From the construction to the usage of statistics beyond GDP NTTS Conference Brussels, 10-12 March 2015 Marina Signore Donatella Fazio e-Frame Project Coordinator e-Frame Network Coordinator Director of Research, Istat Senior Statistician, Istat
The European debate From measurement to policy use of indicators “ In this time of crises, when new political narratives are necessary to identify where our societies should go, the report advocates a shift of emphasis from a “production - oriented” measurement system to one focused on the well-being of current and future generations, i.e. toward broader measures of social progress. ” (Stiglitz-Sen-Fitoussi report, 2008 ) The importance of shifting from measurement to policy use” and the importance of providing policy makers with ideas and tools on how best to use new measures in their policies (Giovannini, 4th World Forum 2012)
European Framework for Measuring Progress e-Frame contribution Coordination and support actions project Fostering the European Position • Duration from 1 January 2012 – 30 June 2014 • Organisation of 9 Thematic Workshops, a • Consortium of 19 partners Summer School and two Conferences • Co-chaired by Istat and Statistics • Preparation of Stocktaking reports including Netherlands Guidelines and Recommendations • Creation of the European Network on Wikiprogress.org hosted by OECD (alongside the Regional Networks of Africa and Latin America) Contributing to setting the future EU agenda Policy documents 1. Convergence report: provides an overview of measurement systems in the context of the Post-2015 process. 2. Map of policy use of Progress indicators 3. Roadmap for future research needs
Proposing the way forward Research areas for better statistics on “GDP and beyond” conceptual and methodological aspects (subject areas, indicators, measurements,…) the implementation of the tools to collect, produce, disseminate and share data the communication aspects e-Frame Roadmap for future research needs
The Roadmap for future research needs Research needs and information gaps identified by e-Frame activities Developments in order to empower the development, the understanding, dissemination and use of statistics on well-being and sustainable development Proposing topics for future research projects in the context of Horizon 2020 as well as future EU projects according to ESS needs A. Measurement issues in official statistics B. Exploiting non official sources C. Communication issues D. For a policy use of progress indicators http://www.eframeproject.eu/fileadmin/Deliverables/Deliverable11.2.pdf
e-Frame Report on NSIs initiatives A. Measurements issues in official statistics e-Frame Report on Continue or further develop Subjective well-being • implementing subjective indicators e-Frame Report on Measuring Progress • constructing indicators at different levels: local, at the local level national, global e-Frame Report on • disaggregating at the right dimension (target groups) New Measures of • International trade harmonizing concepts, standards and definitions (metadata) e-Frame Report on • improving timeliness macroeconomic indicators • developing indicators of sustainability e-Frame Report on • increase microdata availability Social Monitoring • and Reporting in analyse quality implications for well-being measurement Europe • training at University level EMOS e-Frame Summer School QuoLexity Master
B. Exploiting non-official sources • BIG DATA Need to bridge top-down and bottom-up approaches for the Satellite event construction of statistics beyond GDP 9 March • Need to foster the usage of non-official data for the ww.cros- construction progress statistics portal.eu • Need to exploit crowd sourced locally generated data • Need to evaluate how to integrate/complement official data with non-official data • Need to develop technologies for the use of big data and open data in official statistical production • Need to evaluate the role for non-official data in a cost- benefit perspective • Need to validate the usage of non-official data in a new e-Frame quality framework Guidelines for stakeholders • Need to “label” the non official data inclusion
C. Communication issues e-Frame • Need to facilitate the communication to policy makers Handbook • Need to find a wording for policy makers e-Frame • Need to develop Web2.0 tools to improve the understanding of ICT progress statistics Catalogue • Need to exploit the digital initiatives carried out by communities for statistics beyond GDP • Need to foster the culture on the measurement of well being • Need to educate the opinion leaders on statistics beyond GDP • Need to inform and train the business world and educate the market to read new measurements of progress and well-being as a chance to catch for business new FP7 Web-COSI • Need to complement statistics with story telling project
D. For a policy use of progress indicators • Need to develop models capable to describe the trade-off between different dimensions and simulate the various effects • Need to develop an integrated framework for a policy use of progress indicators • Need to evaluate the “Institutional” Sustainability for a well-being oriented policy • Need to develop risk indicators to measure the social effect of not doing • Need to construct econometric models of simulation to measure the effect of the policies on well being • Need to study how the use of well-being indicators positively influences the (good) policies • Need to develop a beyond GDP narrative
e-Frame Map of policy use of progress indicators http://www.eframeproject.eu/fileadmin/ Deliverables/Deliverable11.1.pdf
The e-Frame Map of policy use of progress indicators Results emerged from all e-Frame WPs: workshops, conferences and stocktaking reports – coordinated by Istat + Other EU projects (Brainpool) + EU Agencies (Joint Research Center) At the forefront of the debate: • How to support policy use of WB indicators? • How to support evidence-based decision process? • What successful experiences exist? • What are the limitations? • Practical approach: how to use the proposed indicators and uses to date • Wording: easy to understand, not for specialists but addressed to a wider audience • Recommendations for use
The structure Overview Aims and contents On the use of progress indicators A. Measuring well-being and societal progress Material well-being; Measurement of intangible assets within National Account Frameworks; Subjective well-being; Social capital; Worker welfare and Labour market; Human capital; Sustainable development; Trends and challenges for environmental indicators; World Input- Output Tables: Tracing the Consequences of Globalisation; Social innovation; Corporate Social Responsibility and the Global Reporting Initiative B. Methodologies and tools for measuring well-being and societal progress Indicators legitimacy and stakeholders inclusion; Policies at local level; EU NSIs’ activities beyond GDP; Visualisation tools and software; Social Monitoring and Reporting; Advanced training in beyond GDP; The European Network on Measuring Progress; and Composite indicators C. Towards an integrated policy framework for better lives Policy-integrated frameworks for well-being: putting well-being at the core of policy-making, Examples and Challenges
The format Template for thematic topics 1.Why it is important 2. Which measures must be considered 3. How to use them 4. Uses to date References Template for methods and tools 1.Why it is important 2. Which initiatives/ tools/ references must be considered 3. How to implement/ exploit them 4. Best practices/ recommendations/ future developments References
What can be expected from the Map? Step forward towards the actual use of progress indicators in policy making This frontier has not been reached uniformly for all relevant topics and methodologies State of the art Measures which are not yet fully developed (e.g. globalisation, intangibles) Measures currently produced within the official statistics but often ignored in policy making (e.g. material conditions; worker welfare and labour markets) Good practices of policy making which already moved “Beyond GDP” (e.g. subjective measures; environmental indicators)
The content: Example of Thematic topics Worker Welfare and Labour Markets: Richer people will systematically choose better conditions and accept a negative compensating wage differential (CWD), that is, a lower wage given their human capital. Poorer people will do the opposite. Differences in wages will then understate differences in welfare, and we need to go beyond wages . Prospects: job security, career progression, contract quality Intrinsic job quality: discretion, social environment, physical environment, work intensity Working time quality: including work duration and short-term flexibility
The content: Examples of tools and methodologies Include stakeholders: All relevant actors, including “hard to reach groups”, media Composite indicators: Needed, but with due caution Local level: from local definitions of progress to Small Area Estimates ICT tools: to exploit visualization tools and interactions with users Advanced training: to increase knowledge at all levels
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