ABDUL ALIM SENIOR ECONOMIC AFFAIRS OFFICER, UN-OHRLLS Data Overview - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

UPDATE ON ENERGY ACCESS SITUATION IN ASIA-PACIFIC LDCs How countries are tracking to meet the sustainable energy for all goals by 2030 ABDUL ALIM SENIOR ECONOMIC AFFAIRS OFFICER, UN-OHRLLS

Data Overview Data for this analysis is sourced from the World Development Indicators, UNSD and the SEforALL Knowledge Hub drawing from the following reports:  Global Tracking Framework (2012 data)  Access to Electricity  Primary Energy Intensity  Global Tracking Framework (forthcoming 2014 data)  Share of Renewables and Modern Renewables in Total Final Energy Consumption  Regulatory Indicators for Sustainable Energy (2015-2016 data)  Overall indicator  Energy Access Pillar  Renewable Energy Pillar  Energy Efficiency Pillar  IFC’s Ease of Doing Business (2016 data)  Overall rank  Getting Electricity indicator

Proportion of population with access to electricity  In 2012, around 34 per cent of the population in LDCs had access to electricity.  Huge gap between LDCs and the rest of the world  Urgent need to Source: UNSD SDG Indicators Global Database intensify efforts in making energy available for all and addressing the huge gaps . Source: International Energy Agency (IEA) and the World Bank, 2015. ‘Sustainable Energy for All 2015— Progress Toward Sustainable Energy’. http://trackingenergy4all.worldbank.org/~/media/GIAWB/GTF/Documents/GTF-2105-Full-Report.pdf

Proportion of population 100.0 African with access to electricity LDCs 18.3 90.0 80.0 Asian LDCs  Compared to African LDCs, 70.0 60.0 The Asia-Pacific LDCs have 50.0 greater access to electricity. 40.0  90 per cent of the urban 30.0 5.7 5.2 population and 44.0 per cent 20.0 of the rural population have 10.0 1.4 access to electricity. - Rural Urban Rural Urban  In African LDCs, 60 per cent of 1990 2000 2010 2012 2010-2012 (annual growth %) the urban and 13 per cent of the rural population has access to electricity  Access to electricity among Source: OHRLLS calculations based on World Development the Asia-Pacific rural population is growing at 5.2 Indicators, World Bank, 2017 per cent annually, compared to 1.4 per cent annual growth in the urban areas

Access to Electricity (2012) Access to LDCs Global Avg LDC Avg SDG Target 2030 Electricity Yemen, Rep. 48.4 Vanuatu 27.1  The average for LDCs (34.1%) Tuvalu 44.6 lagged far behind the global Timor-Leste 41.6 average (78.9%), and three Asian LDC’s fell below the Solomon Islands 22.8 average for the broader LDC Nepal grouping. Myanmar 52.4  The rate of access to Lao PDR 70.0 electricity for each of the LDCs in Asia fell below the global Kiribati 59.3 average, with 7 out of 13 Cambodia Asian LDC countries included in the rankings having an Bhutan 75.6 access rate below 50% Bangladesh 59.6  Much progress is needed if we Afghanistan 43.0 are to meet the goal of 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 universal access by 2030 Percent of Total Population Source: International Energy Agency (IEA) and the World Bank, 2015. ‘Sustainable Energy for All 2015— Progress Toward Sustainable Energy’. http://trackingenergy4all.worldbank.org/~/media/GIAWB/GTF/Documents/GTF-2105-Full-Report.pdf

Annual growth rate in energy access in per cent, Asian LDC’s, 2000 -2012 6.0 5.4 5.3 5.0 The pace of development has 4.0 3.5 3.2 especially been remarkable in 3.0 3.0 Cambodia and Bangladesh, 2.0 1.6 where energy access grew on 1.5 1.3 1.2 1.0 0.9 0.8 average 5.4 and 5.3 per cent 1.0 0.4 annually, respectively, from - 2000 to 2012. Source: OHRLLS calculations based on World Development Indicators, World Bank, 2017.

Total Share of Renewable Energy in TFEC (2014) Share of Renewables Yemen 1.1% 0.0% in Total Final Energy Vanuatu 2.2% 30.2% Consumption (TFEC) Timor-Leste 0.0% 19.0% Solomon Islands 0.0% 63.0%  While the share of Nepal renewable energy in TFEC 6.2% 78.2% for LDCs in Asia is much Myanmar 5.3% 63.2% higher than the Global Lao PDR 17.5% 72.9% average of 18.3%, this is almost entirely due to the Kiribati 0.0% 2.9% use of traditional solid Cambodia 19.0% 49.0% biomass. Bhutan 11.8% 74.8%  Bhutan, Cambodia and Bangladesh 0.2% 37.3% Lao PDR do however have Afghanistan 7.9% 8.8% a higher modern 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% renewable share in TFEC than the global average of Modern Renewable Energy Traditional biomass 11.1% Source: Forthcoming IEA and World Bank Global Tracking Framework 2017

14.0 Energy intensity Asian LDCs, 11.8 12.0 2010-2012 2012 10.0 There are opportunities to 8.0 7.3 5.9 improve efficiency of energy use 5.5 5.4 6.0 5.3 4.6 3.8 4.0 3.2 3.2 2.6 2.0 0.0 Tuvalu and Timor-Leste data missing Source: UNSD SDG Indicators Global Database.

Rate of Change in Primary Energy Intensity Source: International Energy Agency (IEA) and the World Bank, 2015. ‘Sustainable Energy for All 2015— Progress Toward Sustainable Energy’. http://trackingenergy4all.worldbank.org/~/media/GIAWB/GTF/Documents/GTF -2105-Full-Report.pdf

High rank Low rank IFC’s Ease of Doing Business ( EoDB) Ten out of the 12 LDC’s with EoDB rankings in Asia are in the bottom half of the rankings, indicating that these countries likely need support in improving their regulatory environment, which would make it more attractive for energy companies to invest in these economies.

High rank Low rank Ease of Doing Business – “ Getting Electricity ” Indicator More than half of LDCs in Asia that are ranked in EoDB have scores in the bottom half of the rankings for the “getting electricity” indicator. This result signals that reliable electricity is difficult to come by for businesses in these countries and reinforces the need for initiatives to assist governments and utilities to incorporate renewable energy sources in the energy mix, in conjunction with energy storage options to ensure reliability of supply.

Regulatory Indicators for Sustainable Energy (RISE) | Overall Scores Source: World Bank 2017. Regulatory Indicators for Sustainable Energy: A Global Scorecard for Policy Makers. http://RISE.worldbank.org

Source: World Bank 2017. Regulatory Indicators for Sustainable Energy: A Global Scorecard for Policy Makers. http://RISE.worldbank.org

The Way Forward  Designing and implementing robust energy policy as part of the integrated national development strategies  Major transformations of current energy systems and creating effective business models  Regulatory reforms, institutional capacity building and creating attractive investment climates  Decarbonizing and increasing the efficiency of existing and new energy infrastructures  Uninterrupted access to sustainable energy through modern energy eco-system including extraction, generation, transmission, distribution and consumption  In-house capacity for bankable project preparations and complex contract negotiations [Investment Promotion regimes for LDCs]  Fetching the bounty of technological innovation [advanced low-emission and renewable energy technologies] [R & D and Tech. Transfer through Technology Bank for LDCs]  Regional cooperation to optimize economies of scale  Financing for investments from public, private, national and international sources.