Key Findings of a Survey Conducted July 6-12, 2020 220-5894
Survey Methodology ✓ Conducted a dual-mode survey , online, by cell, and landline between July 6-12, 2020 ✓ Surveys were completed by a random sample of 380 voters registered in the City of San Jacinto, and who are likely to vote in the November 2020 election ✓ Telephone surveys were offered in English and Spanish to allow Spanish-speaking voters an opportunity to participate ✓ Overall margin of error for the whole sample is +/-5.2%; for half the sample, the margin of error is +/-7.4% ✓ Some percentages may not sum to 100% due to rounding 2
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Voters are split on the direction of Riverside County, but a plurality believe the City of San Jacinto is headed in the right direction. Riverside County The City of San Jacinto Right Right Direction Direction 43% 35% Wrong Track Wrong Not Sure 36% Track Not Sure 21% 36% 29% Q1. Overall, do you think things in _______ are going in the right direction or are they off on the wrong track? 4
A third believe the City’s local economy will be doing better in the next year or so, while half believe their personal finances will stay the same. Total Total Much Better Smwt. Better About the Same Smwt. Worse Much Worse Don’t' Know Better Worse The City of San Jacinto’s economy 8% 25% 30% 19% 11% 6% 34% 30% 29% 14% Your personal financial situation 13% 16% 50% 10% 7% Q2. Do you believe that _______________ will get better, worse, or stay about the same over the next year or so? 5
Voters have mixed opinions of the job the City is doing, but most believe local firefighters and paramedics are doing an excellent or good job. Exc./ Exc. Job Pretty Good Only Fair Poor Job Don't Know Good Job 87% Local firefighters and paramedics 49% 38% 7% 5% The Riverside County 85% Fire Department servicing 45% 40% 7% 6% San Jacinto 64% Local sheriff's deputies 37% 17% 11% 27% 8% The Riverside Sheriff's Department 61% 28% 33% 24% 9% 6% servicing San Jacinto San Jacinto's City government in 46% providing services to City residents 42% 35% 13% 6% overall San Jacinto's City government in 40% responding to the current 8% 31% 26% 18% 17% coronavirus pandemic Q3. How would you rate the job being done by __________ ? Would you say they are doing an excellent job, a pretty good job, only a fair job, or a poor job? Split Sample 6
Nearly two-thirds are extremely or very concerned about the pandemic and the impact it has had on the local economy. How concerned are you personally about the coronavirus pandemic and its impact on the Extremely/ Demographic Group economy in your area? Are you extremely Very Concerned concerned, very concerned, somewhat concerned or not too concerned? Party Democrats 74% Extremely concerned 33% Ext./Very Independents 59% Concerned 64% Republicans 55% 32% Very concerned Age 18-49 61% 50+ 67% Somewhat concerned 19% Gender Men 62% Not too concerned 16% Women 66% Q6. 7
Most voters don’t believe the pandemic will be under control, or that the local economy will have recovered in the next six months. Under Control Not Under Control Don't Know Do you think the Few coronavirus 19% 74% 7% Weeks pandemic will generally be 6 30% 55% 15% under control or months not? Recovered Not Recovered Don't Know Few Do you think the 11% 78% 10% Weeks economy in San Jacinto will have 6 26% 60% 14% recovered or not? months Q7. Looking ahead ( SPLIT SAMPLE C : “a few weeks”) ( SPLIT SAMPLE D : “six months”), do you think the coronavirus pandemic will generally be under control or not? Q8. Looking ahead ( SPLIT SAMPLE C : “a few weeks”) ( SPLIT SAMPLE D : “six months”), do you think the economy in San Jacinto will have recovered or not? 8
Over six-in-ten are more concerned that social distancing will end too soon and prolong the epidemic than cause unnecessary damage to the economy. When it comes to social distancing and the closure of businesses in the City of San Jacinto, which of the Demographic End Too Unnecessary following concerns you more right now? Group Soon Damage Social distancing will end Party too soon and prolong the epidemic, endangering 64% Democrats 82% 15% the economy and putting lives at risk Independents 65% 34% OR Republicans 39% 56% Social distancing will go on and cause unnecessary Age 32% damage to the economy and residents’ livelihoods 18-49 61% 37% 50+ 68% 28% Gender Don't know 3% Men 59% 37% Women 69% 28% Q9. Split Sample 9
Over four-in-five support continuing to require employees and customers to wear masks or face coverings at businesses. Do you support or oppose continuing to require employees and customers of businesses to wear masks Demographic Group Total Support or other face coverings in the City of San Jacinto? Party Strongly support Total 72% Support Democrats 96% Somewhat support 82% 9% Independents 82% Republicans 61% Age Total 3% Somewhat oppose Oppose 18-49 87% Strongly oppose 15% 12% 50+ 77% Gender Don’t know Men 84% 3% Women 80% Q10. Split Sample 10
Three-quarters believe the City has an additional need for funding, with half believing that need is great. Do you think the City of San Jacinto has a great need for additional funding, some need, a little need or no real need for additional funds to provide the level of City services that San Jacinto residents need and want? Great/ Great need 51% Some Need Some need 24% 75% A little need 8% No real need 9% Don't know 8% Q4. 11
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Potential Ballot Measure CITY OF SAN JACINTO EMERGENCY RESPONSE PUBLIC SAFETY, LOCAL CITY SERVICES MEASURE To maintain San Jacinto’s finances; improve 911 emergency, medical and public safety response rates; increase the number of firefighters, paramedics and sheriff deputies; repair streets, roads and potholes; clean and maintain public areas, youth and afterschool programs; address homelessness; support local businesses and retain jobs; other general services, shall the measure establishing a 1-cent sales tax providing approximately $3,200,000 annually until ended by voters be adopted, requiring audits, all funds used in San Jacinto? Q5. If the election were held today, do you think you would vote “yes” in favor of this measure or “no” to oppose it? 13
Initial support for the measure is strong with two-thirds voting in favor of it. Definitely yes 44% Total Yes Probably yes 20% 64% 67% Undecided, lean yes 3% Undecided, lean no 3% Total No Probably no 6% 28% Definitely no 18% Undecided 5% Q5. If the election were held today, do you think you would vote “yes” in favor of this measure or “no” to oppose it? 14
The more voters perceive there is a need for funding, the more likely they are to support the measure. Initial Vote by Need for Funding Total Yes Total No Undecided Great Some Great/ A Little/ Don't Know Need Need Some Need No Real Need (% of (24%) Sample) (51%) (17%) (8%) (75%) Q5. If the election were held today, do you think you would vote “yes” in favor of this measure or “no” to oppose it? 15
Concern over the pandemic does not hurt support: those who are extremely concerned are the most likely to support it. Initial Vote by Concern Over Pandemic Total Yes Total No Undecided Extremely Very Extremly/Very Somewhat/ Concerned Concerned Concerned Not Too Concerned/ Don't Know (% of Sample) (33%) (32%) (64%) (36%) Q5. If the election were held today, do you think you would vote “yes” in favor of this measure or “no” to oppose it? 16
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Voters prioritize funding for protecting local drinking water and maintaining 911 emergency, medical, and public safety response rates. Ext./Very Ext. Impt. Very Impt. Smwt. Impt. Not Too Impt. Impt. Protecting local drinking water 89% 59% 30% 6% 5% Requiring public disclosure of all 89% 59% 30% 9% 2% spending Maintaining 911 emergency, medical, 54% 32% 9% 86% 5% and public safety response rates Maintaining the long-term financial 48% 38% 10% 86% stability of the City ^Supporting local businesses and 46% 40% 9% 85% 5% retaining jobs Requiring all funds used in San Jacinto 52% 31% 10% 83% 7% Addressing homelessness 54% 27% 11% 8% 81% Investigating and preventing property 43% 38% 17% 81% crimes ^Preparing for and recovering from 41% 39% 16% 80% 5% public health emergencies Q11. I am now going to read you a list of possible projects, features, and provisions that might be included in this City of San Jacinto ballot measure. Regardless of how you feel about this measure, please tell me how important it is to you personally that each provision or use of funds is included in the measure: extremely important, very important, somewhat important, or not too important. ^Not Part of Split Sample 18
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