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Conservation Procurement Auctions with Bidirectional Externalities Pak-Sing Choi, Ana Espnola-Arredondo, Flix Muoz-Garca School of Economic Sciences Washington State University Fall 2016 Question How to design optimal procurement


  1. Conservation Procurement Auctions with Bidirectional Externalities Pak-Sing Choi, Ana Espínola-Arredondo, Félix Muñoz-García School of Economic Sciences Washington State University Fall 2016

  2. Question • How to design optimal procurement mechanisms for Conservation Reserve Program (CRP) when bi-directional externalities exist between the bidders and the non-bidders?

  3. Motivation The literature mainly considers unidirectional externality from the winners on the outside options/ reservation utilities of non-winners. Conservation Market Projects Activities Negative Externality on Market Activities • Wetland rehabilitation invites migratory birds  Increase the risks of avian influenza outbreak

  4. Motivation However, the external effects of outside options on the implementation costs of conservation projects are not considered. Conservation Market Projects Activities Negative Externality on Conservation • Farming draws water from aquifers  More costly to rehabilitate wetlands

  5. Contribution • Introduce bi-directional externalities to procurement auctions whereby the procurer can decide the project allocations by accounting for the directionality and effects of externalities. • Output-reducing effect of externalities are cumulative and are more pronounced under incomplete information.

  6. Literature • Auctions are more efficient than flat-rate payment schemes (Latacz- Lohmann, 2005) despite information rents (Kirwan et al., 2005). Unidirectional Bidirectional Externality Externalities Unidimensional Type Jehiel et al. (1996, 1999, 2000) This Paper Espínola-Arredondo (2008) Figueroa & Skreta (2011) Bidimensional Types Che (1993) This Paper Branco (1997) Rochet and Stole (2003)

  7. Model   • Bidder i observes         ; but everyone knows C M ~ F , ,   i i i i i i       • Quasilinear utility function:     K K K K K K K J K U q , t q C q , q ,  i i i i i i i i i – convex cost in output attenuated by efficiency  K K q i i – cost augmented by negative externalities from others J q  i   – for market activities,   M M M where is market price p t q p q i i i       • Social welfare function:       C C W q V q 1 t q i i i i i – value function increasing and concave in conservation C q i – λ is the shadow cost of raising public funds

  8. Attenuation of Negative Externality by Efficiency

  9. Complete Information     • The procurer chooses C C C to solve q , t q i i i      N         C C C max 1 V q t q   i i i i      N i 1 C C C q , t q i i i  i 1                    C C C C M M M M C M s.t. (IRC i ) U q , U q , , i i i i i i i i i i • Optimal conservation output               C C M M C MB q 1 MC q , q MEC q , q     i i i i i i i i • Optimal transfer payment             ˆ ˆ C C C C M C M M M C M t q C q , q , p q C q , q ,   i i i i i i i i i i i

  10. Negative Conservation Externality on Other Bidders

  11. Incomplete Information     • Using the DRM, the procurer chooses to solve C C C q , t q i i i      N         C C C max V q 1 t q   i i i i      N i 1 C C C , q t q i i i  i 1              C C C C M M M M s.t. (IRC i ) U q , U q , i i i i i i i i         ˆ ˆ ˆ          ˆ C C C C C C C C C C C U q , U q , , i i i i i i i i i i         (BIC i ) ˆ ˆ ˆ          ˆ M M M M M M M M M M M U q , U q , , i i i i i i i i i i • Optimal conservation output               C C M M C MB q 1 VMC q , q VEC q , q     i i i i i i i i • Optimal transfer payment             ˆ ˆ C C C C M C M M M C M t q C q , q , p q C q , q ,   i i i i i i i i i i i

  12. Unobservable Conservation Efficiency

  13. Unobservable Production Efficiency

  14. Layers of Externalities Cost Production Externality Conservation Externality Hidden Information First Best Marginal Benefit * * * C q C * C C C q q q q 2 1 0 i i i i i

  15. Score Function • Enrolls bidder i if his welfare contribution is positive.                      ˆ ˆ D C C C M C M M M C M W q V q 1 C q , q , p q C q , q ,     i i i i i i i i i i i                       ˆ j ˆ M C M M M C C M M 1 C , 0, q , C q , q , q , q    j k j j j i k j j  j i i                       ˆ j C C M M C C C M C 1 C q , q , q , C q , 0, q ,    j j i k j j j k j  j i i 1. His conservation benefits less his transfer payment. 2. His conservation externality on the other bidders. 3. His (stopping of) production externality on the other bidders.

  16. Conclusion • The procurer’s lack of information would generate greater inefficiencies in the presence of bi-directional externalities. • Positive externalities stimulate more conservation output, and that positive and negative externalities offset each other. • In the case of high transfer payments and significant negative externalities, conservation output may be reduced to zero.

  17. Extension • Collect and analyze datasets on conservation procurement auctions to quantify the bi-directional external effects. • Imperfect competition and market for heterogeneous goods. Also simultaneous market activities and conservation projects. • Consider how the different components in an ecosystem and the market interact when developing conservation projects.

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