2x 23x 18x 8% 5% 12% Source: Bloomberg, Company, Ambit Capital Research; Index statistics as per Bloomberg; All Portfolio statistics are weighted average except for Debt/equity; Blended forwards are based on Ambit estimates, while Index estimates are based on Bloom estimates; * PAT growth for BSE Small Cap is based on positive earnings; Pg 4 PRIVATE & CONFIDENTIAL Ambit Asset Management
Why Small caps? T he BSE500 experiences heavy annual churn: On average, as much as 30% of the BSE 500 constituents get churned over a 5 year period* Small caps have outperformed their larger peers historically in India Moreover, the bulk of the outperformance for BSE500 entrants occurs prior to their entry in the index! Top50 Top 500 Small-Cap (501-1500) 30% 27.3% Relative performance of BSE500 inclusions pre and post inclusion 25% 20.7% 75.2% 80% 20.1% 20% 18.2% 70% 14.9% 60% 15% 13.6% 49.5% 50% 10.3% 41.2% 9.7% 10% 40% 7.8% 30% 5% 20% 10% 0% 15Y CAGR 10Y CAGR 5Y CAGR 0% -10% -7.5% -9.0% -9.3% -20% Year -3 Year-2 Year -1 Year +1 Year+2 Year +3 Source: Bloomberg, Ace Equity, Ambit Capital Research. Ending Period June 30, 2018. Median CAGR of BSE 500 Inclusions (Relative to BSE 500) Method: We calculate returns by assuming a purchase of three baskets of stocks – Top 50 (largest 50 stocks by market-cap), Top 500 (largest 500 stocks by market-cap) and Small-caps (501-1500 ranked stocks by market-cap). Stocks are rebalanced annually each July end as per the bucket criteria over July’2003 - June’2018. Equal amounts are assumed to be allocated to each stock. Dividends received are reinvested; Transaction costs assumed: 3% for Small-caps; 1% for Top500 and 0.5% for Source: Bloomberg, Ace Equity, Ambit Capital Research. Relative returns (to BSE 500) are medians CAGR of stocks Top50; that have been included in the BSE 500. For prior returns, returns are measured until 1 quarter preceding the quarter of entry . Period of BSE500 constituent data analyzed – 2002-2018.Only firms with both pre and & post inclusion pricing data are considered. *Annual 5 Year churn over 2002-2013 (closing period ends in 2018) Pg 5 PRIVATE & CONFIDENTIAL Ambit Asset Management
Price discovery is inefficient in small caps Smallcaps are largely undiscovered with low analyst coverage and lower liquidity resulting in valuation disconnect with fundamentals 60 Under-owned with low Institutional ownership No. of Analyst covering the stock Large-Caps, with an Institutional ownership of ~55% are over-owned by Mutual 50 Zee entertainment ANR:38; P/E 35x Funds & FIIs vs. ~10% in case of Small-caps Jubilant Foodworks Un-discovered with low analyst coverage: 40 ANR 32; P/E 93x On average only 1 analyst cover a small-cap stock vs. 37 analyst coverage for large-caps 30 Low Liquidity is a challenge TV Today Network Daily Trade Volume of a Large-Cap company is Rs 300 Cr. whereas for small- ANR: 5; P/E 21x 20 cap its just Rs 1.3 Cr. Garware Wall Ropes Panasonic Carbon ANR: 1; P/E: 25x ANR:1; P/E 16x 10 0 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 Market Cap Rank Size of Bubble signifies FY2018 P/E Ratio (x) ANR refers to No. of analyst covering a particular stock Source: Bloomberg, Ambit Capital Research. Pg 6 PRIVATE & CONFIDENTIAL Ambit Asset Management
Good & Clean Smallcap Fund (Emerging Giants) Pg 7 PRIVATE & CONFIDENTIAL Ambit Asset Management
The Ambit framework for small-cap investing Small-cap Universe ~1300 stocks Stocks with a Market Cap between INR1-40bn Ambit’s Forensic Accounting Screen Eliminating companies with dubious accounting practices 1. Unit Economics Profitability per unit • Do the unit economics make sense? Growth runway • How scalable are the company’s operations? 2. Scale Viability of underlying business model • Does the company generate enough funds to sustain the business? 3. Sustainability Cash generation • Does sales growth translate into cash? Virtuous cycle effect • Is greater scale leading to greater asset efficiency? 4. Feedback Loops Pg 8 PRIVATE & CONFIDENTIAL Ambit Asset Management
Investment Process - Finding needles in the haystack Small-cap Universe Stocks with a Market Cap between INR1-40bn Ambit’s Forensic Accounting Screen Eliminating companies with dubious accounting practices 50%+ on each Parameter 80 th Percentile Overall Filtering Process Filters for RoCE + Debt ratios 1. Ambit’s Forensic Accounting Screen: Eliminating ‘Zone of Darkness’ candidates. 2. 50 th Percentile Hurdle on each of the 5 parameters: Selecting companies well Bottom-up stock research rounded in each parameter. Industry analysis 3. Total Percentile Rank>80%: An additional filter to make sure that only the best are selected. 4. RoCE>12%: Eliminating companies struggling to cover their cost of capital. Channel checks & . management meets 5. Net Debt-Equity Ratio <1.5x: Eliminating debt-laden companies. Ambit G&C Smallcap 15 -17 stocks (Emerging Giants) Constant monitoring & review Pg 9 PRIVATE & CONFIDENTIAL Ambit Asset Management
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