Central Arizona Project Central Arizona Project Water Orders and - PDF document

Central Arizona Project Central Arizona Project Water Orders and Excess Supply Water Orders and Excess Supply for 2009 for 2009 2009 CAP Supply 2009 CAP Supply Losses 50,000 af Excess Supply 832,000 af CAP Delivery Supply Ag Indian 2.8 MAF Long- 1,575,000 af 9,000 af 206,000 af Term 693,000 af M&I 478,000 af On-River CAP 1,225,000 af Colorado River 1

2009 Excess CAP 2009 Excess CAP Orders exceed supply by 169,800 af AWBA & Subject to CAGRD RR 195,900 af Reduction Incentive Recharge 344,700 af Excess Supply Full Cost 61,200 af Fully 832,000 af Protected Ag Settlement Pool 400,000 af Supply Orders 2009 Excess Orders 2009 Excess Orders � 18 Incentive customers 63k AFRP; HMRP 55k 53k 26k 7k 4k Vidler TDRP 36k Tonopah ID SRP; SWC RWCD 63k NMIDD QCID GRIIDD (PHX) 24k Incentive 33k 99k Recharge, MSIDD AWBA and CAIDD; HIDD GRIIDD (PIN) CAGRD RR 7k Kai 52k Orders 1k LSCRP; AVRP CMID; BKW 32k Direct CAVSRP SAVSRP 1k USFs PMRRP GSFs 2

2009 Excess Orders 2009 Excess Orders � If AWBA & RR are eliminated… 11k 63k 63k 52k 52k � Uneven impacts 10k AFRP; HMRP AFRP; HMRP AFRP; HMRP AFRP; HMRP 55k 55k 53k 53k 53k 53k 52k 52k 26k 26k 26k 26k 7k 7k 4k 4k 4k 4k Vidler Vidler Vidler Vidler TDRP TDRP TDRP TDRP � Ag Pricing 36k 36k 36k 36k Tonopah ID Tonopah ID Tonopah ID Tonopah ID 9k SRP; SWC SRP; SWC SRP; SWC SRP; SWC Program RWCD RWCD RWCD RWCD 63k 63k 54k 54k NMIDD NMIDD NMIDD NMIDD QCID QCID QCID QCID GRIIDD GRIIDD GRIIDD GRIIDD 24k 24k 24k (PHX) (PHX) (PHX) (PHX) � Recovery AWBA and 44k 33k 33k 33k agreements 99k 99k CAGRD RR MSIDD MSIDD MSIDD MSIDD 55k 55k Orders set CAIDD; HIDD CAIDD; HIDD CAIDD; HIDD CAIDD; HIDD � Operational & GRIIDD (PIN) GRIIDD (PIN) GRIIDD (PIN) GRIIDD (PIN) to zero 7k 7k 6k 6k 1k Kai Kai Kai Kai 31k 52k 52k economic impacts 21k 21k 1k 1k 1k 1k LSCRP; AVRP LSCRP; AVRP LSCRP; AVRP LSCRP; AVRP CMID; BKW CMID; BKW CMID; BKW CMID; BKW � AWBA Not Delivered 32k 32k 32k commitments Direct Direct Direct Direct CAVSRP CAVSRP CAVSRP CAVSRP SAVSRP SAVSRP SAVSRP SAVSRP 1k 1k USFs USFs USFs USFs PMRRP PMRRP PMRRP PMRRP � Indian Firming GSFs GSFs GSFs GSFs 2009 Orders 2009 Orders #1 Original Orders 2 k 4 k 147k 70k AFRP; HMRP 53k 30k 11k 4k 400k Vidler TDRP 36k Tonopah ID SRP; SWC 300k 77k RWCD NMIDD 200k QCID GRIIDD 24k 100k (PHX) Outside Phoenix Pinal Tucson 33k 99k MSIDD CAIDD; HIDD GRIIDD (PIN) 7k CAP Delivery Supply 1,525,000 Kai 58k - M&I Subcontracts 480,000 1k - Indian Contracts 191,000 LSCRP; AVRP ------------ CMID; BKW Excess Supply = 854,000 32k - Ag Settlement Pool* 400,000 Direct CAVSRP - Other Excess Order 688,400 1k SAVSRP ------------ USFs PMRRP = Excess "Deficit" 234,400 GSFs Show water not delivered * includes recovery 3

AWBA & RR @ 0% AWBA & RR @ 0% #2 AWBA & CAGRD 10k 2 k Replenishment Reserve 11k 4 k to Zero 59k 144k AFRP; HMRP 53k 30k 4k 4k Vidler TDRP 400k 36k Tonopah ID 9k 300k SRP; SWC RWCD 68k NMIDD 200k QCID GRIIDD 24k 100k (PHX) 44k Outside Phoenix Pinal Tucson 33k MSIDD 55k CAIDD; HIDD GRIIDD (PIN) CAP Delivery Supply 1,525,000 6k 1k 31k Kai - M&I Subcontracts 480,000 27k 1k - Indian Contracts 191,000 LSCRP; AVRP ------------ CMID; BKW = Excess Supply 854,000 Not Delivered 32k - Ag Settlement Pool* 400,000 Direct CAVSRP - Other Excess Order 492,724 SAVSRP ------------ USFs PMRRP 38,724 = Excess "Deficit" GSFs Show water not delivered * includes recovery AWBA & RR @ 0% AWBA & RR @ 0% #2 AWBA & CAGRD 10k 2 k Replenishment Reserve � Still leaves 39 KAF “deficit” 11k 4 k to Zero 59k 144k AFRP; HMRP � Uneven impacts 53k 30k 4k 4k Vidler TDRP 400k 36k Tonopah ID 9k 300k SRP; SWC � Ag Pricing Program RWCD 68k NMIDD 200k QCID GRIIDD 24k 100k (PHX) � Recovery agreements 44k Outside Phoenix Pinal Tucson 33k 55k MSIDD � Operational & economic impacts CAIDD; HIDD CAP Delivery Supply GRIIDD (PIN) 6k 1k 1,525,000 31k Kai - M&I Subcontracts 480,000 27k 1k - Indian Contracts � AWBA commitments 191,000 LSCRP; AVRP ------------ CMID; BKW = Excess Supply 854,000 Not Delivered 32k - Ag Settlement Pool* 400,000 Direct � Indian Firming CAVSRP - Other Excess Order 492,724 SAVSRP ------------ USFs PMRRP = Excess "Deficit" 38,724 GSFs Show water not delivered * includes recovery 4

Protect AWBA GSF & Indian Protect AWBA GSF & Indian #1 #2 #8 {not defined} Original Orders AWBA & CAGRD 2 k 10k 10k 2 k 2 k Replenishment Reserve 4 k 11k 11k 4 k 4 k to Zero 70k 147k 59k 59k 144k 144k AFRP; HMRP AFRP; HMRP AFRP; HMRP 53k 53k 53k 30k 30k 30k 11k 4k 4k 4k 4k 4k Vidler Vidler Vidler TDRP TDRP TDRP 400k 400k 400k 36k 36k 36k Tonopah ID Tonopah ID Tonopah ID 9k 9k 300k 300k 300k SRP; SWC SRP; SWC SRP; SWC RWCD RWCD RWCD 77k 68k 68k NMIDD NMIDD NMIDD 200k 200k 200k QCID QCID QCID GRIIDD GRIIDD GRIIDD 24k 24k 24k 100k 100k 100k (PHX) (PHX) (PHX) 44k Outside Outside Outside Phoenix Phoenix Phoenix Pinal Pinal Pinal Tucson Tucson Tucson 33k 33k 33k 99k 99k MSIDD MSIDD 55k MSIDD CAIDD; HIDD CAIDD; HIDD CAIDD; HIDD GRIIDD (PIN) GRIIDD (PIN) GRIIDD (PIN) 7k CAP Delivery Supply CAP Delivery Supply CAP Delivery Supply 1,525,000 1,525,000 1,525,000 6k 6k 1k 1k 7k 31k Kai Kai Kai 51k 58k - - - M&I Subcontracts M&I Subcontracts M&I Subcontracts 480,000 480,000 480,000 27k 1k 1k 1k - - Indian Contracts Indian Contracts Indian Contracts 191,000 191,000 - 191,000 LSCRP; AVRP LSCRP; AVRP LSCRP; AVRP ------------ ------------ ------------ CMID; BKW CMID; BKW CMID; BKW = = = Excess Supply Excess Supply Excess Supply 854,000 854,000 854,000 Not Not Delivered Delivered 32k 32k 32k - Ag Settlement Pool* - Ag Settlement Pool* - Ag Settlement Pool* 400,000 400,000 400,000 Direct Direct Direct CAVSRP CAVSRP CAVSRP - Other Excess Order - Other Excess Order - Other Excess Order 617,500 492,724 688,400 SAVSRP SAVSRP SAVSRP 1k ------------ ------------ ------------ USFs USFs USFs PMRRP PMRRP PMRRP 163,500 38,724 = Excess "Deficit" = Excess "Deficit" = Excess "Deficit" 234,400 GSFs GSFs GSFs Show water not delivered Show water not delivered Show water not delivered * includes recovery * includes recovery * includes recovery Full Cost vs. Incentive Full Cost vs. Incentive � Full Cost Excess � Energy 1 = $45 � Fixed OM&R = $63 � Capital Charge = $18 � Total = $126/AF � Incentive Recharge � Energy 2 = $70 � 10% Fixed OM&R = $6 � Lost Federal Rev. = $5 � Total = $82/AF 5

Full Cost vs. Incentive Full Cost vs. Incentive � Incentive Recharge � Get water off CO River y t o r i i � Store for long-term p r o c t a & f t e o s d C l l F u n e w e t e e g � Must earn long-term credit b a r h c e R e v t i e n c n I � Full Cost � More flexible � Annual recharge, replenishment, small direct use, etc. Potential Reduction Strategies Reduction Strategies Potential � Prorate � Cap on volume � Auction � Preference USF or GSF � Prioritize by contract date � Bench against historic use � Preference subcontractors � Preference non-subcontractors � Apportion by AMA or county � Et cetera 6