29 Feb 2016
2015 Annual Results – Highlights 2015 2014 US$82m EBITDA US$88m Operating Cash Flow US$99m US$94m Underlying Loss -US$28m -US$56m Net Loss -US$18.5m -US$285m Reduced losses in one of the weakest dry bulk markets on record Positive turnaround of Supramax by focusing trades, growing parcelling business and significantly reduced charter-in costs Reduced vessel opex per day through scale benefits & good cost control Positive Towage results, RoRo sale fully finalised Overall G&A reduced by US$19 million Operating more owned ships and redelivering expiring medium and long-term chartered ships to further reduce our daily vessel costs while enabling greater control and service quality 2 2015 Annual Results
Our Performance in 2015 and Cover for 2016 US$/day Handysize Supramax PB TCE per day 2015 $7,870 $9,170 2015 Market Index Rate $5,110 $6,620 PB Outperformance $2,760 $2,550 54% 39% 2016 PB TCE per day 2016 $7,800 $7,330 % of Contracted Days Covered 44% 59% 3 2015 Annual Results
Our Ability to Outperform Our TCE Outperformance Compared to Market Our business model has been built up and refined over many years. Through a combination of the following factors, we are able Baltic Handysize Index - net rate to generate a premium over market rates due to our high laden PB Handysize Performance percentage (minimum ballast legs): US$/day Experienced staff & global office network Large fleet of high-quality substitutable ships 14,000 Our cargo contracts, relationships & direct interaction with 12,000 end users $9,340 10,000 An increasing proportion of owned vessels facilitating greater $7,870 control and minimising trading constraints 8,000 Handysize Segment’s versatile ships and diverse trades 6,000 Average premium last 5 years: 4,000 $5,110 Handysize TCE: US$2,650/day (2015: $2,760) 2,000 Supramax TCE: US$1,780/day (2015: $2,550) 0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 4 2015 Annual Results
Balance Sheet & Liquidity 31 December 2015 US$m 2015 2014 Cash Position 358 363 Committed but undrawn loan facilities 375 Remaining Newbuilding Capital Commitments 274 Net Borrowings 568 Vessels & Other Fixed Assets 1,611 Net Gearing 35% 40% New US$125million convertible bonds in 1H15, maturity 2021 US$140million proceeds from RoRo & Towage Sales collected during the year US$14million of Towage assets sold with payment & delivery early 2016 and about US$22million of towage assets remains in Middle East Repayment of US$230million Convertible Bonds due 2016 5 2015 Annual Results
Dry Bulk Spot Market at 30 Year Lows Baltic Handysize Index (BHSI) & Baltic Supramax Index (BSI) US$ /day (net)* $16,000 $14,000 $12,000 $10,000 $8,000 $6,000 25 Feb 2016: BSI: $3,260 $4,000 $2,000 BHSI: $2,950 $0 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 BDI fell 38% in 2015 and registered its weakest average since the index began in 1986 Strong South American grain exports drove up rates in 3Q15 Rates reduced thereafter to record low levels – slight recovery after Chinese New Year Source: Baltic Exchange 6 2015 Annual Results * Net rates are net of 5% commission
Handysize Vessel Values US$ Million 55 50 45 40 35 30 19 Feb 2016 Newbuilding (35,000 dwt): 25 US$20.5m 20 15 10 5 years (32,000 dwt): US$9.5m 5 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 All time high spread between newbuilding and secondhand values Leading to very few new orders Increasingly difficult to establish vessel fair market values 7 Source: Clarksons Platou 2015 Annual Results
Dry Bulk Seaborne Trade in 2015 Million Tonnes YOY Change Iron Ore 1,367 2% -5% Coal 1,149 Sub major bulk total 2,516 -1% 122 Bauxite / Alumina 16% 127 Soybean 9% 26 Copper Concentrates 8% 322 Steel Products 5% 56 Sugar 4% 120 PB Focus Fertiliser 4% 162 3% Agribulks 343 0% Forest Products -0.3% 314 Grains (Wheat) 97 -2% Cement 25 -3% Manganese Ore 101 -4% Scrap Steel 44 -21% Nickel Ore 320 -0.3% Others 2% PB focus cargoes total* 2179 0% Total Dry Bulk 4,695 -20% -15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% * Minor bulk trade: 1,588 mil tonnes 8 Source: Bloomberg, Clarksons Platou 2015 Annual Results
Chinese Seaborne Dry Bulk Imports 2015 Million Tonnes YOY Change Iron Ore 940 3% Coal 188 -30% Sub Major Bulk Total 1128 -5% Other Coarse Grains 22 91% Maize 5 84% Fertiliser 21 19% PB Focus Soybeans 81 14% Agribulks 15 12% Metals 142 7% Wheat 3 5% Minerals 34 -8% Forest Products 51 -7% Steel Products 16 -5% PB focus cargoes total 389 8% Total Chinese import 1517 -2% -40% -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 9 * Chinese Minor bulk trade: 278 mil tonnes Source: Clarksons Platou 2015 Annual Results
Self Correcting Supply Factors New Vessel Ordering is Down Number of Delivery Per quarter annualised in % of fleet (dwt) Chinese yards Slippage 25% 24% delivering 20% Handy bulk vessels decreased Orderbook 15% from 54 in 2012 Cancellations & 10% to 23 in 2015 Conversions 11% 5% 3.2% Fleet Growth is Reducing 0.7% 0% 18% 2012 2013 2014 2015 16% Total Drybulk Year-on-Year Net Fleet Increased Scrapping 14% Mil dwt Growth (%) 12% FY14: 16 FY15: 16 mil dwt 30 mil dwt 10% 14 8% 12 6% 10 4% 8 Lowest fleet growth since Jan 2004 6 2% 4 0% 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 2 0 2013 2014 2015 1Q16e Scrapping YTD indicates potential contraction (based on of the global fleet for full year 2016 Handysize scrapping (25,000-39,000 dwt) Scrapping YTD) Other dry bulk scrapping 10 Source: Clarksons Platou 2015 Annual Results
Dry Bulk Supply & Demand % Supply: 16.0 2015 net fleet growth: 2.4% 14.0 (smallest growth since 2003) 12.0 New deliveries partly offset by increased scrapping (Handysize: 8.5% new deliveries vs 6% scrapping) 10.0 Low fuel prices 8.0 ↑ increasing ship operating speeds in 3Q 6.0 ↑ increasing effective shipping supply 4.0 Scrapping YTD indicates potential contraction of the 2.4 global fleet in full year 2016 2.0 0.0 -2.0 - 0.8 Demand based on tonne-mile: 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16e 17e 18e 2015 overall dry bulk -0.8%; minor bulk: +1% Slower Chinese economic growth: ↑ hydro-electric power Net fleet growth ↑ China’s domestic coal industry protection Effective Demand growth 30% decline in Chinese coal imports Analyst‘s forecast 11 Source: Clarksons Platou 2015 Annual Results
2015 Financial Highlights 2015 2014 US$m (33.8) (39.4) Pacific Basin Dry Bulk 6.2 (15.1) PB Towage (0.2) (1.0) Others Underlying loss (27.8) (55.5) Unrealised derivative income/(expense) 8.8 (28.9) Sale of towage assets 2.8 (7.6) RoRo and towage exchange loss (1.5) (17.7) Provision for onerous contracts - (100.9) Towage impairments and provisions - (70.5) Other impairments and provisions (0.8) (3.9) (18.5) Loss attributable to shareholders (285.0) Results in line with 26 Nov 2015 announcement Underlying loss cut in half Our significantly reduced Towage operation generated US$6.2m profit - US$1.6m from operations and US$4.6m from OMSA transaction 12 2015 Annual Results
2015 Pacific Basin Dry Bulk 2015 2014 Change Handysize Revenue days (days) 56,210 51,600 -8% TCE earnings (US$/day) 7,870 9,340 -16% Owned + chartered costs (US$/day) 7,930 8,750 +9% Handysize contribution (US$m) (8.4) 28.5 >-100% Supramax Revenue days (days) 23,300 22,410 +4% TCE earnings (US$/day) 9,170 10,460 -12% Owned + chartered costs (US$/day) 8,190 11,050 +26% Supramax contribution (US$m) 22.6 (14.8) >100% Weak market condition impacted both Handysize and Supramax TCE Significant turnaround in our Supramax performance from: concentrating on key trades; more parcelling; significantly reduced charter-in costs 13 2015 Annual Results
2015 Daily Vessel Costs – Handysize Finance cost Charter-hire : Short-term (ST) / Long-term (LT) Charter-hire : Index-linked Depreciation As at 31 December 2015 Opex Inward Charter Commitments Owned Chartered Days & rates US$/day Blended US$7,930 (2014: US$8,750) 2015-2016 Vessel 10,000 8,930 Days 8,510 8,460 30,000 7,040 7,450 8,000 1,210 1,250 days 25,000 $5,920 2,940 6,000 20,000 2,930 3,000 days 9,650 Market ST days 15,000 Rate 160 $6,920 4,000 690 days ST days Market 10,000 $6,260 Rate 4,370 400 4,210 2,000 10,790 9,340 8,290 5,000 LT days LT days LT days $8,920 $8,040 $7,910 - 0 2015 2016 2017 2014 2015 2014 2015 Vessel Days 23,880 24,800 32,850 27,480 27,480 12,970 8,450 42% 47% 58% 53% Overheads of US$710/day including all direct & indirect costs Charter-hire cost significantly reduced 14 2015 Annual Results * Chartered rates are shown net of provision
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