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HOW WOULD YOU VOTE IF THERE WERE A GENERAL ELECTION TOMORROW? 3 2010 General Election 60 50 40 35 30 33 20 10 10 8 7 0 Feb 10 Aug 10 Feb 11 Aug 11 Feb 12 Aug 12 Feb 13 Aug 13 Feb 14 Aug 14 Feb 15 CONSERVATIVE LABOUR UKIP

  3. HOW WOULD YOU VOTE IF THERE WERE A GENERAL ELECTION TOMORROW? 3 2010 General Election 60 50 40 35 30 33 20 10 10 8 7 0 Feb 10 Aug 10 Feb 11 Aug 11 Feb 12 Aug 12 Feb 13 Aug 13 Feb 14 Aug 14 Feb 15 CONSERVATIVE LABOUR UKIP GREEN LIB DEM Base: c.1,000 British adults certain to vote each month through February 2008; c. 500 British adults thereafter Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor

  4. 4 GREEN PARTY LIB DEM MEMBERSHIP MEMBERSHIP UKIP MEMBERSHIP 55,775 60000 55000 50000 45,455 43,451 45000 40000 35000 36,000 30000 25000 20000 14,179 15000 10000 Feb 14 Aug 14 Feb 15 Sources: http://www.libdemvoice.org/tag/party-membership http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2014/dec/02/green-party-membership-doubles-ukip- mainstream-politics http://www.ukip.org/ukip_is_delighted_to_announce_yet_another_record_membership_figure http://www.channel4.com/news/green-party-membership-growth-ukip-natalie-bennett http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/UK_Independence_Party

  6. 6 More likely to Younger voters are more likely be female… to vote Green 15% 11% 3% 18-34 35-54 55+ FEMALE MALE 56% 44% And they are more likely 76% than supporters of any 39% other major party to use…..* Source: Political Monitor (737 adults aged 18+ who say they are certain to vote in May 2015. Interviewed by telephone, fieldwork dates 12 th - 15 th April) Source *: Political Monitor (Aggregated data from January – December 2014. 388 adults aged 18+ who say they are certain to vote in May 2015 and plan to vote for the Green Party. All interviewed by telephone)

  7. 7 Young women People dissatisfied (18-34) with the Private renters government 11 percentage 7 percentage 6 percentage Up by points points points Source: Political Monitor (Aggregated data from January – April 2014 and January – April 2015. Adults aged 18+ who say they are certain to vote in May 2015 and plan to vote for the Green Party. All interviewed by telephone)

  8. HOW WOULD YOU VOTE IF THERE WERE A GENERAL ELECTION TOMORROW? / WHICH 8 PARTY DID YOU VOTE FOR AT THE GENERAL ELECTION ON MAY 6TH 2010? How those planning to vote Green in 2015 voted in 2010 3% 11% Lib Dem 30% 11% Green Labour 5% Conservatrive Other 14% Did not vote 26% Too young Source: Political Monitor (Aggregated data from January – December 2014. 388 adults aged 18+ who say they are certain to vote in May 2015 and plan to vote for the Green Party. All interviewed by telephone)

  9. DO YOU THINK OF YOURSELF AS A SUPPORTER OF ANY ONE POLITICAL PARTY? 9 70% 60% Pre war 50% Baby 40% boomers Gen X 30% 20% Gen Y 10% 0% All data points represent > 200 responses Source: British Social Attitudes

  10. 10 Data shows 2010 recalled past vote and current voting intentions of 3,045 British adults aged 18+ interviewed January-March 2015. Current voting intentions are based only on those who say they are absolutely certain to vote, while those who were unable or refused Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor to say how they voted in 2010 are not shown.

  11. WHAT DO YOU SEE AS THE MOST/OTHER IMPORTANT ISSUES FACING BRITAIN TODAY? 11 % Mentions Green Conservative Labour Liberal UKIP *selected issues Party Democrats Economy 35% 44% 34% 47% 26% Environment 30% 5% 7% 13% 3% Poverty/Equality 30% 8% 20% 18% 8% NHS 28% 29% 27% 31% 28% Unemployment 23% 19% 34% 18% 21% Education 21% 16% 16% 21% 10% Immigration 19% 50% 27% 34% 77% Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index, base: GB Adults aged 18+ (10,746) Aggregated from January-December 2014

  12. LOOKING AHEAD TO THE NEXT GENERAL ELECTION, WHICH, IF ANY, ISSUES DO YOU THINK 12 WILL BE VERY IMPORTANT TO YOU IN HELPING YOU DECIDE WHICH PARTY TO VOTE FOR? Protecting the natural environment / climate change 100% 30% 10% 5% 3% 1% 0% Source: Political Monitor (1,000 adults aged 18+ interviewed by telephone, fieldwork dates 12 th - 15 th April):

  14. WHAT DO YOU SEE AS THE MOST/OTHER IMPORTANT ISSUES FACING BRITAIN TODAY? 14 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Jan 98 Jan 99 Jan 00 Jan 01 Jan 02 Jan 03 Jan 04 Jan 05 Jan 06 Jan 07 Jan 08 Jan 09 Jan 10 Jan 11 Jan 12 Jan 13 Jan 14 Jan 15 Economy NHS Environment immigration Unemployment Source: Issues Index, c.1,000 adults aged 18+ interviewed face-to-face in home across Great Britain per month. Data based on annual averages for each issue, including January – April in 2015

  15. 15 WHAT ARE THE ISSUES RELATING TO THE ENVIRONMENT THAT YOU THINK ARE MOST IMPORTANT FOR THE UK AT THE MOMENT? Notes: Word cloud based on 1,168 survey responses from adults aged 18-75 from Election Uncut. 17th – 21st April 2015 Removed common English words and single mentions, otherwise image shows unedited verbatim, top 100 words. Data is qualitative and unweighted Source: BBC / Ipsos MORI Election uncut community

  16. AND WHAT ARE THE ISSUES RELATING TO THE ENVIRONMENT THAT YOU THINK ARE MOST 16 IMPORTANT FOR THE WORLD AT THE MOMENT? Notes: Word cloud based on 1,168 survey responses from adults aged 18-75 from Election Uncut. 17th – 21st April 2015 Removed common English words and single mentions, otherwise image shows unedited verbatim, top 100 words. Data is qualitative and unweighted Source: BBC / Ipsos MORI Election uncut community

  17. HOW CONCERNED, IF AT ALL, ARE YOU ABOUT CLIMATE CHANGE, WHICH IS SOMETIMES 17 REFERRED TO AS ‘GLOBAL WARNING? Don’t know Very concerned Fairly concerned Not very concerned Not at all concerned 87 78 80% 78 18% 2 4 2 7 8 13 11 46 2 43 40 27 are are not 21 43 concerned concerned 36 MPs 66 2 57 (Con. = 64% (Con. = 34% 35 40 Lab. = 92%) Lab. = 6%) 35 27 24 68% 31% 7 4 8 15 16 18 22 27 19 24 25 are are not 17 PUBLIC concerned concerned 16 1 1 1 (Con. = 68% (Con. = 31% 10 49 53 49 9 Lab. = 65%) Lab. = 33%) 8 6 Sources: Base: All MPs (104), Conservative MPs (46), Labour MPs (45) asked, Winter 2014 Public: Ipsos MORI and Cardiff University. 1,002 adults aged 16+ interviewed face-to-face in home across Great Britain

  18. HOW CONCERNED, IF AT ALL, ARE YOU ABOUT CLIMATE CHANGE, WHICH IS SOMETIMES 18 REFERRED TO AS ‘GLOBAL WARNING? 84% 68 % overall 83% 68% 66% 65% Source: Ipsos MORI and Cardiff University. 1,002 adults aged 16+ interviewed face-to-face in home across Great Britain

  19. WHICH OF THE SUBJECTS ON THIS LIST, IF ANY, DO YOU RECEIVE MOST LETTERS ABOUT IN YOUR POST 19 BAG, OR RECEIVE MOST APPROACHES ABOUT FROM INDIVIDUALS IN CLINICS OR OTHER WAYS? Benefits 64 Housing 64 Health Service 64 Child Support/Child Support… 50 Asylum/Immigration/ refugees 48 Badger culls 38 Tax Credits 38 Pensions 35 ‘Climate change’ Public transport 34 features as the Education/schools 32 21 st most mentioned Care of the elderly 28 subject, Social security 28 mentioned by 17% of MPs Rail services 25 Animal Research/ Experimentation 24 Energy 20 Base: All MPs (99), Conservative MPs (45), Labour MPs (43) asked, Winter 2014: :

  21. WHICH PARTY DO YOU THINK HAS THE BEST POLICIES ON THE ENVIRONMENT / 21 AFFORDABLE ENERGY? Environment Affordable Energy Labour Conservative 10% 17% 22% 32% Lib Dem 11% UKIP 14% 4% 9% Other, including Greens 2% 6% 6% 2% None 23% 43% Don’t know Source: Political Monitor (1,000 adults aged 18+ interviewed by telephone, fieldwork dates 12 th - 15 th April):

  22. WHICH OF THESE STATEMENTS COMES CLOSEST TO YOUR VIEWS OF… 22 …NATALIE BENNETT, THE LEADER OF THE GREEN PARTY, AND THE GREEN P ARTY? March 2015 I LIKE HER AND I Bennett & LIKE HER PARTY the Greens 24% I LIKE HER BUT I DO NOT LIKE HER % PARTY 36% March 2015 I DO NOT LIKE HER 4% BUT I LIKE HER Total like her 28 PARTY Total do not like her 35 12% I DO NOT LIKE HER AND I DO NOT LIKE Total like her party 36 HER PARTY 23% Total do not like her party 27 DON’T KNOW Base: split sample question, 511 British adults 18+, 8th – 11th March 2015 Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor

  23. WHICH OF THESE STATEMENTS COMES CLOSEST TO YOUR VIEWS OF … LEADER AND … 23 PARTY? Don’t like leader (%) Like leader (%) Don’t like party (%) Like party (%) -54 39 Conservative -60 33 Conservative Labour 30 -62 -40 Labour 52 31 Lib Dem -57 Lib Dem -48 40 30 UKIP -59 UKIP -64 25 64% Greens -35 28 Greens -27 36 Base: split sample question, 511 British adults 18+, 8th – 11th March 2015 Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor :

  24. YOU SAID THAT YOU WOULD VOTE FOR/BE INCLINED TO SUPPORT THE CONSERVATIVES/LABOUR/LIBERAL DEMOCRATS/UKIP IF 24 THERE WERE A GENERAL ELECTION TOMORROW. SUPPOSE THAT NO PARTY HAS AN OVERALL MAJORITY AFTER THE ELECTION. HOW STRONGLY WOULD YOU SUPPORT OR OPPOSE THE CONSERVATIVES/LABOUR/LIBERAL DEMOCRATS/UKIP FORMING A COALITION GOVERNMENT WITH …XXX IF THEY HAD ENOUGH SEATS BETWEEN THEM FOR A MAJORITY? Form a coalition with… % Oppose % Support ...UKIP 57 31 Conservative supporters 17 68 ...Liberal Democrats 36 48 ...Liberal Democrats …Green Party 22 64 Labour supporters …SNP 25 58 26 62 …Conservatives Liberal Democrat supporters 20 65 …Labour Base: 267 Conservative, 285 Labour and 66 Liberal Democrat supporters*, all British adults 18+, 8 th -10 th Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor February 2014. *Small base sizes indicative only

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