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Annual Meeting April 20, 2017 Note: All financial disclosure in - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Annual Meeting April 20, 2017 Note: All financial disclosure in this presentation is, unless otherwise noted, in US$ Forward-Looking Statements Certain statements contained herein may constitute forward-looking information (within the meaning of


  1. Annual Meeting April 20, 2017 Note: All financial disclosure in this presentation is, unless otherwise noted, in US$

  2. Forward-Looking Statements Certain statements contained herein may constitute forward-looking information (within the meaning of Canadian securities legislation) and forward-looking statements (within the meaning of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995). These statements can be identified by expressions of belief, expectation or intention, as well as those statements that are not historical fact. Forward-looking statements are based upon assumptions, estimates, opinions and analysis made by management in light of its experience, current conditions and its expectations of future developments that management believe to be reasonable and relevant, and are subject to known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause the actual results, performance or achievements of Fairfax to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Such factors include, but are not limited to: a reduction in net earnings if our loss reserves are insufficient; underwriting losses on the risks we insure that are higher or lower than expected; the occurrence of catastrophic events with a frequency or severity exceeding our estimates; changes in market variables, including interest rates, foreign exchange rates, equity prices and credit spreads, which could negatively affect our investment portfolio; the cycles of the insurance market and general economic conditions, which can substantially influence our and our competitors' premium rates and capacity to write new business; insufficient reserves for asbestos, environmental and other latent claims; exposure to credit risk in the event our reinsurers fail to make payments to us under our reinsurance arrangements; exposure to credit risk in the event our insureds, insurance producers or reinsurance intermediaries fail to remit premiums that are owed to us or failure by our insureds to reimburse us for deductibles that are paid by us on their behalf; the timing of claims payments being sooner or the receipt of reinsurance recoverables being later than anticipated by us; the inability of our subsidiaries to maintain financial or claims paying ability ratings; risks associated with implementing our business strategies; risks associated with our use of derivative instruments; the failure of our hedging methods to achieve their desired risk management objective; a decrease in the level of demand for insurance or reinsurance products, or increased competition in the insurance industry; the impact of emerging claim and coverage issues; the failure of any of the loss limitation methods we employ; our inability to access cash of our subsidiaries; our inability to obtain required levels of capital on favourable terms, if at all; the loss of key employees; technological or other change which adversely impacts demand, or the premiums payable, for the insurance coverages we offer; our inability to obtain reinsurance coverage in sufficient amounts, at reasonable prices or on terms that adequately protect us; the passage of legislation subjecting our businesses to additional supervision or regulation, including additional tax regulation, in the United States, Canada or other jurisdictions in which we operate; risks associated with government investigations of, and litigation and negative publicity related to, insurance industry practice or any other conduct; risks associated with political and other developments in foreign jurisdictions in which we operate; risks associated with legal or regulatory proceedings; failures or security breaches of our computer and data processing systems; the influence exercisable by our significant shareholder; adverse fluctuations in foreign currency exchange rates; our dependence on independent brokers over whom we exercise little control; an impairment in the carrying value of our goodwill and indefinite-lived intangible assets; our failure to realize deferred income tax assets; and assessments and shared market mechanisms which may adversely affect our U.S. insurance subsidiaries. We caution readers not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which speak only as of their dates. We disclaim any intention or obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, change in assumption or opinion or otherwise, except as may be required by applicable securities laws. Additional risks and uncertainties are described in our most recently issued Annual Report which is available at www.fairfax.ca and in our Supplemental and Base Shelf Prospectus (under “Risk Factors”) filed with the securities regulatory authorities in Canada, which is available on SEDAR at www.sedar.com. 2

  3. Guiding Principles Objectives  We expect to compound our mark-to-market book value per share over the long term by 15% annually by running Fairfax and its subsidiaries for the long term benefit of customers, employees, shareholders and the communities where we operate – at the expense of short term profits if necessary  Our focus is long term growth in book value per share and not quarterly earnings. We plan to grow through internal means as well as through friendly acquisitions  We always want to be soundly financed  We provide complete disclosure annually to our shareholders 3

  4. Guiding Principles Structure  Our companies are decentralized and run by the presidents except for performance evaluation, succession planning, acquisitions, financing and investments, which are done by or with Fairfax. Investing will always be conducted based on a long term value-oriented philosophy. Cooperation among companies is encouraged to the benefit of Fairfax in total  Complete and open communication between Fairfax and its subsidiaries is an essential requirement at Fairfax  Share ownership and large incentives are encouraged across the Group  Fairfax will always be a very small holding company and not an operating company 4

  5. Guiding Principles Values  Honesty and integrity are essential in all of our relationships and will never be compromised  We are results oriented — not political  We are team players — no "egos”. A confrontational style is not appropriate. We value loyalty — to Fairfax and our colleagues  We are hard working but not at the expense of our families  We always look at opportunities but emphasize downside protection and look for ways to minimize loss of capital  We are entrepreneurial. We encourage calculated risk taking. It is all right to fail but we should learn from our mistakes  We will never bet the company on any project or acquisition  We believe in having fun — at work! 5

  6. Success of Our Formula  Our combination of disciplined underwriting and long-term value investing has produced superior returns over a long period Superior Disciplined Value Long-Term Underwriting Investing Returns 15% long-term book value per share CAGR target – achieved 19% since inception 6

  7. Fairfax Value Creation – 31 Years 31 Year Compound Annual Growth Rate Fairfax book value per share – 19.4% $600 Fairfax share price (USD) – 18.8% S&P 500 Index – 7.9% 484 $500 $400 367 $300 Book Value Fairfax share price (USD) $200 S&P 500 index $100 25 $0 1985 1989 1993 1997 2001 2005 2009 2013 2016 7

  8. Historic Performance vs. Peer Group Compound Growth in Book Value per Share (5 Years Ended December 31, 2016) (1) 12.8% 12.2% 11.5% 11.5% 7.9% 7.7% 7.7% 7.5% 7.4% 7.0% 6.4% 5.9% 5.0% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2% 8 (1) Except for S&P 500 and TSX which are compound index returns excluding dividends

  9. Historic Performance vs. Peer Group Compound Growth in Book Value per Share (31 Years: since Fairfax’s inception) (1) 19.4% 16.2% 15.7% 13.9% 12.6% 12.0% 8.7% 7.9% 5.5% 9 (1) Except for S&P 500 and TSX which are compound index returns excluding dividends

  10. Sources of Net Earnings in 2016 ($ millions) Underwriting profit – (combined ratio of 92.5%) $576 Investment income – insurance and reinsurance 463 Operating income 1,039 Other (1) (390) Realized investment gains 563 Pre-tax income including realized investment gains 1,213 Unrealized investment losses (574) Hedging losses (1,193) Pre-tax loss (554) Net loss ($395) 10 (1) Includes: non-insurance operations, runoff operating income, interest expense and corporate overhead & other

  11. Underwriting Results in 2016 Combined Underwriting ratio profit ($ millions) Northbridge 94.9% 46 Crum & Forster 98.2% 33 Zenith 79.7% 164 Brit 97.9% 29 OdysseyRe 88.7% 235 Fairfax Asia 86.4% 41 Other Insurance and Reinsurance 93.7% 28 Consolidated 92.5% 576 11

  12. Results Since Fully Hedged in 2010 2010-2016 ($ billions) Underwriting profit $1.4 Interest and dividends – insurance and reinsurance 3.0 Operating income 4.4 Other (1) (2.2) Pre-tax income before net gains (losses) on investments 2.2 Net gains (losses) on investments, consisting of: Hedging losses (4.4) Realized and unrealized gains on stocks 2.7 Net loss on stocks (1.7) Net realized and unrealized gains on bonds 2.2 Net loss on CPI-linked derivatives and others (0.5) 0.0 Pre-tax income 2.2 Net earnings $2.0 12 (1) Includes: non-insurance operations, runoff operating income, interest expense and corporate overhead & other

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