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Third Quarter Fiscal 2020 February 5, 2020 8:00 am CDT - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Third Quarter Fiscal 2020 February 5, 2020 8:00 am CDT Forward-Looking Statements This presentation contains statements, including information about future financial performance and market conditions, accompanied by phrases such as


  1. Third Quarter Fiscal 2020 February 5, 2020 8:00 am CDT

  2. Forward-Looking Statements This presentation contains statements, including information about future financial performance and market conditions, accompanied by phrases such as “believes,” “estimates,” “expects,” “plans,” “anticipates,” “intends,” and other similar “forward - looking” st atements, as defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Modine's actual results, performance or achievements may differ materially from those expressed or implied in these statements because of certain risks and uncertainties, including, but not limited to those described under “Risk Factors” in Item 1A of Part I of the Company's Annual Report on Form 10 -K for the year ended March 31, 2019 and under Forward- Looking Statements in Item 7 of Part II of that same report, and in the Company’s Quarterly Report on For m 10-Q for the quarters ended June 30, 2019 and September 30, 2019. Other risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to, the following: the overall health and price- down focus of Modine’s customers; our ability to successfully execute our strategic and operational plans, including our ability to successfully separate and sell our automotive business within the VTS segment; our ability to effectively and efficiently reduce our cost structure in response to sales volume declines and complete restructuring activities and realize benefits thereon; operational inefficiencies as a result of program launches, unexpected volume increases and product transfers; economic, social and political conditions, changes and challenges in the markets where Modine operates and competes, including foreign currency exchange rate fluctuations, tariffs (and potential trade war impacts resulting from tariffs or retaliatory actions), inflation, changes in interest rates, recession, restrictions associated with importing and exporting and foreign ownership, public health crises, such as pandemics and epidemics, and the general uncertainties about the impact of regulatory and/or policy changes, including those related to tax and trade, that have been or may be implemented in the U.S. or by its trade partners, and continuing uncertainty regarding “Brexit”; the impact on Modine of any significant increases in commodity prices, particularly aluminum, copper, steel and stainless steel (nickel) and other purchased component inventory, and our ability to adjust product pricing in response to any such increases; the nature of and Modine’s significant exposure to the vehicular industry and the dependence of this industry on the health of the economy; the concentration of sales within our CIS segment attributed to one customer; Modine’s ability to recr uit and maintain talent in managerial, leadership, and administrative functions; Modine’s ability to protect its proprietary informat ion and intellectual property from theft or attack; the impact of any substantial disruption or material breach of our information technology systems; costs and other effects of environmental investigation, remediation or litigation; and other risks and uncertainties identified by the Company in public filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Forward-looking statements are as of the date of this presentation, and the Company does not assume any obligation to update any forward-looking statements. 2

  3. Q3 FY 2020 Highlights • Sales down $67.6M from prior year and adjusted operating income down $10.8M – Lower market demand in VTS and CIS segments • Improved free cash flow during the quarter Strengthened balance sheet by refinancing debt − • New CIS leadership focused on improving margins and growing coolers business • Realigned organization and approach to data center market • Automotive exit strategy progressing Plan to manage and report a separate auto segment in FY21 − − Separation nearly complete with focused leadership team − Committed to exiting auto business quickly and efficiently − Segmented the business and engaged with numerous interested parties $131.9 − Focused on managing the business to optimize earnings and cash flow 3

  4. VTS Summary Sales by End Market Net Sales Adjusted Operating Income -16% -66% 9% -3% Automotive 20% -26% Commercial Vehicle $15.0 $323.3 46% -26% Off-Highway $5.1 25% $271.9 Other 4.6% 1.9% Q3 19 Q3 20 Q3 19 Q3 20 (in millions) Sales by Product Sales by Region 6% -18% -18% -28% Power Train Cooling 48% +3% Engine Products $123 -4% 46% $103 $46 Other Americas Europe Asia (in millions) * See Appendix for Non-GAAP reconciliations 4

  5. CIS Summary Sales by End Market Net Sales Adjusted Operating Income -12% -34% 9% -9% Commercial HVAC&R $13.6 20% $167.0 -25% Data Center $9.0 $147.5 71% +7% Industrial (Power & Other) 8.1% 6.1% Q3 19 Q3 20 Q3 19 Q3 20 (in millions) Sales by Product Sales by Region -19% 8% -4% -9% Coils 26% -22% Coolers $78 $58 Coatings/Other +8% +5% 66% $12 Americas Europe Asia (in millions) * See Appendix for Non-GAAP reconciliations 5

  6. BHVAC Summary Sales by End Market Net Sales Operating Income +1% +4% 1% 17% 0% Commercial HVAC&R $64.9 $64.2 $13.5 Data Center +2% $13.0 82% Other 20.3% 20.8% Q3 19 Q3 20 Q3 19 Q3 20 (in millions) Sales by Product Sales by Region +6% +5% 16% Heating -10% Air Conditioning 12% -7% $43 52% +1% Ventilation $22 20% +4% Aftersales/Other Americas Europe (in millions) 6

  7. Income Statement Metrics Sales decreased $67.6M or 12% − Significant truck and off-highway market headwinds in VTS (In millions) Q3 2020 Q3 2019 − CIS impacted by the decline with one major data center customer Net Sales $473.4 $541.0 Gross profit decreased 20%; margin negatively impacted by VTS and Gross Profit 73.5 91.7 CIS segments 15.5% 16.9% % of net sales Margin decline driven by the reduction in volume and in-line with − typical downside conversions SG&A expenses 63.5 57.2 Total SG&A includes $12.6M of costs related to the separation and % of net sales 13.4% 10.6% exit the automotive business Adjusted Op Income* 24.0 34.8 − Program management; necessary to create a stand-alone business and allow for an eventual divestiture % of net sales 5.1% 6.4% − Majority of the separation work is complete; IT, legal, HR, audit, Interest Expense 5.6 6.2 accounting, and tax Majority of any remaining costs will be to support a sale process; − Adj. Provision for Income Taxes* 0.0 6.5 seller due diligence, accounting, legal, and other advisory fees Adjusted Tax Rate* 0% 23% Underlying SG&A decreased $5M or 9% from prior year − Adjusted EPS* $0.37 $0.42 Adjusted operating income decreased $10.8M − Lower margin driven by the reduced sales and partially offset by decreased SG&A costs * See Appendix for the full GAAP income statement and Non-GAAP reconciliations Adjusted EPS declined $0.05 to $0.37 − Decreased tax rate due to tax benefits in Italy and a favorable forecast of the GILTI impact on US taxes 7

  8. Cash Flow & Net Debt Cash flow improved during the quarter and anticipating further progress to continue through year end Q3 YTD 2020 Q3 YTD 2019 (In millions) − Net debt declined by $21M during the quarter, with Operating cash flow $45.9 $67.4 positive free cash flow of $12M Capital expenditures (58.2) (58.7) On a YTD basis, cash flow has been impacted by lower earnings, along with working capital and expenses related Free cash flow ($12.3) $8.7 to the automotive exit plan − Investments in the automotive exit have been important and strategic (In millions) 12/31/19 3/31/19 − Costs have supported several workstreams, including program management, separation, and the sale Cash $36.2 $41.7 process Total debt 447.7 449.7 Separation costs are mostly complete, with the cash − flow impact on a lag Net debt $411.5 $408.0 Planning to run the stand alone automotive segment − Leverage Ratio 2.3x 2.1x with much lower capital investments − Future cash flow benefits expected from asset sales Net debt of $412M, with leverage at 2.3x Further strengthened the capital structure by refinancing $100M with long-term private placements 8

  9. Fiscal 2020 Guidance Guidance Comments (In millions) Net sales $1,947 to $2,058 -12% to -7% Adjusted operating income* $85 to $95 -36% to -28% (-160 to -140 bps) $23M of annual interest expense; Adjusted EPS* $0.85 to $1.00 Assumes current foreign exchange rates; Adjusted tax rate 26% • Confirming sales and adjusted operating income guidance Increasing the adjusted EPS range due to favorable tax forecast changes • Anticipating lower year-over-year sales from slowing CIS markets/customers, declining commercial vehicle • and off-highway markets, and partially offset with growth in BHVAC • Executing on cost reduction plans to help offset the volume decreases Full-year sales declining 7% to 12%, and adjusted operating income declining 28% to 36% • • Adjusted EPS range of $0.85 to $1.00 9 * See Appendix for Non-GAAP reconciliations

  10. Appendix

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