2020/2021 BUDGET REDUCTION PLANNING Board of Education – April 29, 2020 Kathleen Askelson, Chief Financial Officer Nicole Stewart, Director-Budget & Treasury
CURRENT NEWS FROM THE STATE Colorado Department of Education: Plan for a 1 to 10 percent reduction Joint Budget Committee: Wait for the May 12 updated economic forecast Plan to introduce Long Bill and School Finance Act by May 18 Target to complete school finance by June 1
TIMELINE 2020/2021 BUDGET DEVELOPMENT OCT/NOV DEC JAN/FEB MAR APR MAY/JUNE School 2020/2021 Schools Enter DAC Final Continue Last Day Accountability Factors are Budgets into Community Fine Tuning for Legislators Committees Set Based Hyperion Engagement and Building ? Meet to Define on 2019 Results Report Budget Priorities October Count Budget Increase Proposed Budget Requests Due Direction/ Final BOE Public Hearing Governor’s Kick Off Feedback ─ Direction May 7 Proposed SBB and BFO Cabinet March 5 for Proposed BOE Meeting Budget Processes Recommendations BOE Meeting Budget April 2/8/29 Final BOE ELECTION Community Negotiations March Forecast BOE Meetings Direction for Engagement/ Budget Adoption SAC Reports Begin Building on June 4 Budget December Forecast / Negotiations Outlook Budget Survey
CHALLENGES … Short timeline to implement changes for July 1 Large range in reduction projection Long term outlook unknown, expectation for multiyear impact Specific information for federal aid starting, anticipated receipt at least 60 days out
REDUCTION PLANNING
DRIVING VALUES IN DEVELOPING REDUCTIONS Quality student experiences Our people (employees) Our community Short and long term financial stability
FILLING THE BUDGET WHOLE
2020/2021 REDUCTION OPTIONS Pay Reductions Layoffs Program Cuts School Closures/Consolidations Use of Reserves
2020/2021 REDUCTION OPTIONS Pay Reductions Furlough days – 1 day $3.6M % reduction of pay – 1% $6.3M Combination of both No layoffs of staff or reduction of services Impacts to staff, loss of income
2020/2021 REDUCTION OPTIONS Layoffs (Reduction in Staff) Central division School Student Based Budget (SBB) Difficult to implement quickly Will impact staff, student and community support
2020/2021 REDUCTION OPTIONS Program Cuts Central division support cuts School program support cuts Short term central cuts, already identified Longer term – difficult to implement quickly with fidelity and community input Will impact staff, student and community support
2020/2021 REDUCTION OPTIONS School Closures/Consolidations Not recommended for a short term solution Demographics could change in the next few months Difficult to implement quickly Will impact staff, student and community
2020/2021 REDUCTION OPTIONS Use of Reserves $87.8M current year projection, 12.5% of expenditures • Using $30M, reserves would be 8% of expenditures, lowest recommended balance • Can be used for short term and long term reduction planning • Use of reserves could eliminate immediate impact to students, staff and community. • Important to monitor balance for impact to financial stability
EXAMPLES OF REDUCTION RANGES
Example A : 5 Percent Reduction – No layoffs, $15M from Reserves Reduction Description Amount One-time Use of Reserves $15.0 Furlough Days – 2 Days 7.2 Pay Reduction – 1% 6.3 Central Division Reductions 2.0 Total Reductions $30.5
Example B : 5 Percent Reduction – No layoffs, $20M from Reserves Reduction Description Amount One-time Use of Reserves $20.0 Furlough Day – 1 Day 3.6 Pay Reduction – .75% 4.7 Central Division Reductions 2.0 Total Reductions $30.3
Example C : 10 Percent Reduction – All Areas Impacted Reduction Description Amount One-time Use of Reserves $20.0 Furlough Days – 3 Days 10.8 School Closures – 6 Schools 4.8 Central Programs and Layoffs 10.0 School Programs and Layoffs 15.0 Total Reductions $60.6
2020/2021 ADJUSTMENT EXAMPLES (combined) Example A Example B Example C No Layoffs No Layoffs All Areas $15M $20M Impacted Reserves Reserves One-time from Reserves $15.0 $20.0 $20.0 Furlough Days ($3.6M per day) 7.2 3.6 10.8 Pay Reduction (1%/.75%) 6.3 4.7 - Central Division Reductions 2.0 2.0 10.0 School Based Reduction - - 15.0 School Closures – 6 Schools 4.8 Total Reductions $30.5 $30.3 $60.6
2020/2021 REVENUE FORECASTS – 2 Year Loss (14% and 6% Reduction) 2 Year Loss, 14% and 6% Reduction % Reduction (Reduction) Increase *Revenue Increase Total Revenue FY 19/20 $ 800,508,139 $ ‐ $ 800,508,139 FY 20/22 ‐14.00% $ 794,908,139 $ (86,700,000) $ 708,208,139 FY 21/22 ‐6.00% $ 708,208,139 $ (32,000,000) $ 676,208,139 FY 22/23 0.00% $ 676,208,139 $ ‐ $ 676,208,139 FY 23/24 3.50% $ 676,208,139 $ 17,500,000 $ 693,708,139 FY 24/25 5.25% $ 693,708,139 $ 27,000,000 $ 720,708,139 Cumulative Reduction $ (74,200,000) *Assumes all revenue, but state of Colorado, stays flat
2020/2021 REVENUE FORECASTS – 3 Year Loss (14%, 11% and 4% Reduction) 3 Year Loss, 14%, 11% and 4% Reduction % Reduction (Reduction) Increase *Revenue Increase Total Revenue FY 19/20 $ 800,508,139 $ ‐ $ 800,508,139 FY 20/22 ‐14.00% $ 794,908,139 $ (86,700,000) $ 708,208,139 FY 21/22 ‐11.00% $ 708,208,139 $ (58,600,000) $ 649,608,139 FY 22/23 ‐4.00% $ 649,608,139 $ (19,000,000) $ 630,608,139 FY 23/24 3.50% $ 630,608,139 $ 16,000,000 $ 646,608,139 FY 24/25 5.25% $ 646,608,139 $ 24,700,000 $ 671,308,139 Cumulative Reduction $ (123,600,000) *Assumes all revenue, but state of Colorado, stays flat
2020/2021 REVENUE FORECASTS – 2 Year Loss (10% and 3% Reduction) 2 Year Loss, 10% and 3% Reduction % Reduction (Reduction) Increase *Revenue Increase Total Revenue FY 19/20 $ 800,508,139 $ - $ 800,508,139 FY 20/22 -10.00% $ 794,908,139 $ (62,000,000) $ 732,908,139 FY 21/22 -3.00% $ 732,908,139 $ (16,700,000) $ 716,208,139 FY 22/23 0.00% $ 716,208,139 $ - $ 716,208,139 FY 23/24 3.50% $ 716,208,139 $ 19,000,000 $ 735,208,139 FY 24/25 5.25% $ 735,208,139 $ 29,000,000 $ 764,208,139 Cumulative Reduction $ (30,700,000) *Assumes all revenue, but state of Colorado, stays flat
2020/2021 REVENUE FORECASTS – 3 Year Range (5%, 3% and 1% Reduction) 3 Year Range, 5%, 3% and 1% Reduction % Reduction (Reduction) Increase *Revenue Increase Total Revenue FY 19/20 $ 800,508,139 $ ‐ $ 800,508,139 FY 20/22 ‐5.00% $ 794,908,139 $ (31,000,000) $ 763,908,139 FY 21/22 ‐3.00% $ 763,908,139 $ (17,700,000) $ 746,208,139 FY 22/23 ‐1.00% $ 746,208,139 $ (5,700,000) $ 740,508,139 FY 23/24 3.50% $ 740,508,139 $ 19,700,000 $ 760,208,139 FY 24/25 5.25% $ 760,208,139 $ 30,700,000 $ 790,908,139 Cumulative Reduction $ (4,000,000) *Assumes all revenue, but state of Colorado, stays flat
2020/2021 DIRECTION NEEDED 1. Board values to frame reductions? Pay reductions Layoffs Program cuts School closures/consolidations Use of reserves 2. Of the examples for the range of 5% to 10%, which are the preferred options?
NEXT STEPS
NEXT STEPS 1. Propose Budget on May 7; further reduction conversation 2. School Finance Act drafted by May 18 3. Option to add a Board meeting after May 18 and before June 4 4. Budget adoption is scheduled for June 4
COMMUNITY ENGAGEMENT Community Survey Launched week of March 9 Community to choose top three and highest priority for budget investments Closes April 27 Marginal value due to change in economy
COMMUNITY ENGAGEMENT (continued) FACEBOOK Live event 4/23/2020 Public Comment for Budget – May 7 Student Town Hall with Superintendent 05/11/2020 Teacher Advisory Committee 05/13/2020 Revised Community Survey in May after updated forecasts Community Budget Advisory Committee
QUESTIONS
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