City of Poulsbo Housing Assessment/Action Plan (HAP) Status Report – August 2020 1
Agenda § Scope of work progress § Population projections and future age groups § Socioeconomic characteristics comparisons § Housing market trends § Homeless Point-in-Time Counts § Critical skills housing implications § Your HAP survey comments § Pending HAP resident survey 2
HAP project approach and progress Gantt Chart July 2020 Housing Action Plan (HAP) Status Report Team Leader - Tom Beckwith FAICP | Economics - Eric Hovee, Nancy Jordan | | Planning - Ferdouse Oneza AICP | | | Architecture - Julie Blazek AIA LEED AP | | | | GIS - Jennifer Hackett | | | | | | | | | | months 1 Initiate your process | | | | | 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Status a Conduct retreat with study participants X X X X O This session 2 Develop your baseline information a Develop city housing profiles X X X X X Complete b Analyze city housing markets X X X X Complete c Develop city needs assessments X X X X In progress d Review with study participants X X X X O 3 Identify your resources/constraints/opportunities a Assess resources/constraints/opportunities X X X X X In progress b Survey city resident households X In progress c Review with study participants X X X X O O 4 Develop your housing action plan a Develop housing action plan policies/strategies X X X X X b Survey city voters on action plan X X X X c Review with study participants X X X X O O 5 Adopt your housing action plan a Edit/publish final action plan X X X X X b Adopt plan with PC/City Council X O Subtotal 3
Population projections and characteristics § Kitsap County’s population will grow from births and net in-migration § Poulsbo’s population will increase from 11,000 in 2020 to 19,000 by 2050 § Poulsbo’s age-specific numbers will include a very high concentration of elderly and relatively few children § Poulsbo’s characteristics include a low person per household ratio (2.39), high median age (40.9), concentration of over 65+ (22%), and large percent of households in families (67%) compared to Washington State, Puget Sound, and US 4
Kitsap County population projections Kitsap County population projection Kitsap County Population Change 2010-2040 400,000 10,091 -19,990 2035-40 350,000 18,637 10,140 -18,103 2030-35 300,000 18,058 10,302 250,000 -15,687 2025-30 17,762 200,000 9,788 -13,509 2020-25 17,440 150,000 8,356 -11,734 2015-20 100,000 16,892 5,410 50,000 -9,912 2010-15 15,401 0 -25,000 -20,000 -15,000 -10,000 -5,000 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 Net migration Deaths Births Source: Washington State Office of Financial Management (OFM) Source: Washington State Office of Financial Management (OFM) Poulsbo population projections Poulsbo age-specific projections 2010-2050 25,000 3,161 85+ 460 1,133 80-84 277 944 75-79 271 955 70-74 332 20,000 887 65-69 442 862 60-64 539 814 55-59 562 758 50-54 15,000 568 788 45-49 580 954 40-44 596 1,073 35-39 571 1,031 30-34 10,000 551 941 25-29 548 777 20-24 512 894 15-19 576 1,001 5,000 10-14 590 1,142 5-9 652 1,032 0-4 573 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 0 Poulsbo 2050 Poulsbo 2010 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 WA OFM 2018, Port Orchard Population 2010 Factored by Location Quotient and Forecast Control Source: Poulsbo Comprehensive Plan Washington State Office of Financial Management (OFM) GMA Forecasts, Poulsbo Comprehensive Plan 5
Poulsbo socioeconomic characteristics Median age Average household size 41.0 2.70 40.7 2.64 2.65 40.0 2.59 2.60 39.2 2.57 2.55 39.0 2.55 Persons per household Years 2.50 38.0 37.7 37.6 2.45 37.2 37.0 2.39 2.40 2.35 36.0 2.30 35.0 2.25 US WA Puget Sound Kitsap Poulsbo US WA Puget Sound Kitsap Poulsbo Source: American Community Survey (ACS) 2014-2018 Source: American Community Survey (ACS) 2014-2018 Percent 65+ Percent households in families 25% 68% 67% 67% 22% 67% 20% 66% 66% Percent of households Percent of population 16% 65% 14% 15% 64% 14% 12% 64% 63% 10% 63% 62% 5% 61% 60% 0% US WA Puget Sound Kitsap Poulsbo US WA Puget Sound Kitsap Poulsbo Source: American Community Survey (ACS) 2014-2018 Source: American Community Survey (ACS) 2014-2018 American Community Survey (ACS) 2014-2018 6
Female headed households Non-family households living alone 25% 100% 90% 86% 81% 79% 20% 77% 20% 80% 76% 70% 16% 15% 14% 15% 14% 60% 47% 50% 11% 10% 40% 9% 8% 8% 8% 32% 30% 28% 30% 24% 5% 20% 10% 0% 0% US WA Puget Sound Kitsap Poulsbo US WA Puget Sound Kitsap Poulsbo Female only headed household Female only headed household with related children Living alone Living alone over 65 Resided in same house 1 year ago 86% 85% 85% 84% Percent of population 83% 83% 82% 82% 82% 81% 81% 80% 79% US WA Puget Sound Kitsap Poulsbo Source: American Community Survey (ACS) 2014-2018 7
Percent civilian employed in labor force 64% 62% 62% 60% 59% 58% Percent in labor force 58% 56% 56% 54% 52% 52% 50% 48% 46% US WA Puget Sound Kitsap Poulsbo Source: American Community Survey (ACS) 2014-2018 Percent employed in base industries Percent employed in services 25% 85% 84% 84% 19% 20% 19% 18% 17% 83% Percent of employed 16% 83% Percent employed 82% 15% 82% 81% 81% 81% 10% 80% 5% 79% 78% 0% US WA Puget Sound Kitsap Poulsbo US WA Puget Sound Kitsap Poulsbo Source: American Community Survey (ACS) 2014-2018 Source: American Community Survey (ACS) 2014-2018 8
Workers - government Workers - private wage and salary 30% 90% 28% 80% 80% 78% 80% 25% 71% 70% 65% 21% Percent of all workers Percent of all workers 20% 60% 16% 50% 14% 15% 14% 40% 30% 10% 20% 5% 10% 0% 0% US WA Puget Sound Kitsap Poulsbo US WA Puget Sound Kitsap Poulsbo Source: American Community Survey (ACS) 2014-2018 Source: American Community Survey (ACS) 2014-2018 Workers - self-employed in own business 9% 8% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% Percent of all workers 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 0% US WA Puget Sound Kitsap Poulsbo Source: American Community Survey (ACS) 2014-2018 9
No vehicles available to household Mean travel time to work in minutes 7% 35.0 30.3 6% 29.6 6% 30.0 26.7 26.1 5% 25.0 23.4 Percent of households 5% 4% 20.0 4% Minutes 3% 15.0 3% 10.0 2% 5.0 1% 0.0 0% US WA Puget Sound Kitsap Poulsbo WA Puget Sound Kitsap Poulsbo Source: American Community Survey (ACS) 2014-2018 Source: American Community Survey (ACS) 2014-2018 10
Median per capita income Median family income $40,000 $38,095 $100,000 $34,240 $90,479 $89,099 $35,000 $90,000 $32,999 $32,801 $29,829 $77,893 $80,000 $76,507 $30,000 $67,871 $70,000 $25,000 $60,000 Dollars $20,000 Dollars $50,000 $15,000 $40,000 $30,000 $10,000 $20,000 $5,000 $10,000 $0 US WA Puget Sound Kitsap Poulsbo $0 Source: American Community Survey (ACS) 2014-2018 US WA Puget Sound Kitsap Poulsbo Source: American Community Survey (ACS) 2014-2018 Total families in poverty Percent of population in poverty 12.0% 16.0% 11.0% 15.1% 14.0% 10.0% 12.7% 8.4% 12.0% 10.8% 8.0% 10.4% Percent of families Percent of population 7.1% 7.1% 10.0% 6.0% 5.6% 8.0% 7.1% 6.0% 4.0% 4.0% 2.0% 2.0% 0.0% 0.0% US WA Puget Sound Kitsap Poulsbo US WA Puget Sound Kitsap Poulsbo Source: American Community Survey (ACS) 2014-2018 Source: American Community Survey (ACS) 2014-2018 11
Percent in detached single family units Percent in multifamily of 20+ units 16% 70% 68% 14% 14% 68% 12% 66% Percent of housing units 65% Percent of housing units 10% 64% 10% 63% 9% 9% 62% 62% 8% 60% 60% 6% 5% 58% 4% 56% 2% 54% 0% US WA Puget Sound Kitsap Poulsbo US WA Puget Sound Kitsap Poulsbo Source: American Community Survey (ACS) 2014-2018 Source: American Community Survey (ACS) 2014-2018 Median house value Median rent $400,000 $1,400 $342,891 1,246 $335,600 $350,000 $1,210 $1,200 $1,081 $1,056 $300,000 $269,300 $262,400 $1,000 $949 $250,000 Dollars Dollars $800 $200,000 $184,700 $600 $150,000 $400 $100,000 $200 $50,000 $0 $0 US WA Puget Sound Kitsap Poulsbo US WA Puget Sound Kitsap Poulsbo Source: American Community Survey (ACS) 2014-2018 Source: American Community Survey (ACS) 2014-2018 12
Percent owner occupied Percent renter occupied housing units 68% 45% 67% 40% 40% 38% 37% 36% 66% 35% 33% 64% 30% 64% Percent of housing Percent of housing 63% 62% 25% 62% 20% 60% 15% 60% 10% 58% 5% 0% 56% US WA Puget Sound Kitsap Poulsbo US WA Puget Sound Kitsap Poulsbo Source: American Community Survey (ACS) 2014-2018 Source: American Community Survey (ACS) 2014-2018 Percent paying over 35% of income 45% 42% 40% 40% 40% 40% 39% 35% 30% 28% 24% 24% 24% 25% 23% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% US WA Puget Sound Kitsap Poulsbo Owners Renters 13
Hispanic or Latino of any race Language other than English 20% 25% 18% 17% 21% 21% 16% 20% 19% 14% Percent of population Percent of population 12% 12% 15% 11% 9% 10% 12% 8% 10% 7% 7% 6% 4% 5% 2% 0% 0% US WA Puget Sound Kitsap Poulsbo US WA Puget Sound Kitsap Poulsbo Source: American Community Survey (ACS) 2014-2018 Source: American Community Survey (ACS) 2014-2018 14
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