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UICC Montreal 2012, Costs and Needs / Prof. T. Cerny Costs of Cancer Treatment facing Patients and Societies Needs and Expectations Thomas Cerny Kantonsspital St.Gallen President Suiss Cancer Research Foundation KFS Past President Swiss


  1. UICC Montreal 2012, Costs and Needs / Prof. T. Cerny Costs of Cancer Treatment facing Patients and Societies Needs and Expectations Thomas Cerny Kantonsspital St.Gallen President Suiss Cancer Research Foundation KFS Past President Swiss Cancer League KLS thomas.cerny@kssg.ch World Cancer Congress UICC Montreal / Canada, 27.-30.August 2012

  2. UICC Montreal 2012, Costs and Needs / Prof. T. Cerny SILENT PANDEMIC OF CANCER • Cancer is the world‘s leading cause of death followed by heart disease and stroke • All Cancer Incidence will increase 2008-2030 from • 12.7  27 Mio (>70% Developing World) • Cancer leads to >7.5 Mio Deaths annually Economic Loss close 1 Trillion US$/Y excluding direct costs • *Sullivan Lancet Oncology 2011 September 21, 2012

  3. UICC Montreal 2012, Costs and Needs / Prof. T. Cerny Perception of Cancer in the Population § Is the most deadly and insidious disease § Is the disease of modern time § Considered to be one disease § Is painful and disabling § Leads to social isolation § Is a punishment in some religions 3

  4. UICC Montreal 2012, Costs and Needs / Prof. T. Cerny Declining Cancer Mortality Rate v Prevalence USA

  5. UICC Montreal 2012, Costs and Needs / Prof. T. Cerny Rapidly Ageing Society in the Western World 3.0 2.5 ≥ 85 Cases of cancer few studies 2.0 (millions) 75–84 Age (years) 1.5 some 65–74 studies 1.0 most 50–64 0.5 studies <50 0 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 Year Edwards BK, et al. Cancer . 2002;94:2766-2792 .

  6. UICC Montreal 2012, Costs and Needs / Prof. T. Cerny Orphan-Disease in Oncology • EU: „Rare-case-surveillance “ • <6/100‘000 Incidence! • Only 16 „Common Cancers“ and • 194 „Rare Cancer Entities“ <10% in Focus of Drug-Development • www.rarecare.eu 6

  7. UICC Montreal 2012, Costs and Needs / Prof. T. Cerny Number of Compounds in Clinicial Development Berggren Nature 2012 September 21, 2012 7

  8. UICC Montreal 2012, Costs and Needs / Prof. T. Cerny Roche Merck Amgen Bevacizumab Cetuximab Panitunumab Marked reached: Sanofi/ AstraZeneca Bayer SIRT Taiho BMS Regeneron Cediranib ( Recentin ) Regorafeni Phase III S1 Brivanib Aflibercept Keryx b Nektar (VEGF-TRAP) Perifosine Astra Zeneca NKTR-102 Böhringer Ingelh. ZD6474 Akt-Modulator Phase II VARGATEF PEG-IRINOTECAN YM BioSciences VEGF & EGFR Nimotuzuma Triple-Angio. Inhib. Amgen Kyowa Hakko Kirin Pharma Mikromet /Merck Ely Lilly b AMG 706 KRN330 Enzastaurin adecatumumab Roche Novartis Anti-EGFR-mAB Multi-TKI mAB against A33 PKCß-selective inh. EPO906 (epothilone B) Pertuzumab anti-EpCAM mAB Lilly Pfizer Ramucirumab Pfizer Axitinib AVEO Pharmaceutical Sunitinib Cytavis AV-951 Centocor BMS Abbott CY-503 CNTO 328 MSD CT-322 Laboratories oral, triple VEGF receptor inh. anti IL-6 Apoptose-Ind. Dalotuzuma ABT-869 VEGFR-2 Inh. mAB Enzon b AstraZeneca Daiichi Amgen Bayer multitargeted TKI EZN-2 IGF-1R Sankyo AMG 386 Olaparib Novartis Immatics Sorafenib CS-70 208 selective angiopoietin 1 /2 PARP-Inh bei RAD001 IMA910 cancer vac.ine neutralizing peptibody SN38 17 MSI-H Prodrug BMS-908662 PPAR γ Amgen Amgen EMD Serono activator RAF-Inhibitor Phase I AMG479 AMG 102 MSC1936369B anti IGF-1 receptor antibody HGF/c-Met receptor TK pathway MEK Inhibitor Plexxicon/ Idera ArQule AVEO Roche Immunomedics IMO-2055 ARQ 197 Tivozanib Anti-CEA Bispecific Antibody PLX4032 Toll-like Receptor 9 BRAF c-Met RTK Triple VEGF Receptor Inhibitor Radioimmunotherapy Inhibitor

  9. UICC Montreal 2012, Costs and Needs / Prof. T. Cerny Cost effectiveness of Colon Cancer treatment K = 1000 US$ Meropol, N. J. et al. J ClinOncol; 25:180-186 2007

  10. UICC Montreal 2012, Costs and Needs / Prof. T. Cerny Are targeted agents cost-effective? Ocana A, Seruga B, Amir E, Kwong R,Tannock IF • We identified 25 new drugs approved by FDA for 17 malignant diseases in 2000-2010, and estimated the cost per life-year gained • For only 37% of new agents was the cost per life-year gained less than $100,000 • The cost of new targeted agents needs to be reduced by a median 78% to render them cost effective • We suggest registration of new anticancer drugs require value-based pricing that renders them cost-effective I.Tannock, DGHO Basel 2011 21.09.12

  11. UICC Montreal 2012, Costs and Needs / Prof. T. Cerny CRS 11(Congressional Research Service) 2000 on the Patent Ownership and R&D on Bayh-Dole and Stevenson-Wyler-Act § „Disputes have arrisen over competing claims to IP developed under government-industry ventures.. § Concerns have been expressed regarding the right of drug companies to set prices that were developed in part with federal fundig or in federal collaboration... § Problems have been encountered.....over diminished effectiveness of IP if new applications are discovered“ § Back to open access of all public funded research? September 21, 2012

  12. UICC Montreal 2012, Costs and Needs / Prof. T. Cerny Non Swiss Doctors in Swiss Hospitals September 21, 2012 Anlass (über "Ansicht" - "Kopf und Fusszeile" zu 1 ändern) 2

  13. UICC Montreal 2012, Costs and Needs / Prof. T. Cerny Direct Costs NCD per Patient of Disease Category (Cancer UK/US: 5-5.6% Health Care Costs) Sullivan R, Lancet 2011 T. Cerny,

  14. UICC Montreal 2012, Costs and Needs / Prof. T. Cerny ACS and Livestrong 2010 September 21, 2012

  15. UICC Montreal 2012, Costs and Needs / Prof. T. Cerny Distribution of Wealth in 4 Categories of Global Human Development Index HDI Bray F, Lancet Oncol, 2012 HDI is an estimate by the UNDP 2007 of 3 dimensions: 1. long and healthy life 2. knowledge 3. decent standard of living by GDP September 21, 2012

  16. UICC Montreal 2012, Costs and Needs / Prof. T. Cerny SUMMARY: COSTS AND EXPECTATIONS • Modern Oncology leads to more cure • Modern Oncology leads to cure and better survival • Demograhics • Most and life style lead to a Cancer Tsunami • Only new Oncology Drugs are not cost effective • New Drug Development is to Very High HDI Countries can afford new drugs • Too slow and not targeting our needs • Priorisation many false Incentives maximise/overuse medicine • IP: Privatisation of Prevention and Early Detection mandatory • The Oncology workforce is far of Preclinical Reseach is not sustainable • Access and Affordability to small and migrates to VH-HDI realistic goal but needs ressources of Cancer Prevention and Care is a September 21, 2012

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