2016 Isle of Man Census Detailed Census Analysis 2016 vs 2011 - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

2016 Isle of Man Census Detailed Census Analysis

2016 vs 2011 Population Profile 8000 Over 50 population has Under 50 population has fallen increased by 9% since 2011 by 8% since 2011 7000 6000 5000 2011 4000 2016 3000 2000 1000 0 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90-94 95+

Births on the Isle of Man 8000 7000 Birth are at their lowest since 1987 6000 Number of births 2005-2016 5000 1100 1050 2011 4000 1000 2016 950 3000 900 850 2000 800 750 1000 700 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 0 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90-94 95+

Unique Inward Migration 8000 7000 6000 The 2016 5-9 cohort is the only group to show net inward migration since 2011, with an increase in the 5000 cohort population of 99 in the 2011 0-4 year olds. 2011 4000 2016 3000 2000 1000 0 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90-94 95+

Emigration of Young adults 8000 The 2016 20-24 cohort shows that whilst there has been inward migration of 331, there has been 7000 outward migration of 1,017 individuals in the past 5 years. 6000 However the Island has more 20-21 year olds in 5000 full time education, at 34%, compared with the UK of 26%. 2011 4000 2016 There has been a significant downward trend of 3000 under 29s leaving home and living on their own. In 1996, 39% of 15-29 years olds lived away from 2000 home, compared with 29.9% in 2016. 1000 0 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90-94 95+

Life cycle at prime working age 8000 Looks after home and family in four largest census districts 12.0% 7000 10.0% 6000 8.0% 6.0% 5000 4.0% 2.0% 2011 4000 0.0% 2016 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 3000 RAMSEY DOUGLAS ONCHAN PEEL There has been limited net outward 2000 migration in the 30-49 cohort, so whilst the Island has attracted 2,105 1000 individuals, 2,312 have left in the past 5 years. 0 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90-94 95+

Early exit from the work force 8000 There is a significant proportion of individuals exiting the work force early 7000 within the 50 – 64 cohort: 6000 25% of men aged 60-64 have • retired from paid work 5000 11% of women and 8.4% of men • 2011 4000 aged 55-59 have retired from paid 2016 work 3000 6.3% of 50 – 64 year olds are • unable to work due to long term 2000 sickness or disability 1000 0 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90-94 95+

Retired and Elderly Population 8000 The over 65 population on the Island now • makes up 21% of the Island’s resident 7000 population, compared with 18% in 2011. 6000 20% of 65 – 69 year olds are still in • employment, with 6.5% of those over 70 5000 still in employment 2011 4000 Deaths for 2016 were 852, which is the • 2016 highest since 2003. 3000 Inward migration is the lowest for those 65 • 2000 and over, however 581 persons have moved to the Island since 2011. 1000 0 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90-94 95+

Over 95 Population 8000 7000 6000 Since 1996, the over 95 population has increased by 188% 5000 Increase in 95+ Population 2011 4000 240 2016 220 200 3000 180 160 140 2000 120 100 80 1000 60 1996 2001 2006 2011 2016 0 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90-94 95+

Dependency Ratios 85 80 75 70 Scotland England 65 Wales Ireland N Ireland 60 Jersey Guernsey 55 Isle of Man 50 45 40 1951 1961 1971 1981 1991 2001 2011 2015

Cohort Movement 2006 - 2011 2011 - 2016 500 300 100 -100 -300 -500 -700

Young Adult Migration 2006 - 2011 2011 - 2016 100 50 0 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 -50 -100 -150 -200

Movement in Core (25-54) Working Age Population 34,497 34,497 35,000 33,152 32,495 30,000 2006 25,000 20,000 15,000 2011 2016 10,000 4,384 4,719 4,815 5,000 3,022 - Core Working Age New Comers Migrants In Migrants Out Leavers New Core Working Population Age Population -2,611 -5,000 -5,243 -3,689 -6,054 -10,000

Working population by Economic Sector 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 - 2011 2016

Changing nature of jobs undertaken 1,500 1,000 500 0 -500 -1,000 2011 to 2016 -1,500 -2,000 Managers, Professional Associate Administrative Skilled trades Caring, leisure Sales and Process, plant Elementary directors and occupations professional and secretarial occupations and other customer and machine occupations senior officials (e.g. Scientists, and technical occupations service service operatives (unskilled) Engineers, occupations occupations occupations Doctors & (e.g. Police Teachers) Constables, Pilots, Data Analysts & Trainers)

Economic Sector by Place of Birth and Year of Residency 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 2011 - 2016 20% 2000 - 2010 Pre 2000 10% % IOM 0%

Economic Sector by Age 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 55+ 30% 40-54 20% 25-39 16-24 10% 0%

Migrant Working Population by Sector Largest 5 Sectors for Migrants - Post 2011 Largest 5 Sectors for Migrants – Pre 2011 Arrival Arrival Other Retail Financial and distribution Business 16% Medical and Services health Medical and 15% services health 25% services 34% Entertainment Construction and catering 16% 16% Other Financial and Business Miscellaneous Miscellaneous Services ICT (includes services services 25% Egaming) 18% 17% 18%

Employment by Age Group 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% Self-Employed - Not Employing Others Self-Employed - Employing Others 50% Part Time - More than one employer Part Time 40% Full Time 30% 20% 10% 0% 15-24 25-39 40-54 55-64

Internal Migration by Working Population Net Daily Resident Pop Migration Day Time Population % Movement Douglas 26,997 10,243 37,240 38% Ramsey 7,845 -507 7,338 -6% Peel 5,374 -1,257 4,117 -23% Castletown 3,216 -122 3,094 -4% Port Erin 3,484 -785 2,699 -23% Port St Mary 1,916 -414 1,502 -22% Laxey 1,676 -387 1,289 -23% Onchan 9,128 -2,754 6,374 -30% North 5,848 -1,610 4,238 -28% South 6,251 -838 5,413 -13% East 7,446 -748 6,698 -10% West 4,133 -1,208 2,925 -29% Off Island 387 North: Lezayre, Jurby, Andreas, Bride and Maughold South: Malew, Arbory and Rushen East: Braddan, Lonan, Marown and Santon West: Michael, German and Patrick Parishes have been grouped based on their categorisation in the Area Plans.

Reason for Not being in Work (16-64) 4000 3500 3000 2500 2000 2011 2016 1500 1000 500 0 Is at school or Looks after home Is unable to work Is unable to work Unemployed Retirement Other full-time or family (soley) due to long term due to looking for work education sickness permanent, long term disability

Reason for Not being in Work by Age 4,500 4,000 3,500 Other 3,000 Unemployed, looking for work 2,500 Is unable to work due to permanent long term sickness or disability Looks after home or family (solely) 2,000 Is retired 1,500 Is at school or in full time education 1,000 500 - 16-24 25-39 40-54 55-64

Key Points • Significant emigration of 20-29 year olds • Increasing numbers of over 95s • Falling birth rate • Changing nature of the jobs undertaken • Growth employment areas are those with the highest levels of immigration.