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www.theFloridaScorecard.org Downloadable charts Data is downloadable Links to data sources No branding Contact information Florida Year-over-Year Job Creation (Thousands) 400 200 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016


  1. www.theFloridaScorecard.org Downloadable charts Data is downloadable Links to data sources No branding Contact information

  2. Florida Year-over-Year Job Creation (Thousands) 400 200 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 -200 -400 -549.4 -600

  3. Job Growth – November 2017 to November 2018 U.S. – 1.7% Alaska: -0.2% Hawaii: 2.0%

  4. Job Creation November 2017 to November 2018 Florida Job Creation Rate: 2.8% U.S. Job Creation Rate: 1.7% Top Counties for Jobs: Orange 32,713 Broward 20,185 Palm Beach 19,655 Top Growth Rate Counties: Seminole, Orange, Lake, Osceola – all 4.6% 5 Florida Counties Lost Jobs over past year Data Source: Florida Department of Economic Opportunity

  5. Job Growth 2007 to 2017 U.S. Job Growth Rate: 6.3% Florida’s Job Growth Rate: 6.9% Top Counties – Jobs 1. Orange 128,868 2. Miami-Dade 107,552 3. Broward 45,880 26 Florida Counties Lost Jobs 4. Palm Beach 36,471 between 2007 and 2017 – 38.8% 5. Duval 36,406 53.2% of U.S. Counties Lost Jobs Top Counties - Job Growth between 2007 and 2017 1. Sumter 40.0% 2. St. Johns 28.8% 3. Flagler 26.3% 4. Osceola 24.9% 5. Walton 24.7% Data Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, QCEW Annual Data

  6. Age Group 85+ Florida 80- 84 Growth to 75- 79 70- 2030 by 74 65- Age Group 69 60- 64 55- 59 50- 54 45- 49 40- 44 35- 39 30- 34 25- 29 20- 24 15- 19 0- 14 0% 20% 40% 60% 80%

  7. Florida’s next 5 million People 8 Counties to account for 56.9% of Population Increase: 1. Miami-Dade 2. Orange 3. Hillsborough 4. Broward 5. Palm Beach 6. Lee 7. Duval 8. Osceola Top Number: Population Increase Bottom Number: Percentage Increase Source: FL Demographic Estimating Conference & BEBR FL Population Studies

  8. Net Migration to Florida 6,713 18,854 Alaska 494 Hawaii -368 Puerto Rico 26,204

  9. Florida County 3 rd Grade Reading Scores Florida 2018 Number is percent of 3 rd Graders reading at Grade Level Statewide: 95,232 public school 3 rd Graders not reading at grade level in 2018. Data Source: Florida Department of Education

  10. January 2019 January 2018

  11. Variables used in Florida’s Leading Economic Index Florida Consumer Open Jobs Sentiment Florida Trade-Weighted Dollar Housing Starts

  12. Variables used in Florida’s Leading Economic Index • Florida Initial Unemployment Claims (Federal Reserve-FRED) Commercial Carrier Activity 140,000 • Commercial Airport Activity 120,000 100,000 (FAA-ATADS) 80,000 60,000 Carrier 12 per. Mov. Avg. (Carrier) • Interest Rate Yield Spread (Federal Reserve-FRED)

  13. Housing Starts

  14. Florida Trade-Weighted Dollar 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

  15. Yield Spread – 10s minus 2s

  16. Initial Unemployment Claims - Florida 5,216 Initial Claims – 12/29/2018. 14,698 furloughed Florida workers according to Center for American Progress

  17. 2018 additions to The Flo lorida Scorecard The Florida Leading Index forecasts the Job Creation in Florida for the upcoming 6 months . This addition to the Florida Scorecard forecasts the probability that Florida will be in a recession in the next 9 months.

  18. January 2019 January 2018

  19. 2019 Forecast Florida Chamber Foundation Jobs Forecast for 2019 (thousands) 150,000 Jobs 16% 14% 70% Probability 12% between 130,000 10% and 170,000 8% 40% Probability 6% between 140,000 4% and 160,000 2% 0% 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170 180 190 200 210

  20. 2019 Forecasts 1. Jobs Created – 150,000 2. Population Increase – 330,000 3. Top Industry Growth Rates: 1. Construction 2. Professional & Business Services 3. Health Services

  21. Coordinates

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