NATIONAL EMN-CONFERENCE Migration Movement towards Europe: Data Analysis and Alternatives 09 OCTOBER 2017 VIENNA
NATIONAL EUROPEAN MIGRATION NETWORK CONFERENCE 09 OCTOBER 2017 VIENNA MIGRATION MOVEMENT TOWARDS EUROPE: DATA ANALYSIS AND ALTERNATIVES NUNO NUNES GLOBAL CCCM, DTM AND SHELTER COORDINATOR INTERNATIONAL ORGANIZATION FOR MIGRATION DTMSUPPORT@IOM.INT
Displacement Tracking Matrix (DTM) is a modular data collection mechanism that provides regular updated data from a wide geographic area There is some good information regarding areas of origin, transit, profiles, trends and movements, within different regions and from those into Europe Current inflows to Europe through the CMR originate mainly from Africa, but African migrants to Europe are a small share of the population moving between African countries Mobility to Europe also requires analysis of displacement in countries of origin, and multilayered, complex data analysis Activities to collect and analyze primary data in many contexts allows for cross country comparison and better understanding of trends over time
DTM (Displacement Tracking Matrix): A modular data collection mechanism Methodological framework to capture and monitor displacement and population movements. To provide useful and relevant data to the humanitarian and development communities
DTM OPERATIONS AND KEY DTM FIGURES Currently 40 Countries with data collection at location level ; Over 2,400 data collection staff; Network of over 68,000 active participants; Around 120 professional and specialized staff; More than 60 countries covered since 2014; Global ( Geneva ) and Regional ( Vienna, Cairo, Nairobi, Dakar, Bangkok ) coordination structures
Location, Population, Flows and Vulnerabilities DTM DATA Geared to the needs of front-line field staff • and agencies/organizations Population Integrated GBV (and current work in Child • Protection) risk indicators into DTM data Location collection tools and enhanced Sites and Camps Transit points understanding of how related information Place of Resettlement could be analyzed, shared with specialized agencies, and trigger response. Flows Internal Flows Developed standard operating procedures • Cross-Border Spontaneous or Organized for sharing DTM data with relevant actors, Displacement and Returns in phases of high mobility Training to DTM enumerators, national • authorities and DTM staff to better respond Needs / Vulnerabilities to critical protection concerns Intersectoral Needs GBV and Protection indicators WILLIAM LACY SWING - DIRECTOR GENERAL Joint work with humanitarian actors for • Conditions Infrastructure responsible use of data Livelihoods
Setup, Collection, Analysis and Products (SIMPLIFIED) DTM WORKFLOW SETUP Coordination with other actors (Government, NGOs, UN) Human Resources and Training IT and DM Infrastructure Method(s) and Outputs Analysis plan DATA COLLECTION Operations and logistics Quality Control Data encoding ANALYSIS AND Raw data CDW PRODUCTS RO Verification Outlyer automated Id Narrative reports Dashboards Datasets and Maps Dissemination (Website) Sharing Predictive Analytics WILLIAM LACY SWING - DIRECTOR GENERAL
Selection of method METHODOLOGICAL FRAMEWORK FLOW MONITORING MOBILITYTRACKING Groups , Geographic Areas and Locations Baseline Area/Location Baseline Identification Site/community Assessment Update Event Tracking Registry Rapid Emergency Registrations Return Intention Verification for Registration Community Perception Biometric Registration Displacement Solutions Households and Individuals Migration Flows SURVEY REGISTRATION
DTM FLOW MONITORING - MEDITERRANEAN DTM Flow Monitoring System in the Mediterranean aims to collect and regularly update information on migrants and asylum-seekers arriving in Europe, in order to provide an accurate, regularly updated and timely overview of trends and flows . Specifically, DTM: ✓ Identifies, maps and monitors relevant locations along routes ✓ Maps routes and reports of trafficking, exploitation and abuse ✓ When possible collects information on nationality, sex, age and vulnerabilities ✓ Identifies general migration trends
MIGRATION FLOWS TO EUROPE IN 2017 143,271 135,956 140 9,500 T otal arrivals to Europe Arrivals by sea Flow Monitoring Points Surveys in 9 countries Jan/Sep 2017 January to Sep 2017 Covered in 2017 in Europe in 2017 (Feb/Aug)
MIGRATION FLOWS TO EUROPE COMPARISON 2016 AND 2017 (CUMULATIVE ARRIVALS 1 ST COUNTRY OF ENTRY) 200.000 2016 180.000 160.000 Balance 2016: 140.000 120.000 EU-Turkey statement caused decrease 100.000 in arrivals (route not totally closed) 80.000 60.000 Arrivals to Italy surpassed those to 40.000 20.000 Greece at the end of 2016 0 01.Jän 15.Jän 29.Jän 12.Feb 26.Feb 11.Mär 25.Mär 08.Apr 22.Apr 06.Mai 20.Mai 12.Aug 26.Aug 09.Sep 23.Sep 07.Okt 21.Okt 04.Nov 18.Nov 03.Jun 17.Jun 01.Jul 15.Jul 29.Jul 02.Dez Summer 2017: Decrease in arrival to Italy (less 200.000 departures from Libya, more from 2017 180.000 Tunisia and Algeria) 160.000 140.000 120.000 Steady low arrivals to Greece 100.000 80.000 More arrivals from Morocco to Spain 60.000 40.000 Opening of new route through the 20.000 0 Black Sea 01.Jän 11.Jän 21.Jän 31.Jän 10.Feb 20.Feb 01.Mär 11.Mär 21.Mär 31.Mär 10.Apr 20.Apr 30.Apr 10.Mai 20.Mai 30.Mai 09.Jun 19.Jun 29.Jun 09.Jul 19.Jul 29.Jul 08.Aug 18.Aug 28.Aug Series1 Series2 Series3 Series4 Series5
FOCUS ON THE CENTRAL MEDITERRANEAN ROUTE (CMR) (1) -20% compared to same period in 2016
FOCUS ON THE CENTRAL MEDITERRANEAN ROUTE (CMR) (1I)
FLOW MONITORING CENTRAL MEDITERRANEAN ROUTE 27 August 2017 20 AUGUST 2017 03 September 2017 (WEBSITE RELEASE: END OF OCTOBER)
FLOW MONITORING CENTRAL MEDITERRANEAN ROUTE 03 September 2017 27 AUGUST 2017 (WEBSITE RELEASE: END OF OCTOBER)
FLOW MONITORING CENTRAL MEDITERRANEAN ROUTE 03 SEPTEMBER 2017 (WEBSITE RELEASE: END OF OCTOBER)
FOCUS ON THE CENTRAL MEDITERRANEAN ROUTE (CMR) (1I) 09 July 2017 06 August 2017 27 August 2017 MIGRATION.IOM.INT (WEBSITE RELEASE: END OF OCTOBER)
IOM Monitoring of Flows ITALY Data collection activities SPAIN 1. Flow Monitoring Data collection activities IOM MONITORS FLOWS OF Survey 2016 and 2017 1. Flow Monitoring 2. Ministry of Interior MIGRANTS WITHIN A COUNTRY, Registry in 2016 figures 2016 and 2017 and 2017 INTRA-REGIONALLY IN WEST AND CENTRAL AFRICA AND OUTSIDE AFRICA ALONG THE CENTRAL LIBYA MEDITERRANEAN ROUTE Data collection: NIGER 1. Flow monitoring Registry in 2017 Data collection: IOM has established Flow Monitoring Points 1. Flow Monitoring Registry 2016 and (FMPS) as part of its Displacement Tracking 2017 Matrix (DTM) in areas of significant migratory 2. Flow Monitoring SENEGAL Survey 2016 and MALI transit in West and Central Africa, Libya, Spain Data collection: 2017 Data collection activities 1. Flow monitoring and Italy. 1. Flow Monitoring Registry in 2017 Registry 2016 and 2017 2. Flow Monitoring Survey 2016 and 2017 CHAD Two tools are used at different locations: Data collection: 1. Flow Monitoring 1. The Flow Monitoring Registry (FMR) Registry 2017 BURKINA collects data at the group level in order to FASO Data collection: provide a better understanding of intra and 1. Flow Monitoring Registry 2017 inter-regional migration patterns and trends; 2. The Flow Monitoring Survey (FMS) collects individual data on a sample of FLOW MONITORING REGISTRY NIGERIA migrants on their journey. GUINEE Data collection: FLOW MONITORING SURVEY Data collection: 1. Flow Monitoring Both tools are implemented in various locations 1. Flow Monitoring Registry 2017 PLANNED DATA COLLECTION ACTIVITY Registry 2017 and findings are cross-checked with those of other countries. 18
IOM Monitoring of Flows - NIGER IOM Niger has flow monitoring activities in two locations (Arlit and Dirkou) Since February 2016. • Flow monitoring supports protection and assistance activities for migrants stopped at borders, returned from Algeria and Libya, stranded in the desert. • The majority of flows are taking place within Niger with individuals traveling within the country. 6% 94% 3% • Outflows towards Libya and Algeria are increasingly difficult due to strengthened border controls: riskier routes and search & rescue mission of IOM and the Gov. of Niger in the desert North of Agadez. Daily individuals recorded crossing FMPs in Niger 1000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 432 DAILY AVERAGE INDIVIDUALS RECORDED 19
IOM Monitoring of Flows – within NIGERIA Internal Displacement: Lake Chad Basin (Cameroon, Chad, Niger, Nigeria) Boko Haram insurgency & related population movements Repeated rounds of Flow Monitoring and Emergency Tracking: Trends in time, Locations, Composition (sex, age, type of accommodation) Unmet needs of displaced population (humanitarian assistance) Around 1,800,000 IDPs registered by DTM in Nigeria 20
IOM Monitoring of Flows – through LIBYA Last IOM estimates (Jun 2017) 226,164 IDPs • 267,002 Returnees • • 393,652 Migrants 21
THANK YOU displacement.iom.int migration.iom.int dtmsupport@iom.int
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