British Columbia’s Carbon Tax A brief history Matt Horne Pembina Institute April 26, 2016
Eight years and counting 2
Tax rate and coverage Implemented in 2008 at $10 per tonne of CO 2 e with a schedule to reach $30 per tonne in 2012 (equivalent to ~7 cents per litre of gasoline). Frozen at $30 per tonne from 2013 until 2018. Applies to almost all fossil fuel combustion in B.C. (~70% of B.C.’s carbon pollution). B.C. Carbon tax rate schedule $35 $30 $25 $20 $15 $10 $5 $0 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 3
Revenue recycling 4
Environmental results 5
Economic results Change in GDP 2.00 1.75 1.50 1.25 BC 1.00 Rest of Canada 0.75 0.50 0.25 0.00 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 6 (Source: Statistics Canada, 2000-2014)
Political perspectives 80 MLAs supporting the carbon tax MLAs opposed to the carbon tax 60 40 20 0 2009 election 2013 election 7 (MLA – Member of the Legislative Assembly)
Public perspectives Support for B.C.'s carbon tax 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Feb July May June Nov Nov Oct Oct Oct 2008 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 8 (Source: Environics Institute, 2008-2015)
Next steps? In 2015, B.C. started a process to determine the next steps in its climate plan. A multi-sector advisory panel recommended increasing and expanding the carbon tax. B.C. is planning to release its new climate plan this spring. 9
Affordability and competitiveness Affordability Reduce sales tax, o increase low-income tax credit, and increase northern/rural tax credit Competitiveness Implement measures to o protect competitiveness of emissions-intensive, trade- exposed sectors 10
Support for next steps 11
Lessons learned The carbon tax has been an economic and environmental success. That success also depends on the other policies in B.C.’s climate plan. The success has led to broad support for carbon tax’s first phase. Everyone has an opinion on how to best use carbon tax revenue. Next steps are still uncertain. 12
Thank you Matt Horne phone: 778.235.1476 email: matth@pembina.org twitter: @HorneMatt
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