tsx pif
play

TSX : PIF JUNE 2017 WWW.POLARISINFRASTRUCTURE.COM 1 IMPORTANT - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

POLARIS INFRASTRUCTURE INC. TSX : PIF JUNE 2017 WWW.POLARISINFRASTRUCTURE.COM 1 IMPORTANT NOTICE This Presentation includes general background information with respect Polaris Infrastructure Inc. (Polaris) and does not purport to be


  1. POLARIS INFRASTRUCTURE INC. TSX : PIF JUNE 2017 WWW.POLARISINFRASTRUCTURE.COM

  2. 1 IMPORTANT NOTICE This Presentation includes general background information with respect Polaris Infrastructure Inc. (“Polaris”) and does not purport to be complete. It has been prepared solely for informational purposes and is not to be considered a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any securities and should not be treated as investment advice. The information contained in this Presentation is confidential and the property of Polaris. It is made available strictly for the purposes referred to above. This Presentation must not be disclosed, copied, published, reproduced or distributed in whole or in part at any time without the prior written consent of Polaris and, by accepting this Presentation, you agree not to do so. You also agree to return any written copy of this Presentation to Polaris at the request of Polaris.

  3. POLARIS INFRASTRUCTURE OVERVIEW

  4. 3 SNAPSHOT  Own and operate San Jacinto Geothermal power plant in Nicaragua  PPA with national grid – contractual price per MWh, with annual escalator, to 2029  Recapitalized in May 2015  “Fixed” balance sheet  New Management and Board  Cash flow positive; initiated dividend in Q2 2016  Strong organic growth expected in cash flow in next 12-18 months

  5. 4 CAPITAL MARKETS SNAPSHOT P I F S y m b o l : Price* (C$): Debt – Mar 31 (US$): C$16.82 178.6 mm Shares Outstanding (FD): Enterprise Value (US$): 15.7 mm 331 mm Market Cap. (C$): Run Rate EBITDA (US$): 264 mm ~ 50 mm Market Cap (US$): EV/EBITDA: 201 mm ~ 6.6x Cash On Hand – Mar 31 (US$): Quarterly Dividend (US$): 48.4 mm $0.12 * as of June 16, 2017

  6. 5 IMPROVEMENT IN FINANCIAL METRICS Annualized “Run - rate” Results 2 new wells drilled * 2016 reflects annualized results once 2 new wells brought online

  7. 6 RECENT OPERATING RESULT LTS USD million Q4/16 Per Q1/17 Per Share Share Revenue 15.7 13.4 EBITDA 13.3 10.9 Less: Interest & Bank Fees 3.8 3.8 Sustaining Capex * 1.3 1.3 Discretionary CF 8.2 US$0.52/ 5.8 US$0.37/ C$0.71 C$0.51 Less: Principal Repayment 2.1 2.5 Free Cash Flow 6.1 US$0.39/ 3.3 US$0.21/ C$0.53 C$0.29 *As estimated by management, on a long term, average basis.

  8. 7 DIVIDEND GROWTH Ability to raise dividend based on both growth in cash flow and/or payout ratio Note: Q2 2017 payout ratio was impacted by planned turbine maintenance * Calculated using management's estimated sustaining capital expenditure

  9. SAN JACINTO GEOTHERMAL PLANT

  10. 9 PROJECT OVERVIEW  72 MW capacity turbines – both online since January 2013  PPA in US$ for up to 72MW net, to 2029  US$123/MWh in 2017 with 3% per annum price escalator for 6 years; 1.5% per annum thereafter (to 2029)  10 production wells with productive capacity of approximately:  500-525 tph of steam and  1,500-1,700 tph of hot brine.  Production wells 500m to 2,500m in depth  Current steam can result in power capacity of approx. 60-65 MW (net of ~5 MW internal consumption)  6 Injection wells re-inject the hot brine into the reservoir to create a “closed loop” – renewable energy in literal sense  Plant re-certified for CO2 credits - ~250,000 tons per year available

  11. 10 STABLE/GROWING PLANT-LEVEL EBITDA * Plant-level EBITDA defined as Revenue less Direct Costs

  12. 2015/2016 SAN JACINTO DRILLING PROGRAM

  13. 13 2015/2016 DRILLING PROGRAM  Drilled 3 new wells – target 2 new production wells ($23.4MM)  SJ 6-3  SJ 9-4  SJ 14-1  Mechanical “workover” of 4 existing injection wells ($8.2MM)  Selected infrastructure investments ($6.4 million):  Roads  Drilling pads  New separation station  Well connection piping etc

  14. 14 DRILLING PROGRAM RESULTS

  15. FUTURE GROWTH OPTIONS

  16. 16 FUTURE GROWTH OPTIONS  San Jacinto geothermal project  Drilling further production and injection wells  Plant output optimization projects  Binary Unit  Carbon credits  Develop Western Sector  Acquisitions / Project Development  Casita – San Cristobal Geothermal Field Feasibility and Development Project

  17. 17 FURTHER PRODUCTION WELLS  Drilling rig is on-site, available  Have 2-3 well sites identified  Will validate location(s) through planned geological studies in Q1 -Q2 2017  Target commencement of drilling July 2017  Likely to drill shallow wells to target “steam cap”  Steam cap is a key development in the lifecycle of the San Jacinto resource  Estimate cost of approximately $7.5 million / well  Capital cost is funded by internal cash  Possible long-term expansion into Western Sector of San Jacinto concession

  18. 18 BINARY UNIT  Separate generating unit – generates power from hot geothermal fluids (brine) before reinjecting  Low risk means of generating additional power  No exploration risk  Low technical risk  Competitive nature of OEM market will result in attractive pricing  Design finalized – procurement finalized July/August timeframe  Total cost of approximately $30 million  Estimate additional 8 – 10 MW  Equates to approx. $6 – 8 million additional cash flow  Approx. 4-5 year payback

  19. 19 NEAR TERM CAPACITY GROWTH Pre-Existing Productive Capacity (net) ~50 MW 2015/2016 Drilling Program ~10 – 12 MW Current Productive Capacity (net) * ~60 – 62 MW 2017 Drilling Program ~0 – 10 MW Plus: Binary Unit ~8 – 10 MW Total (net) ~68 – 82 MW * Until infrastructure improvements in Q3-Q4 2017 are complete, power production will be constrained by ~2 MW

  20. 20 NEAR TERM GROWTH IMPACT In Increase ease in in Cash sh Flo low w (% In Incre rease) ase) De-bottleneck Line Capacity $2 - 4 mm (7% to 13%) Two Production Wells $0 - 15 mm (0% to 50%) Binary Unit $7 - 9 mm (23% to 30%) Total (net) $9 - 28 mm (30% to 80%)  Polaris has the capital to significantly grow free cash flow in next 12-18 months  2 options are “risk–free”  Drilling provides upside …with an outcome most likely at the “midpoint”…i.e. $7 -8 million in free cash flow

  21. 21 SAN JACINTO TARGET PRODUCTION Annualized “Run - rate” Results Assuming Binary Unit Assuming 1 new production well * reflects annualized results once new production brought online

  22. 22 ACQUISITIONS/DEVELOPMENT  Grid in Central America is small/fragmented and has a significant number of renewable projects  Numerous – 25-100 MW projects in the region  Large power companies and infrastructure funds not active  Owners are small companies and / or HNW individuals  Implication is that:  Good targets for acquisitions without significant competition  Much higher IRR projects available to develop (i.e. 15-20% IRR vs. 10-12% in North America)

  23. 23 NICARAGUA OVERVIEW  Daniel Ortega President – elected in 2007  Ortega won national election in November 2016 – 5 more years of stability  Highest growth rate and safest country in central America  “Left Leaning” politically but open economically  Polaris project is a showcase project for the country  One of the largest foreign investments in country to date  Renewable energy  World bank and other global development banks as lenders

  24. 24 RESEARCH ANALYST COVERAGE * as of May 11, 2017

  25. 25 SAN JACINTO PHOTOS

Recommend


More recommend