Achieving the SRF targets? Frank Rijsberman, Consortium CEO
Intermedia iary ry 2022 targets ali lign with ith th this is se second call. ll. CRP’s claim contribution to 2022 targets in pre -proposals ls. 100 million more farm households have adopted improved varieties, breeds or trees, and / or REDUCED POVERTY improved management practices 30 million people, of which 50% are women, assisted to exit poverty IMPROVED FOOD AND NUTRITION Improve the rate of yield increase for major food staples from current <1% to 1.2-1.5% per year 30 million more people, of which 50% are women, meeting minimum dietary energy requirements SECURITY FOR HEALTH 150 million more people, of which 50% are women, without deficiencies in one or more of the following essential micronutrients: iron, zinc, iodine, vitamin A, folate and vitamin B12 10% reduction in women of reproductive age who are consuming less than the adequate number of food groups 5% increase in water and nutrient (inorganic, biological) use efficiency in agro-ecosystems, RESOURCES SYSTEMS IMPROVED NATURAL including through recycling and reuse AND ECOSYSTEMS Reduce agriculturally-related greenhouse gas emissions by 0.2 Gt CO2-e yr-1 (5%) compared with business-as-usual scenario in 2022 SERVICES 55 million hectares (ha) degraded land area restored 2.5 million ha of forest saved from deforestation
Investment results are analyzed against the SRF’s: (a (a) ) Resu sult lts Framework rk; and (b (b) ) CGIA IAR Targets. TWO ANALYTICAL LENSES Qualitative outcomes through the 1 Investments: Results Framework (RF) Pre-proposals Heatmaps analyses 12 excl. Genebanks • Flagships (69) 2 Quantitative outcomes through • Outcomes (320) CGIAR Targets Contribution to targets analyses
Heatmap of f in investments against ID IDOs Agrifood Systems Global Integrating DCLAS Fish FAL Lstock Maize Rice RTB Wheat CCAFS A4NH PIM WLE SLO IDO Markets Income Poverty Resilience to CC Productivity Productivity Improved diets Improved food safety Food & Nutrition Improved health Ecosystem Services Agro-ES Management NRM & ES Natural Capital
Conclu Co lusio ion: : if if clai laims are reali lized, , CR CRPs as s proposed could ld achie ieve all ll but t tw two targets (t (two need clar larif ific icatio ion) Improved Food & Nutrition Security for Health Reduced Poverty Improved Natural Resource Systems & Ecosystem Services VALUE MONEY VALUE MONEY VALUE MONEY 100M 2022 HH 150M CGIAR adopt Yield inc. 30M people 10% less 5% inc. in Targets` varieties 30M From people w/o women w water Reduce % weight % weight % weight / people <1% to w/ min micronut insufficie &nutrient Ag GHG 2.5M ha in this in this in this practice exit 1.2% to diet rdefcienc nt food use by 0.2 Gt 55M ha of forest SLO SLO SLO s poverty 1.5%/yr energy y groups efficiency CO2/yr restored saved ($ M) ($ M) ($ M) LivStck 5 2.5 47% (426) 3.0% 15 39% (348) 10% 14% (127) Dryld 20 40 60% (515) 1.5% 3 110 30% (265) 27 10% (89) RTB 8 20 50% (336) x 5M 40% (317) 2.5 10% (85) AGRI-FOOD Maize 1 15 6 1.5% 10 3M 3M Ha 0.7 Rice 22 17 50% (473) 1.5% 30 40% (333) 5% 5% 10% (116) AgroFrst 100 25 35% (257) x 25 50 20% (170) 0.2 – 0.6 30 3 -9.6 45% (319) Wheat 17.5 5.7 56% (301) 1.5% 10 3M 40% (212) 5M Ha 0.2 4% (22) Fish 5 2.5 40% (158) 5 1M 40% (172) 15% 20% (89) A4N 35 10% (66) 100 10% 90% (532) 0 INTEGRATING PIM 29.9 8.9 60% (271) 35% (154) 22.7 5% (25) GLBL Ccafs 12.5 3.75 50% (129) 25% (75) 0.2 (8%) 2 25% (68) WLE 8.5-17.5 14% (68) 13%(63) 5-20% 14% 18 73% (355) Color legend Green = good coherence between the overall and PIM claims Feasible Needs Orange= some coherence between the overall and PIM claims Purple = poor coherence between the overall and PIM claims if achieved clarification Black = Outcomes were not directly expressed in terms of CGIAR targets
Port rtfoli lio le level l V4M Co Conclu lusio ions and Recommendatio ion 1. 1. Tar argets provide a a pri riority se settin ing ap approach: a. Set targets linked to SDGs b. Allocate funding to CRPs & platforms to achieve the targets 2. 2. V4M 4M an analysis is sh shows th that pre-proposal outcome claims would deliver CGIAR Targets for 2022 assuming they are delivered, and more clarity is obtained for two of them 3. 3. Fu Full ll Proposals ls need to o be use sed to o str trengthen cr credib ibil ilit ity an and consistency of of bot oth outcomes, budgets, baselines, indicators Recommendation: clearly separate qualitative and quantitative outcomes from each other and from monitoring milestones
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