Hazards Identification, Vulnerability Assessment, and Climate Adaptation Planning FOR THE LOUISVILLE METRO AREA
Who We Are Non-profit organizations specializing in climate adaptation planning and community engagement • Geos Institute • Climate Access
Mitigation vs. Adaptation • Climate Action Plan – Yes! • Without mitigation, increase in global temp. 9 ○ F or more • Need to limit to 3.6 ○ F or less (2 ○ C)
Mitigation vs. Adaptation • 30+ years of worsening impacts – already tied in • Sea level rise already 7-8 inches (1-4 ft. or even 8 ft. by 2100) • Longer and hotter heat waves, wildfire smoke • First documented climate-caused extinction • Spread of ticks and diseases, other health impacts
Whole Community Adaptation • Highly collaborative, cross-sector • Community and stakeholder engagement
Whole Community Adaptation • Science-based • Culture of learning Number of nights/yr. above 80 ○ F
Example Projects
Example Projects
Example Projects
Overview of Approach Strategy Team • Champions • Experts • Under-represented groups • In-depth community knowledge and connections • Geographic representation • Bridge to implementation Photo by Keith Henty
Overview of Approach Create a climate change addendum to the 2016 Hazard Mitigation Plan
Overview of Approach
Overview of Approach Climate Adaptation Planning • Values frame • Science based • Focus on co-benefits • Cross-sector • Prevents conflict, maladaptation
Overview of Approach Human Systems Built Systems Natural Systems Economic Systems Cultural Systems
Overview of Approach Communication and Engagement • Co-exploration of risks and opportunities • Identification and incorporation of community concerns and priorities • Tap local knowledge and resources
Overview of Approach Communication and Engagement • Gain understanding of local context & identify relevant risk communication best practices • Stakeholder mapping • Community stakeholder dialogues • Develop framing and engagement strategy from what is learned through strategy sessions, interviews, dialogues • Create outreach materials
Timeline
What comes afterwards • City ordinance • Mainstreaming • Monitoring and reassessment
Missoula County, Montana Local Values for Missoula County, MT • Clean, abundant water • Outdoor recreation • Fish and wildlife • Compassionate community • Quality of life
Vulnerabilities BLM • Increased water conflict – ag, fish & wildlife, industry, residential, outside markets • Increasing risk and cost of fires & firefighting • Respiratory illness and heart disease from declining air quality • Low income populations in high flood risk areas • Loss of quality of life related to natural areas and outdoor recreation 20
Adaptation Strategies CCA SA3.0 Marcin Klapczynisk • Reintroduce beavers • Link insurance rates to risk level (but not for low income) • Obtain public ownership of • Limit development in WUI water resources • Education and outreach on • Increase carbon storage in water conservation trees, soils, vegetation • Showcase success stories • Education and collaborate on restoration, agricultural with landowners (culture of innovations, etc. self-reliance) • Improve air quality • Restore floodplains 21 DO NOT DISTRIBUTE
San Antonio, TX • Joint Climate Action and Adaptation Plan • Grounded in climate equity • Screening mechanism • Access to jobs, housing, transportation, etc. • Safety & Security • Health • Affordability • Culture & History
Vulnerabilities 23
Adaptation Strategies 24 DO NOT DISTRIBUTE
Adaptation Strategies 25 DO NOT DISTRIBUTE
Adaptation Strategies 26 DO NOT DISTRIBUTE
Keys To Success From “Passing Go: Moving Beyond the Plan” Federation of Canadian Municipalities
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