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2016 Q1 Orange financial results Q2 Ramon Fernandez Deputy CEO, - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

2016 Q1 Orange financial results Q2 Ramon Fernandez Deputy CEO, Chief Financial and Strategy Officer Q3 26 April 2016 Q4 disclaimer This presentation contains forward-looking statements about Orange. Although we believe these statements


  1. 2016 Q1 Orange financial results Q2 Ramon Fernandez Deputy CEO, Chief Financial and Strategy Officer Q3 26 April 2016 Q4

  2. disclaimer This presentation contains forward-looking statements about Orange. Although we believe these statements are based on reasonable assumptions, they are subject to numerous risks and uncertainties, including matters not yet known to us or not currently considered material by us, and there can be no assurance that anticipated events will occur or that the objectives set out will actually be achieved. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ from the results anticipated in the forward-looking statements include, among others: the success of Orange’s strategy, particularly its ability to maintain control over customer relations when facing competition with OTT players, Orange’s ability to withstand intense competition in mature markets and business activities, its ability to capture growth opportunities in emerging markets and the risks specific to those markets, fiscal and regulatory constraints and changes, and the results of litigation regarding regulations, competition and other matters, the success of Orange's French and international investments, joint ventures and strategic partnerships in situations in which it may not have control of the enterprise, and in countries presenting additional risk, risks related to information and communications technology systems generally, including networks or software failures due to cyberattacks, damage to networks caused by natural disasters, voluntary acts or other reasons, loss or disclosure to third parties of customers data, health concerns surrounding telecommunications equipment and devices, Orange's credit ratings, its ability to access capital markets and the state of capital markets in general, exchange rate or interest rate fluctuations, and changes in assumptions underlying the carrying amount value of certain assets and resulting in their impairment. More detailed information on the potential risks that could affect our financial results will be found in the Registration Document and in the annual report on Form 20-F filed on April 4, 2016 with, respectively, the French Autorité des Marchés Financiers (AMF) and the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Forward- looking statements speak only as of the date they are made. Other than as required by law (in particular pursuant to sections 223-1 and seq. of the General Regulations of the AMF), Orange does not undertake any obligation to update them in light of new information or future developments. 2 2 Q1 2016 results, 26th April 2016

  3. Section one Q1 2016 highlights

  4. € 10.0 bn +0.6% yoy Q1 2016 Revenue achievements -1.6% yoy € 2.6 bn Restated +0.3% yoy EBITDA 1 excl. Group employee share plan € 1.5 bn +10.4% yoy yoy : comparison with the same period of the previous year, on a Capex comparable basis supporting VHBB qoq : comparison with the previous quarter, on a comparable basis 1) see slide 23 for EBITDA restatements. Closing of Liberia* Signing of Groupama* Closing of DRC* Investment in AIG* M&A Closing of LexSi* Closing of EE Q1 2016 results, 26th April 2016 * post March 31st 4

  5. x2.0 +92% +98% x2.6 x2.6 +84% yoy 4G customer base 4G base and Solid commercial 8.7m yoy growth 20m 5.8m 1.2m 1.1m 2.4m performance with France Spain Poland Romania Belgium convergence as x2.1 +69% x3.2* +42% yoy FTTH the cornerstone customer base FTTH base 1.1m 1.0m & yoy growth 2.2m 0.1m France Spain Rest of Europe +10% +7% +6% x2.8 yoy IPTV IPTV base 8.2m 6.6m & yoy growth 0.8m 0.4m France Poland Spain +14% +12% +11% +30% yoy Convergence Convergent base 5.4m 9.3m & yoy growth 3.1m 0.8m France Spain Poland Q1 2016 results, 26th April 2016 5 * cb, including Jazztel

  6. Section two Financial results overview

  7. Third quarter of Group revenue growth yoy yoy revenue growth +0.6% +0.5% +0.1% -0.2% -0.6% in a row -0.9% -2.3% -3.4% -3.8% Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14 Q4 14 Q1 15 Q2 15 Q3 15 Q4 15 Q116 France Europe Africa & the Middle-East Enterprise +7.1% Q1 2016 +5.1% +4.4% +0.6% Q1 2016 revenue +2.1% +0.4% + € 59m € 10.0bn -0.7% -0.8% -0.9% -1.7% -2.3% -3.5% -5.6% FY14 FY15 Q1 16 FY14 FY15 Q1 16 FY14 FY15 Q1 16 FY14 FY15 Q1 16 Q1 2016 results, 26th April 2016 7

  8. Restated EBITDA Restated EBITDA evolution (in € m) driven by revenue -50 59 2,611 growth and cost -19 -32 2,569 control 1Q 15cb Revenues Employee Ifric 21 Other costs, Q1’16 share plan and taxes o/w 16m € in Belgium Euro 2016 Improvement in 1st quarter trend yoy EBITDA growth EBITDA growth excl. Group employee share plan Q1 2016 +0.3% -1.6% Q1 2016 -2.1% -1.6% Restated EBITDA - € 43m -5.6% -6.6% € 2.6bn 25.7% of rev. Q1 13 Q2 13 Q3 13 Q4 13 Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14 Q4 14 Q1 15 Q2 15 Q3 15 Q4 15 Q1 16 Q1 2016 results, 26th April 2016 8

  9. Our investment efforts Internet access QoS in France FTTH connectable homes Short-link average speed (Arcep, April 2016) allow us to offer the 500 Mbit/s Downlink Spain best connectivity to Uplink 7.4m our customers +85% yoy* 250 Mbit/s France Poland 5.5m 0.8m 0 Mbit/s +39% yoy x8 yoy 30 Mb/s 100 Mb/s 200 Mb/s ADSL2+ FTTH VDSL Coaxial cable 2G/3G/4G mobile QoS in France % of population covered by 4G Rootmetrics ranking, April 2016 Q1 2016 Paris Marseille Lyon 99% 89% 87% +10.4% Q1 2016 CAPEX Belgium Poland Spain + € 137m € 1.5bn 85% 81% 72% 65% 14.6% of rev. Moldova France Romania Slovakia Q1 2016 results, 26th April 2016 9 * cb, including Jazztel

  10. Section three Business review

  11. Q1 2016 France financials Strong operational performance supported by ARPU trend improvement 33.0 22.4 BB ARPU Mobile ARPU Q1 15 cb Q1 16 yoy cb in € m € /month € /month 4,725 4,691 -0.7% Revenues yoy in % yoy in % o/w mobile services 1,854 1,809 -2.4% -0.4% -0.7% -0.8% o/w mobile equipment 149 165 +11.2% -1.1% -1.3% -1.2% -1.4% -2.0% o/w fixed services 2,578 2,581 +0.1% 144 136 -5.9% o/w others -4.5% -6.4% Q1 15 Q2 15 Q3 15 Q4 15 Q1 16 Q1 15 Q2 15 Q3 15 Q4 15 Q1 16 Fixed Broadband revenues evolution (yoy in %) Mobile services excl. national roaming (yoy in %) 4% 5% 4% 0% 3% -4% 2% -8% 1% 0% -12% Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14 Q4 14 Q1 15 Q2 15 Q3 15 Q4 15 Q1 16 Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14 Q4 14 Q1 15 Q2 15 Q3 15 Q4 15 Q1 16 11 Q1 2016 results, 26th April 2016

  12. Q1 2016 France mobile KPIs Mobile contract base (excl. M2M) up 2.7% yoy, leveraging on premium strategy contract net adds excl. M2M (in ‘000s) contract churn rate +4 pts 96% of customers repriced on post April 2013 tariff plan 16.3% +5 pts 15.5% 15.2% 49% of retail voice contract are on 4P offers 14.8% 14.4% 14.2% 13.5% 13.4% 13.0% +16 pts 55% of retail voice contract are on SIM-only offers +256 +234 43% +219 8.7m 4G 4G of contract customer +179 customers base excl. M2M +164 Large contract on public sector +110 +85 +76 +59 +41 8,716 81% +54 4G activated sites coverage in % of pop. Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14 Q4 14 Q1 15 Q2 15 Q3 15 Q4 15 Q1 16 12 Q1 2016 results, 26th April 2016

  13. Q1 2016 France fixed KPIs FTTH accelerating BB customer base growth FTTH net adds (in ‘000s) ADSL* net adds (in ‘000s) BB conquest share 10.8m +3.9% yoy 45%** broadband customers +121 +4 pts yoy 33% 50% of BB customers have a 4P offer +116 +96 96 +3 pts yoy +95 95 40% of retail BB customers are on high-end*** offers 11% +85 85 +75 -1 pt yoy +67 53% 57% of retail FTTH customers are on high-end*** offers +13 3 +108 of FTTH net adds +35 +115 +31 +8 2 are new customers +65 10% +8 2 1.1m FTTH TH +75 of BB customer +50 customers base +47 +20 +13 +8 -8 -7 -12 -15 5.5m FTTH 20% -16 -19 connectable homes FTTH adoption rate Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14 Q4 14 Q1 15 Q2 15 Q3 15 Q4 15 Q1 16 13 * and others (satellite…) ** Orange estimates *** Play and Jet Q1 2016 results, 26th April 2016

  14. Q1 2016 Spain Top line back to growth thanks to strong commercial performance in FTTH and 4G Q1 15 cb Q1 16 yoy cb in € m 86.7% 5.8m 1,168 1,189 +1.8% 4G 4G Revenues o/w mobile services 590 616 +4.4% customers coverage of pop. o/w mobile equipment 140 119 -15.1% o/w fixed services 433 454 +5.0% 7.4m FTTH 3.8m BB BB 6 0 -98.8% o/w others customers connectable homes 1m FTTH Quarterly revenues evolution (% yoy) TH customers x3.2 yoy* mobile services fixed broadband 365k TV customers x2.8 yoy +9.4% +8.8% +7.8% +6.6% +6.6% +3.7pts yoy +0.7% 82% of fixed broadband customers on convergent offers +4.4% +18 pts yoy -2.7% 27% of fixed customers are FTTH customers -6.6% -9.6% +15 pts yoy Q1 15 Q2 15 Q3 15 Q4 15 Q1 16 38% of mobile customers are 4G customers Including Jazztel from the 1st of July 2015 14 Q1 2016 results, 26th April 2016 * cb, including Jazztel

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