COLLIER MPO LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN 2045 LRTP ZONAL DATA - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

DECEMBER 13, 2019 --- MPO BOARD COLLIER MPO LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN 2045 LRTP ZONAL DATA – 2045 SOCIOECONOMIC DATA FORECASTS

 Vision, Goals & Objectives  PIP  Land d Develo lopm pment  Needs Plan  Final program of  Performance Measures &  Planning session  Transit & Travel  Revenue Projections projects Targets  Project Schedule Demand  Cost Feasible Plan  Draft LRTP  2045 SE Fo Fore recast sts  E+C Network  Environmental &  Final LRTP  D1-RPM PM Valida lidation  Projects Selection EJ Screening  Project close out Adviser Network •  Address FDOT Guidance Targeted Organizations &  Prioritization Criteria • Key stakeholder interviews on ACES Collier Staff Working Group • MPO Board, Committees MPO Board, Committees MPO Board, Committees MPO Board & MPO Board, Committees & Public Open House #2 & Public Open House #3 & Public Open House #1 Committees & Public Open House #4 List of Projects Visioning Concepts Project Prioritization

LRTP Model el De Developm opmen ent - De Deliver erabl bles es & & De Deadlines nes FDOT DELIVERABLES: • 2015 Base Year Data due to MPOs by November 30, 2019 MPO DELIVERABLES: • 2045 Socio-Economic (SE) Forecasts due to FDOT by January 15, 2020 3

Agend enda I Item em Endorse: 2045 SE Zonal Data 4

2015 ( 2015 (bas ase y year ar) socio-economic d data • 2015 data will be used to ‘validate’ FDOT’s regional travel model for District One • 2015 data has been prepared primarily by FDOT • FDOT has modified its 2015 data to reflect population distribution in CIGM (Collier Interactive Growth Model) 5

2015 ( 2015 (bas ase y year ar) socio-economic d data TAZ boundaries 6

2015 ( 2015 (bas ase y year ar) socio-economic d data Household income 7

2045 (forec ecast y yea ear) s soc ocio-ec economic da c data 8

2045 (forec ecast y yea ear) s soc ocio-ec economic da c data Scenario B (BEBR Medium 2045 Scenario A (CIGM 2045) will use the will modify the CIGM forecasts so 2045 forecasts for population, housing, that the county‐wide population employment, schools, and hotel total will match the most recent produced by CIGM (559,410 residents). BEBR medium projection for 2045 (516,100 residents). Scenario A will be used internally by the MPO’s consulting team to test the full Scenario B will be submitted by the CIGM forecasts in the travel model and Collier MPO to FDOT for use in the identify any potentially additional District One regional planning transportation needs. model for the 2045 LRTP. 9

2045 (forec ecast y yea ear) s soc ocio-ec economic da c data Figure 6 Scenario A (CIGM): Increase in Dwelling Units 10

2045 (forec ecast y yea ear) s soc ocio-ec economic da c data Figure 7 Scenario B (BEBR medium) Increase in Dwelling Units 11

2045 (forec ecast y yea ear) s soc ocio-ec economic da c data Scenario A (CIGM): Increase in Dwelling Units 12

2045 (forec ecast y yea ear) s soc ocio-ec economic da c data Scenario B (BEBR medium) Increase in Dwelling Units 13

2045 (forec ecast y yea ear) s soc ocio-ec economic da c data Figure 11 Scenario A (CIGM): Increase in Commercial SF 14

2045 (forec ecast y yea ear) s soc ocio-ec economic da c data Figure 12 Scenario B (BEBR medium) Increase in Commercial SF 15

2045 (forec ecast y yea ear) s soc ocio-ec economic da c data Scenario B (BEBR medium) Increase in Commercial SF 16

2045 (forec ecast y yea ear) s soc ocio-ec economic da c data Scenario B (BEBR medium) Increase in Commercial SF 17

2045 (forec ecast y yea ear) s soc ocio-ec economic da c data Scenario B (BEBR medium) Increase in Commercial SF 18

2045 (forec ecast y yea ear) s soc ocio-ec economic da c data Scenario B (BEBR medium) Increase in Commercial SF 19

2045 (forec ecast y yea ear) s soc ocio-ec economic da c data Average household size (both scenarios) 20

2045 (forec ecast y yea ear) s soc ocio-ec economic da c data Vacancy rate (both scenarios) 21

Next St Step eps • MPO Board – December 13, 2019 • Submit 2015 data to Florida DOT – January 15, 2020 22

THANK YOU

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2045 (forec ecast y yea ear) s soc ocio-ec economic da c data Scenario A (CIGM): Increase in Commercial SF 26

2045 (forec ecast y yea ear) s soc ocio-ec economic da c data Scenario B (BEBR medium) Increase in Commercial SF 27