28 July 2017
2017 Interim Results - Highlights 1H17 1H16 US$(5.0)m EBITDA US$56.6m Underlying Loss US$(6.7)m US$(61.6)m Net Loss US$(12.0)m US$(49.8)m Cash Position US$247.6m US$406.1m Net Gearing 40% 29% (New borrowings/Net book value of PP&E) 2017 Market freight rates well above historic lows one year ago and demand outpacing supply Much reduced underlying loss of US$6.7m and net loss of US$12.0m Much increased positive EBITDA of US$56.6m Our Handysize daily TCE earnings outperformed BHSI market index by 20% Took delivery of our final 7 newbuildings in 1H17 and our cash position was US$248m at mid-year During the period, we recommenced secondhand acquisitions and have bought and sold one Supramax and bought 2 secondhand Handysize vessels Our owned fleet expanded to 101 ships on the water, operating 250 dry bulk ships overall and we continue to assess attractive ship acquisition opportunities We opened a new commercial office in Rio and relocated our HK Headquarters to an improved lower cost office Our vessel opex and our G&A per day reduced further, lowering the breakeven levels for our owned ships 1 2017 Interim Results
1H17 Performance and 2H17 Cover As at 26 July 2017 US$/day Handysize Supramax PB daily TCE rate 1H17 1 $8,920 $7,920 Market Index Rate $6,590 $8,010 PB Outperformance $1,330 $910 20% 11% PB daily TCE cover 2H17 $8,360 $9,830 % of Contracted Days Covered 57% 80% 1 Excluding short-term vessels days: Handysize daily TCE US$8,010, outperform market 22 % Supramax daily TCE US$9,890, outperform market 24% 2 2017 Interim Results
Handysize Market Rates Development in 1H17 Baltic Handysize Index (BHSI) Key drivers for 1H17 actual: 1Q17 dry bulk effective demand 4.9% US$/day net* 2016 compared to +0.4% in 1Q16 and -1.7% $8,080 $9,000 in 1Q15 26 Jul 2017 $8,000 $6,970 $7,000 Improved North & South American grain $6,000 exports 2015 $3,760 $5,000 SE Asia coal imports increased $4,000 Strong increase of imports into China $3,000 with minor bulk outpacing iron ore & $2,000 coal $1,000 $0 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2017 2016 2015 * excludes 5% commission 3 Source: Baltic Exchange, data as at 26 Jul 2017 2017 Interim Results
Supramax Rates Follow Same Pattern Baltic Handysize Index (BHSI) and Baltic Supramax Index (BSI) # YTD 2017 US$/day net* BSI $8,700 $10,000 $9,000 $8,000 $7,000 $6,000 BHSI $5,000 $6,970 $4,000 $3,000 $2,000 $1,000 $0 Jan-16 Apr-16 Jul-16 Oct-16 Jan-17 Apr-17 Jul-17 * excludes 5% commission # BSI is now based on a standard 58,000 dwt bulk carrier 4 2017 Interim Results Source: Baltic Exchange, data as at 26 Jul 2017
Atlantic Rates Stronger than Pacific Supramax (BSI) # Handysize (BHSI) US$/day net* US$/day net* 14,000 12,000 12,000 10,000 Atlantic Atlantic 10,000 $7,340 8,000 $8,440 8,000 Pacific 6,000 $8,200 6,000 Pacific $6,600 4,000 4,000 2,000 2,000 0 0 Jan-16 Apr-16 Jul-16 Oct-16 Jan-17 Apr-17 Jul-17 Jan-16 Apr-16 Jul-16 Oct-16 Jan-17 Apr-17 Jul-17 Atlantic Pacific * excludes 5% commission # BSI is now based on a standard 58,000 dwt bulk carrier 5 2017 Interim Results Source: Baltic Exchange, data as at 26 Jul 2017
Estimated 3.9% Growth in Seaborne Dry Bulk Demand in Full Year 2017 (Volume) YOY Change Million Tonnes 5% Iron Ore 1,488 3% Coal 1,173 4.3% Major bulk total 2,661 20% Manganese Ore 30 7% Soybean 144 Clarksons estimate FY2017: 7% Fertiliser 161 6% Scrap Steel 107 5% 3.9% Effective Demand Growth Bauxite / Alumina 120 PB Focus 4% Wheat / Grains 361 4% Agribulks 169 3.5% Volume Growth 2% Forest Products 360 2% Nickel Ore 42 Cement 112 2% Others 315 2% Copper Concentrates 29 0% Steel Products 395 -3% Sugar 58 -6% PB focus cargoes total 2.5% 2,403 2017 Total Dry Bulk 3.5% 5,065 Full Year Forecast 6 Source: Clarksons Platou, as at 1 July 2017 2017 Interim Results
Orderbook Continues to Shrink Handysize Orderbook New Vessel Ordering is Down 170 vessels (6.3 million dwt ) % of Fleet (dwt) Historically low Mil Dwt 50% levels of ordering 5.0 5.9% 40% 4.0 49% 4.5% 30% Shortfall 3.0 20% H’max : 0.7% 2.9% 4.6m 2.5% 10% 2.0 H’size : 0.5% 1.0% 2.3m 0% 1.0 2000 2005 2010 2015 2017 Annualised Handymax Ordering (40-64,999 dwt) 0.0 Scheduled Actual 2H17 2018 2019+ Handysize Ordering (10-39,999 dwt) orderbook delivery 1H17 Total Dry Bulk Orderbook Shortfall vs scheduled deliveries remains high 637 vessels (60.9 million dwt) Mil Dwt Net fleet growth estimated at 3% this year 50 5.2% Very low new vessel ordering in last 18 months 40 38% influence by: Shortfall Secondhand values still low 30 3.2% 3.0% 2.8% New low sulphur and Ballast Water Treatment 42.4m 20 1.7% System regulations create uncertainty of design 26.3m 10 New accounting rules from 2019 discouraging long-term time charters 0 Scheduled Actual 2H17 2018 2019+ orderbook delivery Source: Clarksons Platou, as at 1 Jul 2017 2017 Interim Results 7 1H17
Vessel Values Increased Handysize Vessel Values US$ Million 60 50 40 30 Newbuilding (35,000 dwt): US$21.5m 20 10 5 years (32,000 dwt): US$14m 0 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 Improved freight market conditions supported increased vessel values Sale and purchase activity has increased Newbuilding and secondhand prices have increased Gap between newbuilding and secondhand prices, continues to discourage new ship ordering 8 Source: Clarksons Platou, as at 26 Jul 2017 2017 Interim Results
Dry Bulk Supply & Demand % YOY 10 Demand is recovering and outpacing supply so far in 2017 8 For full year 2017: 6 Clarksons estimate effective 4.9% demand growth of 3.9% 4 PB estimate net supply growth 3.4% 2.2% around 3% 2 (5% deliveries – 2% scrapping) 1.9% 0 Progressively fewer new ships will deliver from shipyards in 2018 and -2 2019 2013 2014 2015 2016 1Q17 Effective Demand Growth (%) Net Fleet Growth (%), (Deliveries net of scrapping) Source: Clarksons Platou, Pacific Basin 9 2017 Interim Results
2017 First Half Financial Highlights 1H17 1H16 US$m (6.3) (60.4) Dry Bulk (0.4) (1.2) Towage & Others Underlying loss (6.7) (61.6) Unrealised derivative (expenses)/income (2.6) 13.7 Office relocation costs (1.4) - Impairment of towage vessels (0.9) - Sales of vessels (0.4) (1.9) (12.0) (49.8) Loss attributable to shareholders Revenue and cost of services increased by 44% and 33% respectively, mainly due to improved market conditions US$(2.6)m unrealised derivative accounting loss: M2M of existing and new bunker swap contracts to be completed US$(0.4) disposal loss: Sales of 2 tugs and 1 Supramax 10 2017 Interim Results
1H17 By Vessel Segment 1H17 1H16 Change Handysize Revenue days (days) 23,070 25,660 +11% TCE earnings (US$/day) 7,920 6,080 +30% Owned + chartered costs (US$/day) 7,550 7,300 -3% Handysize contribution (US$m) 7.8 (30.2) >+100% Supramax Revenue days (days) 17,330 14,180 +22% TCE earnings (US$/day) 8,920 5,910 +51% Owned + chartered costs (US$/day) 8,360 6,370 -31% Supramax contribution (US$m) 9.1 (6.8) >+100% Both Handysize and Supramax contributions returned to positive territory as we continue to leverage our business model to outperform in the improved but still challenging market Excluding short-term vessel days: Handysize daily TCE US$8,010 on 21,460 days Supramax daily TCE US$9,890 on 8,980 days 11 2017 Interim Results
Balance Sheet US$m 30 Jun 17 30 Dec 16 Vessels & other fixed assets 1,763 1,653 Total assets 2,107 2,204 Total borrowings 952 839 Total liabilities 1,174 1,066 1,030 1,041 Net assets Net borrowings (total cash US$248m) 705 570 Net borrowings to net book value of property, plant and equipment 40% 34% Vessel average net book value: Handysize $15.6m (9.4 years); Supramax $22.8m (6.3 years) KPI: maintain net gearing below 50% Group in compliance with all loan covenants 12 2017 Interim Results
1H17 Daily Vessel Costs – Handysize Finance cost Charter-hire : Short-term (ST) / Long-term (LT) As at 30 June 2017 Charter-hire : Index-linked Depreciation Opex Inward Charter Commitments Owned Chartered US$/day Days & rates Blended US$7,550 (FY2016: US$7,320) 2017-2018 10,000 Vessel Days 7,840 7,620 15,000 7,480 8,000 1,000 6,730 820 760 12,000 days 6,000 100 days $7,670 2,870 Market 2,840 520 days 9,000 Rate 6,720 Market ST days 40 4,000 Rate $7,370 ST days 1,680 6,000 $6,350 ST days $7,080 2,000 3,970 3,820 7,750 3,000 4,570 4,620 LT days LT days LT days $8,440 $7,990 $8,170 - - FY2016 1H2017 FY2016 1H2017 1H17 2H17 2018 Vessel 12,050 6,820 7,890 25,650 13,840 22,530 12,050 Days 53% 53% 47% 47% Daily cash cost before overhead: US$6,310 (1H16: US$6,010) Charter-hire costs increased due to new ST charters in stronger market Opex further reduced due to scale benefits Overheads reduced to US$590/day (1H16: US$680/day) - includes all direct & indirect costs 13 2017 Interim Results * Chartered rates are shown net of provision
Recommend
More recommend