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CREDIT CLUSTER AND CONTAGION RISK RELATED TO DISTRESSED - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

CREDIT CLUSTER AND CONTAGION RISK RELATED TO DISTRESSED MUNICIPALITIES BY RICHARD A. CICCARONE MERRITT RESEARCH SERVICES, LLC DISCUSSANT -- SHARON N. KIOKO UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON Chicago Public Other Public Public Schools


  1. CREDIT CLUSTER AND CONTAGION RISK RELATED TO DISTRESSED MUNICIPALITIES BY RICHARD A. CICCARONE MERRITT RESEARCH SERVICES, LLC DISCUSSANT -- SHARON N. KIOKO UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON

  2. Chicago� Public Other� Public� Public� Schools Higher� School Ed Districts Moral� Cook� Obligation� County Econ� Dev Illinois McPier� &� Other� Exposition Counties RTA Chicago Medicaid� Other� Providers Cities

  3. STATE COUNTY? METRO AREA? METRO AREA CITY TOWN SPECIAL SCHOOL CITY TOWN FIRE DISTRICT DISTRICT DISTRICT SPECIAL SCHOOL FIRE DISTRICT COUNTY DISTRICT DISTRICT SPECIAL SCHOOL DISTRICT DISTRICT

  4. TOWN B TOWN A CITY B METRO AREA CITY C CITY A

  5.  Focus  Cluster and contagion risk  Interdependencies (e.g., economic base, intergovernmental fiscal relationships)  Contribution  Substantial improvement over our current understanding of financial condition analysis  Model can be used by local governments to identify interdependencies and manage contagion risk  States could manage risk exposure (e.g., state guaranteed tax-supported debt, pension liabilities)  Limitation(s)  Defining the relevant economic base and fiscal interdependencies  Model specification particularly on the fiscal interdependencies  Access to good data  Broader application may be limited (non-regional governments, small rural communities)

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