deeply uncertain comparing methods of uncertainty
play

Deeply Uncertain: Comparing Methods of Uncertainty Quantification in - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Aug 19, 2022 •540 likes •724 views

Deeply Uncertain: Comparing Methods of Uncertainty Quantification in Deep Learning Algorithms Joao Caldeira ICLR Fundamental Science in the era of Al workshop 26 April 2020 [talk recorded on 14 April 2020] FER M I LA B-S L I D ES-20-008-S CD T

  1. Deeply Uncertain: Comparing Methods of Uncertainty Quantification in Deep Learning Algorithms Joao Caldeira ICLR Fundamental Science in the era of Al workshop 26 April 2020 [talk recorded on 14 April 2020] FER M I LA B-S L I D ES-20-008-S CD T his manuscript has b een authored by Fermi Research Alliance , LLC under Contract N o . DE- AC02 - 0 7 C H 11 359 with the U. S . D epartment of E ner gy, O ffice of Science , O ffice of H i g h E ner gy P h y sics .

  2. - - - -

  6. 1. 2.

  7. 1. 2. 𝜌

  17. - - -

Recommend

Uncertain Information Simon French simon.french@warwick.ac.uk Outline Uncertainty Count

Uncertain Information Simon French simon.french@warwick.ac.uk Outline Uncertainty Count

Presenting and Communicating Uncertain Information Simon French simon.french@warwick.ac.uk Outline Uncertainty Count (and confuse!) the meanings Uncertainty in the early phase Results from an ADMLC project Discussion Uncertainty What

614 views • 23 slides
Reasoning with Uncertainty C h a p t e r 13 1 Outline Uncertainty Probability

Reasoning with Uncertainty C h a p t e r 13 1 Outline Uncertainty Probability

Reasoning with Uncertainty C h a p t e r 13 1 Outline Uncertainty Probability Syntax and Semantics Inference Independence and Bayes Rule 2 The real world is an uncertain place... Example: I need a plan that will get

744 views • 38 slides
Economic and technology uncertainty and implications for policy advise Fr ed eric Babonneau

Economic and technology uncertainty and implications for policy advise Fr ed eric Babonneau

Methods and models Uncertainty and role of CCS in abatement strategies Uncertainty on other drivers New methods to tackle uncertainty analysis for energy/climate policy Publications Economic and technology uncertainty and implications for

847 views • 27 slides
UNCERTAINTY IN KNOWLEDGE Ch. 9 Uncertainty in Knowledge 1 Sources of Uncertainty

UNCERTAINTY IN KNOWLEDGE Ch. 9 Uncertainty in Knowledge 1 Sources of Uncertainty

UNCERTAINTY IN KNOWLEDGE Ch. 9 Uncertainty in Knowledge 1 Sources of Uncertainty Uncertainty in problem solving can be attributed to Imperfect domain knowledge Imperfect case data Experts employ inexact methods for two

605 views • 31 slides
Modeling Reasoning with Making it uncertainty uncertainty practical Learning queries on

Modeling Reasoning with Making it uncertainty uncertainty practical Learning queries on

Handling Incomplete, Uncertain, Inconsistent Data Important subject: such data is everywhere Key research challenges Tools/techniques we need Neighbors Some more general thoughts Modeling Reasoning with Making it uncertainty

174 views • 5 slides
Uncertain systems and robust control LMI methods Dimitri PEAUCELLE Relaxation Approaches for

Uncertain systems and robust control LMI methods Dimitri PEAUCELLE Relaxation Approaches for

Uncertain systems and robust control LMI methods Dimitri PEAUCELLE Relaxation Approaches for Control of Uncertain Complex Systems: Methodologies and Tools Workshop at 52nd IEEE Conference on Decision and Control Monday December 9, 2013,

795 views • 47 slides
Uncertain about Measurement Uncertainty? Dr Rachel Carling Viapath Guys & ST Thomas

Uncertain about Measurement Uncertainty? Dr Rachel Carling Viapath Guys & ST Thomas

Uncertain about Measurement Uncertainty? Dr Rachel Carling Viapath Guys & ST Thomas NHSFT March 2016

456 views • 44 slides
Uncertain Knowledge and Reasoning 9 AI Slides (6e) c Lin Zuoquan@PKU 1998-2020 9 1 9

Uncertain Knowledge and Reasoning 9 AI Slides (6e) c Lin Zuoquan@PKU 1998-2020 9 1 9

Uncertain Knowledge and Reasoning 9 AI Slides (6e) c Lin Zuoquan@PKU 1998-2020 9 1 9 Uncertain Knowledge and Reasoning 9.1 Uncertainty 9.2 Probability Syntax and semantics Inference Independence Bayes rule 9.3 Bayesian

1.18k views • 104 slides
Obtaining Party Positions on Immigration: Comparing Different Methods Didier Ruedin

Obtaining Party Positions on Immigration: Comparing Different Methods Didier Ruedin

Obtaining Party Positions on Immigration: Comparing Different Methods Didier Ruedin didier.ruedin@wolfson.oxon.org 29 April 2014 Lausanne, FORS/UNIL Methods and Research Meetings Political Text (Manifesto) Party Position Different Methods

279 views • 17 slides
1 States and Events In an uncertain situation, any one of several possible outcomes may be

1 States and Events In an uncertain situation, any one of several possible outcomes may be

ECO 317 Economics of Uncertainty Fall Term 2009 Notes for lectures 1. Reminder and Review of Probability Concepts 1 States and Events In an uncertain situation, any one of several possible outcomes may be realized. Treatment of this in

367 views • 9 slides
PORTFOLIO METHODS IN UNCERTAIN CONTEXTS Jialin LIU advised by: Dr. Olivier Teytaud, Researcher

PORTFOLIO METHODS IN UNCERTAIN CONTEXTS Jialin LIU advised by: Dr. Olivier Teytaud, Researcher

PORTFOLIO METHODS IN UNCERTAIN CONTEXTS PORTFOLIO METHODS IN UNCERTAIN CONTEXTS Jialin LIU advised by: Dr. Olivier Teytaud, Researcher 1st class of Inria Saclay Dr. Marc Schoenauer, VP for research of Inria Saclay TAO, Inria Saclay, Univ.

1.57k views • 129 slides
Methods for handling uncertainty Default or nonmonotonic logic: Assume my car does not have a

Methods for handling uncertainty Default or nonmonotonic logic: Assume my car does not have a

Methods for handling uncertainty Default or nonmonotonic logic: Assume my car does not have a flat tire Assume A 25 works unless contradicted by evidence Uncertainty Issues: What assumptions are reasonable? How to handle contradiction? Rules

137 views • 10 slides
Methods for handling uncertainty Default or nonmonotonic logic: Assume my car does not have a

Methods for handling uncertainty Default or nonmonotonic logic: Assume my car does not have a

Methods for handling uncertainty Default or nonmonotonic logic: Assume my car does not have a flat tire Assume A 25 works unless contradicted by evidence Uncertainty Issues: What assumptions are reasonable? How to handle contradiction? Rules

273 views • 6 slides
On the stability of comparing histograms with help of probabilistic methods Alexander Lepskiy

On the stability of comparing histograms with help of probabilistic methods Alexander Lepskiy

On the stability of comparing histograms with help of probabilistic methods Alexander Lepskiy National Research University - Higher School of Economics, Moscow, Russia The 2 st International Conference on Information Technology and Quantitative

406 views • 24 slides
Restructuring Electricity Markets when Demand is Uncertain: Effects on Capacity Investments,

Restructuring Electricity Markets when Demand is Uncertain: Effects on Capacity Investments,

Introduction Analytical Framework Results for the Separated Duopoly Comparing Market Configurations Possible Extensions Restructuring Electricity Markets when Demand is Uncertain: Effects on Capacity Investments, Prices and Welfare Anette

357 views • 23 slides
Comparing and Combining the EnVar and EnKF Methods in a Limited-Area Deterministic (and

Comparing and Combining the EnVar and EnKF Methods in a Limited-Area Deterministic (and

Comparing and Combining the EnVar and EnKF Methods in a Limited-Area Deterministic (and Probabilistic) Context Jean-Franois Caron, Seung-Jong Baek and Peter Houtekamer Meteorological Research Division Environment and Climate Change Canada

443 views • 23 slides
Comparing Distance Methods for Spatial Verification Eric Gilleland and Barbara G. Brown Weather

Comparing Distance Methods for Spatial Verification Eric Gilleland and Barbara G. Brown Weather

Comparing Distance Methods for Spatial Verification Eric Gilleland and Barbara G. Brown Weather Systems Assessment Program Research Applications Laboratory 7 th International Verification Methods Workshop 10 May 2017 Mean Error Distance

532 views • 19 slides
Fast methods for Bayesian inverse problems with uncertain PDE forward models Ilona Ambartsumyan

Fast methods for Bayesian inverse problems with uncertain PDE forward models Ilona Ambartsumyan

Fast methods for Bayesian inverse problems with uncertain PDE forward models Ilona Ambartsumyan and Omar Ghattas Oden Institute for Computational Engineering and Sciences The University of Texas at Austin Example of inverse problem with

434 views • 27 slides
Uncertainty AIMA Chapter 13 Outline Uncertainty Uncertainty Probability Syntax and

Uncertainty AIMA Chapter 13 Outline Uncertainty Uncertainty Probability Syntax and

Uncertainty Uncertainty AIMA Chapter 13 Outline Uncertainty Uncertainty Probability Syntax and Semantics Inference Independence and Bayes Rule Uncertainty Uncertainty Let action A t = leave for airport t minutes before

999 views • 46 slides
Advances concerning multiscale methods and uncertainty quantification in E XA -D UNE P. Bastian,

Advances concerning multiscale methods and uncertainty quantification in E XA -D UNE P. Bastian,

W ESTFLISCHE W ILHELMS -U NIVERSITT M NSTER Advances concerning multiscale methods and uncertainty quantification in E XA -D UNE P. Bastian, C. Engwer, J. Fahlke, M. Geveler, D. living knowledge Gddeke, O. Iliev, O. Ippisch, R. Milk, J.

327 views • 32 slides
How sustainable are Scotlands finances? Financial planning in uncertain times Caroline

How sustainable are Scotlands finances? Financial planning in uncertain times Caroline

How sustainable are Scotlands finances? Financial planning in uncertain times Caroline Gardner 12 November 2019 Public sector landscape Decade of austerity Economic uncertainty Increased demand for Ageing population services EU

106 views • 8 slides
Comparing small area estimation methods for poverty indicators in the municipalities of Minas

Comparing small area estimation methods for poverty indicators in the municipalities of Minas

Comparing small area estimation methods for poverty indicators in the municipalities of Minas Gerais State Solange Correa, Debora Souza, Nicia Brendolin, Viviane Quintaes and Djalma Pessoa New Techniques and Technologies for Statistics 2015

288 views • 17 slides
Katy Stokes Demographic Methods Centre, ONS NTTS Conference, March 2015 Uncertainty measures

Katy Stokes Demographic Methods Centre, ONS NTTS Conference, March 2015 Uncertainty measures

Measuring uncertainty in ONS population estimates: capturing variability in statistics from combinations of census, administrative and survey sources Katy Stokes Demographic Methods Centre, ONS NTTS Conference, March 2015 Uncertainty measures

199 views • 8 slides
Managing Design-Time Uncertainty Michalis Famelis, Marsha Chechik MODELS 2017 Austin TX, USA

Managing Design-Time Uncertainty Michalis Famelis, Marsha Chechik MODELS 2017 Austin TX, USA

Managing Design-Time Uncertainty Michalis Famelis, Marsha Chechik MODELS 2017 Austin TX, USA Uncertainty in Software Development Many design alternatives Incomplete information Conflicting stakeholder opinions Uncertain inty durin ring th

830 views • 33 slides

More recommend