Delawareans Without Health Insurance 2007 presented to Delaware - PDF document

Delawareans Without Health Insurance 2007 presented to Delaware Health Care Commision by Edward C. Ratledge Center for Applied Demography & Survey Research University of Delaware December 6, 2007 Delaware 1790-2030 Thousands 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 1790 1810 1830 1850 1870 1890 1910 1930 1950 1970 1990 2010 2030 Delaware Kent New Castle Sussex Source: Center for Applied Demography and Survey Research, University of Delaware

Delaware Population Growth 1790-2030 Thousands 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 1790 1810 1830 1850 1870 1890 1910 1930 1950 1970 1990 2010 2030 Source: Center for Applied Demography and Survey Research, University of Delaware Average Annual Population Growth Rates State of Delaware 1800-2030 4 3.5 3 2.5 2 1.5 1 0.5 0 1790 1810 1830 1850 1870 1890 1910 1930 1950 1970 1990 2010 2030

State of Delaware Sources of Population Growth 1970-2006 Thousands 15 10 5 0 -5 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 Natural Inc Net Migration Growth Source: Center for Applied Demography and Survey Research, University of Delaware Persons Without Health Insurance State of Delaware 1,000 800 600 400 200 0 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Population 599 605 612 618 628 637 648 658 669 683 695 706 718 730 741 751 763 775 786 795 806 817 829 842 853 862 Uninsured 94 83 94 84 99 98 84 59 101 92 93 78 95 92 105 91 90 105 76 82 71 79 91 110 103 105 Calendar Year Population Uninsured Source: Center for Applied Demography and Survey Research, University of Delaware

Persons Without Health Insurance State of Delaware (3 year moving average) Persons (000) 1,000 800 600 400 200 0 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Population 612 618 628 637 648 658 669 683 695 706 718 730 741 751 763 775 786 795 806 817 829 842 853 862 Uninsured 91 88 92 94 94 80 81 84 95 88 89 88 97 96 95 95 90 88 76 77 80 93 101 106 Calendar Year Population Uninsured Source: Center for Applied Demography and Survey Research, University of Delaware Percent Without Health Insurance by Area Percent 20 15 10 5 0 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Delaware 15.1 14.4 15.1 15.1 14.9 12.6 12.4 12.5 14 12.8 12.7 12.5 13.6 13.2 13 12.7 11.9 11.3 9.7 9.7 9.9 11.4 12.2 12.5 Region 14 13.4 12.8 12.9 12.2 11 10.2 10.2 10.9 11.4 12 12.4 12.5 12.5 12.9 13.4 13.1 12.6 12.3 13 13.6 12.5 12.5 13.2 US 16.3 16.1 15.6 15.7 15.3 14.6 13.9 13.6 13.9 14.3 14.8 15.2 15.3 15.4 15.7 16 16 15.3 14.8 14.7 15.1 14.9 15.3 15.8 Area Delaware Region US Source: Center for Applied Demography and Survey Research, University of Delaware

Percent 18-64 Without Health Insurance by Area Percent 25 20 15 10 5 0 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Delaware 17.1 14.8 14.5 16.1 13.2 13.9 11 11.7 14 16.5 14.5 14.7 Kent+Sussex 22.5 14.8 16.9 16.1 14.3 16.2 12.3 10.2 16.3 18.7 20.8 17.4 New Castle 14.1 14.8 13.3 16.1 12.6 12.7 10.3 12.6 12.9 15.3 10.5 13 Area Delaware Kent+Sussex New Castle Source: Center for Applied Demography and Survey Research, University of Delaware Percent 0-17 Without Health Insurance by Area Percent 25 20 15 10 5 0 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Delaware 12.8 11.5 12.6 16.1 6.1 7.2 8.2 9.7 8.5 11.5 11.9 11.7 Kent+Sussex 17.1 18.4 21 16.1 7.2 14.6 13 8.6 10 13.2 15.3 14.1 New Castle 10.8 8.2 7.1 16 5.3 2.5 5.4 10.3 7.8 8.8 9.7 10.4 Area Delaware Kent+Sussex New Castle DelawareSource: Center for Applied Demography and Survey Research, University of Delaware

Percent Without Health Insurance by County 20 Percent 15 10 5 0 Kent New Castle Sussex Delaware 2001-2003 14.1 9.1 7.6 9.7 2002-2004 12.9 9.6 8.4 9.9 2003-2005 11.2 11.3 11.5 11.4 2004-2006 13.3 10.9 15.1 12.2 2005-2007 12.9 11.1 16.5 12.5 Year 2001-2003 2002-2004 2003-2005 2004-2006 2005-2007 Source: Center for Applied Demography and Survey Research, University of Delaware Persons Without Health Insurance by County 120000 100000 80000 60000 40000 20000 0 Kent New Castle Sussex Delaware 2001-2003 19200 46200 11800 77200 2002-2004 17000 49900 13300 80200 2003-2005 15000 59300 18800 93100 2004-2006 19900 56800 24400 101100 2005-2007 21300 57300 27100 105600 Year 2001-2003 2002-2004 2003-2005 2004-2006 2005-2007 Source: Center for Applied Demography and Survey Research, University of Delaware

Number of Persons by Source of Insurance 250 200 150 100 50 0 CHAMPUS Public Sector Private - 500+ Private:26-499 Uninsured Medicare Medicaid Private:1-25 Indiv. Market 2001-2003 77 114 18 65 75 212 97 66 73 2002-2004 80 112 22 71 70 207 102 67 76 2003-2005 93 108 23 83 72 198 102 65 74 2004-2006 101 108 25 89 75 196 102 66 67 2005-2007 106 115 28 86 80 200 95 68 66 Year 2001-2003 2002-2004 2003-2005 2004-2006 2005-2007 Source: Center for Applied Demography and Survey Research, University of Delaware Number of Persons by Source of Insurance Persons (000) 200 150 100 50 0 CHAMPUS Public Sector Private - 500+ Private:26-499 Private:1-25 Uninsured Medicare Medicaid Indiv. Market Delaware 105 108 25 89 75 196 101 65 65 Kent 20 16 13 23 14 27 13 10 11 New Castle 59 61 9 50 45 151 69 40 37 Sussex 25 31 3 17 16 18 19 15 17 Source Delaware Kent New Castle Sussex Source: Center for Applied Demography and Survey Research, University of Delaware

Number of Persons (0-18) by Source of Insurance Persons 70000 60000 50000 40000 30000 20000 10000 0 Uninsured Medicare CHAMPUS Medicaid Public Sector Private - 500+ Private:26-499 Private:1-25 Indiv. Market Delaware 22681 1629 7180 44612 22811 61122 25225 13731 10224 Kent 4961 860 4236 12717 3309 9877 3420 2756 1532 New Castle 13271 186 2517 23582 13930 46126 17109 7292 6558 Sussex 4448 583 427 8313 5572 5119 4697 3683 2134 Sources Delaware Kent New Castle Sussex Source: Center for Applied Demography and Survey Research, University of Delaware Delaware Non-Agricultural Employment 1939-2007 Thousands 500 400 300 200 100 0 1940 1945 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 Year Total Manufacturing Services FIRE Source: Center for Applied Demography and Survey Research, University of Delaware

Average Yearly Earnings by Sector , Age, and Education $000 100 80 60 40 20 0 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 HS-Service HS-Manuf. BA-Service BA-Manuf. Source: Center for Applied Demography and Survey Research, University of Delaware Percent without Health Insurance by Industry in Delaware Percent 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Construction Manufacturing Trade FIRE Service 2001-2003 24.2 6.9 11.9 7.7 11 2002-2004 22.9 7.2 11.9 6.3 11.7 2003-2005 27.3 8.7 12.9 8.5 13.8 2004-2006 28.9 9.8 15.1 6.7 13.5 2005-2007 31.9 9.7 13.5 6.7 13.6 Industry 2001-2003 2002-2004 2003-2005 2004-2006 2005-2007 Source:Center for Applied Demography and Survey Research, University of Delaware

Percent without Health Insurance by Size of Firm Percent 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Under 25 25-99 100-499 500-999 1000+ 2001-2003 19.9 11.9 11.7 4 6.8 2002-2004 19.1 12.5 9.3 7.8 6.4 2003-2005 22 14.7 8.9 9.3 7.9 2004-2006 23.9 13.6 9.2 11.4 7.9 2005-2007 24.7 14.3 9.1 9.5 7.9 Size of Firm 2001-2003 2002-2004 2003-2005 2004-2006 2005-2007 Source:Center for Applied Demography and Survey Research, University of Delaware Delaware Age Distribution 1950-2030 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 65+ 26320 34491 43833 59179 80285 103724 131835 180359 237560 40-64 87470 115303 141107 153055 173946 240768 304238 310123 301621 20-39 101461 122979 146450 190259 225616 224161 226229 242407 249043 0-19 102834 173519 216669 191845 186321 217765 230882 244756 254252 Age Groups 0-19 20-39 40-64 65+ Source: Center for Applied Demography and Survey Research, University of Delaware

Percent Without Health Insurance by Age Group and Area (D:Delaware R:Region) 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 D:0-4 D:5-17 D:18-29 D:30-64 R:0-4 R:5-17 R:18-29 R:30-64 2001-2003 9.6 8 21.2 9.3 9.1 9.2 26.3 13.9 2002-2004 10.6 8.2 22.1 9 9.8 10.4 28.1 15.1 2003-2005 10.5 9.8 21.9 11.4 9.4 10.1 27.5 15.1 2004-2006 10.9 10.5 21.7 12.7 8.8 9.6 26.2 14.7 2005-2007 12.1 11.5 21.2 13.2 8.5 8.8 24.9 13.8 Age Group by Area 2001-2003 2002-2004 2003-2005 2004-2006 2005-2007 Source: Center for Applied Demography and Survey Research, University of Delaware Persons Without Health Insurance by Age Group in Delaware 60000 50000 40000 30000 20000 10000 0 0 to 4 5 to 17 18 to 29 30 to 64 2001-2003 4500 12300 25200 35200 2002-2004 5100 12300 27800 34800 2003-2005 5400 14000 28500 44800 2004-2006 6300 14600 29000 50200 2005-2007 7100 16200 28500 52700 Age Group 2001-2003 2002-2004 2003-2005 2004-2006 2005-2007 Source: Center for Applied Demography and Survey Research, University of Delaware