Fintech Risks and Opportunities New Mexico Bankers – 2019 Lenders Conference Tyler Mondres Research Specialist Emerging Technologies
How Has Mobile Changed Banking?
How Has Mobile Changed Banking? What’s Changed What Hasn’t • Customer Expectations • The Business of Banking • Delivery Channel • Trust • Data
How Has Mobile Changed Banking? • Buying experience • Who owns the customer? • Today’s Playing Field Startups o Banks o BigTech o
Connected Strategy
The Buying Experience Latent Research Aware Decide Order Pay Receive Need Options
The Buying Experience
Connected Buying Experience Pre-empt Curate Automate Delivery Coach Latent Research Aware Decide Order Pay Receive Need Options
Build Better Products VS
Who Owns the Customer?
Tech Platforms Don’t Own Product
Customer Relationship Key Balance-sheet Provision Origination/Sales Lending 301 1,239 Current/checking account 526 131 Deposits 174 44 Transactions/payments 483 Asset management and insurance 577 Total revenues 2,075 (54%) 1,750 (46%) Total after-tax profits 436 (41%) 621 (59%) 6% ROE 22%
Deposits and Payments
Today’s Playing Field Startups Banks Big Tech
Building Launched “Round-Ups” and “Smart Stash” features to automate savings. (January 2019) Now users can hold up to 28 currencies in one “borderless” account, which comes with a debit card (January 2018)
Building Buying Launched “Round-Ups” and “Smart Stash” features to automate savings. (January 2019) Now users can hold up to 28 currencies in one “borderless” account, which comes with a debit card (January 2018)
Building Buying Partnering (Investments) Launched “Round-Ups” and “Smart Stash” features to (Lending) automate savings. (Insurance) (January 2019) Now users can hold up to 28 (Artificial Intelligence) currencies in one “borderless” account, which comes with a debit card (January 2018)
Fintech Startups Advantage Challenges • Nimble • Customer Acquisition • Focused • Competition • Slick UX • Trust Role: Partners or Fringe Players
Banks Banks that ignore fintech stand to lose… $15B …in revenue over the next 5 years Banks that invest have a revenue opportunity of $20B
JPMorgan Building & Partnering <4 mins to open an account 47mm active digital users Source: JPMorgan Chase Strategic Update (Feb. 27, 2018)
Consumer Platform Vision Borrow Save Spend Protect $3Billion Personal Savings Payments Life Loans Consumer Loans $20Billion Credit Wealth Checking Health Cards Mgmt. Marcus Deposits Acquired Clarity Money Offered by Goldman Sachs Mortgage Retire Potentially offered/distributed by Goldman Sachs 1 Auto 1 Subject to applicable law Source: Goldman Sachs Presentation to Bernstein Strategic Decisions Conference
Banks Advantage Challenges • Cust Relationships • Legacy Systems • Experience • Regulators • Trust • Need to manage risk Role: Financial Ecosystem
Banks as Ecosystems Fintech Fintech Banks Fintech Fintech
Big Tech
Messaging App 42 Million Users • First Week: 2 Million Clients • Now: 5 Million
Amazon’s Banking Entry Points Payments Small Business Loans $3B lent to small businesses on Amazon 100M users of Amazon Payments since 2011 Member Rewards Cash Deposits
Big Tech Advantage Challenges • Cust Relationships • Trust • Data • Motivation • $$$ Role: ???
Banks as Ecosystems Fintech Fintech Banks Fintech Fintech
Banks become a utility that powers new platforms Fintech Fintech Banks Fintech Fintech
Fintech Playbook Fintech Impact Strategic Vision Roadmap
$20.5B opportunity for CBs 52% ↑ Community Banks Operating Income $60.1B (2015 – 2020, $B) $5.7B $7.9B • Cloud computing • Core payments $6.9B $39.6B • Fintech as a service engine renewal • Advanced credit analytics • Robotics process • Video-based advisor • Customers analytics automation • Mobile imaging for staff • Robo-advisory • Blockchain • Mobile imaging for customers • Mobile wallets • Chatbots • PFM • Biometrics authentication • Real time low value • Voice recognition payments • APIs Operating income 2015 Channels Lines of Business Bank Platforms Operating income 2020 & Processes (after fintech adoption) Source: Accenture Research
Understanding Fintech Series NEW RESOURCE
Questions? ABA.com/Fintech • Download Playbook • Sign Up for Updates
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