The Morning After A Post-Election Briefing The Honorable Mike Ferguson, Senior Advisor November 9, 2016
Trump wins White House • 276 Electoral College votes • MN, MI, NH and AZ still too close 2
Republicans keep Senate Against all odds, GOP holds off Dem onslaught • Net GOP loss of 1 seat • Ayotte too close to call, Louisiana runoff in December • Dems in 2018: 25 senators facing re-election 3
2016 Senate GOP survivors ? 4
Ryan’s raucous rank -and-file • House GOP now smaller, more conservative • Trump won big in scores of GOP lawmakers’ districts • Criticism for Ryan over his criticism of Trump • Ryan needs Dem votes for budget in lame duck…but needs GOP votes for Speaker election in January 5
Senator Sherrod Brown • First elected to Senate in 2006 from Ohio • Top Democrat on Senate Banking Committee in 2017 • Supporter of Dodd-Frank • Senior member of tax-writing Finance Committee • Previously served in House, Ohio secretary of state 6
Congressman Patrick McHenry • First elected to House in 2004 from North Carolina • In House GOP leadership as chief deputy whip • No. 2 vote-counter for GOP • Senior member of House Financial Services Committee • Previously served in Bush Administration, state House 7
Lame duck 8
Lame duck • Must-pass: Renew government spending • Other items may be punted to 2017 9
Lame duck Possible consideration in lame duck: • Key Pentagon reauthorization • Tax extenders • Trans-Pacific trade agreement 10
Lame duck • ‘21 st Century Cures’ medical innovation with Cancer ‘Moonshot’ funding • Repeal of CMS’ Medicare Part B demo • Mental health reform • Comprehensive energy legislation 11
2017 • Gridlock – gone! • Trump, GOP Congress expected to move on tax reform coupled with infrastructure spending • Plan could boost economic activity, job creation • Use reconciliation to repeal Affordable Care Act • Debt-ceiling deadline in March 12
Atlanta Chicago Cincinnati Cleveland Columbus Costa Mesa Denver Houston Los Angeles New York Orlando Philadelphia Seattle Washington, DC bakerlaw.com These materials have been prepared by Baker & Hostetler LLP for informational purposes only and are not legal advice. The information is not intended to create, and receipt of it does not constitute, a lawyer-client relationship. Readers should not act upon this information without seeking professional counsel. You should consult a lawyer for individual advice regarding your own situation.
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