The ProgTrans/IWW infrastructure cost calculation model - an analysis of three road categories Cornelia Bange, Gernot Liedtke, 08.10.2011, 11th Infraday, Berlin INSTITUTE FOR ECONOMIC POLICY RESEARCH (IWW) NETWORK ECONOMICS INSTITUTE FOR ECONOMIC POLICY RESEARCH (IWW), NETWORK ECONOMICS KIT – University of the State of Baden-Wuerttemberg and www.kit.edu National Laboratory of the Helmholtz Association
Outline Model premises Model premises 1. 1 Economic depreciation 2. ProgTrans/IWW Model description 3. Results 4. Concl sion Conclusion 5. 2 ProgTrans/IWW infrastructure cost calculation model Institute for Economic Policy Research (IWW) Oct. 08, 2011 Network Economics
Premises Public enterprise Financing in terms of public market conditions Financing in terms of public market conditions Long-term high-quality and self-financing road infrastructure Market-based sustainability of substance Concept of economic depreciation Current depreciated values Efficient and fair cost allocation Static and dynamic efficiency Usage-based, intergenerational and causative fairness Usage based, intergenerational and causative fairness 3 ProgTrans/IWW infrastructure cost calculation model Institute for Economic Policy Research (IWW) Oct. 08, 2011 Network Economics
Economic depreciation I p Open depreciation method Gross asset GA(t) e al ated Gross asset GA(t) evaluated with replacement prices ith replacement prices NA(t) = GA(t) * ((T-t)/T)) = current depreciated value D(t) = NA(t) – NA(t-1) + RI(t) Success neutrality Synthetic Method S th ti M th d 4 ProgTrans/IWW infrastructure cost calculation model Institute for Economic Policy Research (IWW) Oct. 08, 2011 Network Economics
Economic depreciation II p Example: capital costs bridges Linear depreciation Economic depreciation 16 16 16 14 14 in % in % 12 12 he net asset he net asset 10 10 8 8 share of th share of t 6 6 4 4 2 2 0 0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 interest depreciation interest depreciation Intergenerational fairness, sustainability of substance 5 ProgTrans/IWW infrastructure cost calculation model Institute for Economic Policy Research (IWW) Oct. 08, 2011 Network Economics
ProgTrans/IWW model description I g p Overview step1 step 2: step 3: allocation infrastructurecosts toll rate differentiation Calculating infrastructure costs by to - Vertically by axle classes by - road sections vehicle categories - Horizontally by euroclasses - Road sections - elements - Construction elements land Costs HGV Motor- counter more than 12 t GVW cycles GVW earthworks W) sts (3.5 to 12 t (GVW s HGV 12t or more G d denominator i t Mileage HGV c costs cars/others Cars and base layer more than 12 t GVW others pendent costs ally to mileage road surface based costs bus Average toll rate HGV quotient nodes more than 12 t GVW Light good System-specific cos Capacity-dep stem-specific costs Proportiona System-specific Weight-b vehicles tunnel (<3,5t) bridges HGV under 12 t GVW euro 1 euro 2 euro 3 euro 4 euro 5 euro 6 maintance area S euro 1 euro 1 euro 2 euro 2 euro 3 euro 3 euro 4 euro 4 euro 5 euro 5 euro 6 euro 6 resting facility resting facility HGV with HGV with Sy 12t ore more GVW operation Vertical Horizontal toll system differentiation differentiation Basics: determining and predicting the mileage by – road sections – vehicle categories 6 ProgTrans/IWW infrastructure cost calculation model Institute for Economic Policy Research (IWW) Oct. 08, 2011 Network Economics
ProgTrans/IWW model description II g p Step 1.1 Step 1.2: Step 1.3 Inventory in the base year Inventory in the base year Prediction in the fical year Prediction in the fical year Calculation infrastructure costs Calculation infrastructure costs Determination of gross assest, net assets and economic Prediction of the road Prediction of the road depreciations depreciations Road inventory R d i t inventory in the base year by in the fiscal year ‐ Sections ‐ Constructive elements Asset erosion land aquisition Reinvestments earthworks New constructions road surface nodes tunnels equipment Determining the Prediction of the maintenance replacement unit cost replacement unit cost depots service areas rates in the base year rates in the fiscal year bridges bridges + operational costs = total infrastructure costs 7 ProgTrans/IWW infrastructure cost calculation model Institute for Economic Policy Research (IWW) Oct. 08, 2011 Network Economics
ProgTrans/IWW model description III g p St Step 2: 2 Allocation of infrastructure costs by to ‐ Road sections ‐ vehicle categories ‐ construction elements nt numbers) ) motorcycles an 12 t GVW O ‐ formular) Cars & thers others GV ge osts HGV more tha tionally to mileag ‐ specific costs HG ent costs (AASHO b busses ecific costs cars/o nt costs (equivale Light goods vehicles (<3,5t GVW) apacity ‐ dependen Weight ‐ depende Proport System ‐ system ‐ spe System ‐ specific co HGV up to 12t GVW HGV more than 12t GVW GVW Ca S Basics: Determination and prediction of the mileage by – road sections – vehicles categories 8 ProgTrans/IWW infrastructure cost calculation model Institute for Economic Policy Research (IWW) Oct. 08, 2011 Network Economics
ProgTrans/IWW model description IV g p Step 3: differentiation of toll rates ‐ Vertically by axle classes ‐ Horizontally by euro classes Costs HGV more than 12 t GVW Mileage HGV more than 12 t GVW Average toll rate HGV more than 12 t GVW Euro 1 Euro 2 Euro 3 Euro 4 Euro 5 Euro 6 Vertical differentiation Euro 1 Euro 2 Euro 3 Euro 4 Euro 5 Euro 6 Horizontal differentiation Basics: Determination and prediction of mileages by ‐ road sections ‐ vehicle categories hi l t i 9 ProgTrans/IWW infrastructure cost calculation model Institute for Economic Policy Research (IWW) Oct. 08, 2011 Network Economics
Results I Four-lane federal roads: Agglomeration areas like Frankfurt, Stuttgart, Berlin a u t, Stuttga t, e Road sections of national-wide relevance relevance 10 ProgTrans/IWW infrastructure cost calculation model Institute for Economic Policy Research (IWW) Oct. 08, 2011 Network Economics
Results II Costs comparison per km of selected infrastructure elements in 2010 200 180 160 0 per km in 1000 140 140 120 100 costs 80 60 40 40 20 0 motorways per km four-lane federal roads per km other federal roads km 11 ProgTrans/IWW infrastructure cost calculation model Institute for Economic Policy Research (IWW) Oct. 08, 2011 Network Economics
Results III Average toll rate for different vehicle categories on motorways and four-lane federal roads motorways and four lane federal roads 0,35 0,30 0,25 0,20 in €/km 0,15 0,10 0,05 0,00 motorbycicles cars and others van bus HGV<12t HGV>12t motorways four-lane federal roads 12 ProgTrans/IWW infrastructure cost calculation model Institute for Economic Policy Research (IWW) Oct. 08, 2011 Network Economics
Conclusion Future-oriented, market-based infrastructure cost model Application of different road categories Infrastructure costs of four-lane federal roads are relatively high Application for other infrastructures is feasible 13 ProgTrans/IWW infrastructure cost calculation model Institute for Economic Policy Research (IWW) Oct. 08, 2011 Network Economics
Feedbacks are welcome! Feedbacks are welcome! Bange@kit.edu CORNELIA BANGE INSTITUTE FOR ECONOMIC POLICY RESEARCH (IWW) NETWORK ECONOMICS INSTITUTE FOR ECONOMIC POLICY RESEARCH (IWW), NETWORK ECONOMICS KIT – University of the State of Baden-Wuerttemberg and www.kit.edu National Laboratory of the Helmholtz Association
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ProgTrans/IWW model description IV g p Allocation principles Specific Specific Specific Weight- Construction categories Proportio- Capacity- costs costs costs dependent nally dependent cars cars HGV<12t HGV 12t HGV 12t HGV>12t AASHO AASHO Land acquisition 100 (B) 100 Earthworks/ drainage (M) 100 (B) (B) B Base layers l (M) X Y Z (B) Binders (M) (B) 100 Road surface (M) (M) 100 100 (B) 45 5 50 Tunnels (M) 80 20 (B) 15 85 Bridges (M) 15 85 (B) (B) 33 33 67 67 Equipment (M) 33 67 (B) 20 20 10 10 40 Branches, nodes (M) 15 10 40 35 (B) 33 67 Motorway maintenance depots maintenance depots (M) (M) 33 33 67 67 (B) 20 15 5 60 Service areas and lay- bys (M) 20 15 5 60 Administration/police 33 67 Upkeep U k 35 35 15 15 50 50 16 ProgTrans/IWW infrastructure cost calculation model Institute for Economic Policy Research (IWW) Oct. 08, 2011 Network Economics
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