The Illinois Statewide Travel Demand Model
Agenda • Introduction • Task 2.1 Data Assessment • Task 3.1 MPO Model Incorporation • Task 3.2 – Zone Development – Network Development – Speed-Capacity Routines • On-going Work – Future Year Scenario – Freight Model Development – Passive Data Processing 2
Introduction
RSG-Led Task CDM Smith-Led Task Lochmueller Group-Led Task IDOT-Led Task/Review Complete PHASE 1 PHASE 2 2018 2019 2020 2021 ase Task Subtask Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan 1 1 Review Requirements—Develop Work Plan 1 1.1 Review of IDOT Requirements 1 1.2 Project Kickoff and Work Plan 1 1.2.1 Recommendations Report 1 1.2.2 Final Project Work Plan 1 1.2.3 Meetings/Calls Schedule Status Update 1.2.4 Agendas, Slides, Minutes 1.2.5 Record of Significant Events 1.2.6 Weekly Calls 1.2.7 Periodic Meetings 1.2.8 Kickoff Workshop 1 2 Data Assessment 1 2.1 Data Assessment Report 1 2.2 Data Purchases 1 2.3 Data Repository Report 1 2.4 Transfer of Datasets to IDOT 1 3 Illinois Statewide Travel Demand Model Development, Calibration, and Validation 1 3.1 Adaptation of Regional Models • Network and Zone 1 3.1.1 Review and Assure Consistency of Network Coverage 1 3.1.2 Review and Assure Consistency of Network Attributes 1 3.1.3 Review and Assure Consistency of TAZ Boundaries 1 3.1.4 Review and Assure Consistency of TAZ Socioeconomic Data Convert Metropolitan Planning Organization TAZ Growth to 1 3.1.5 Illinois Statewide Travel Demand Model TAZ Boundaries and Years Convert Metropolitan Planning Organization Base and Future 1 3.1.6 Origin-Destinations to Illinois Statewide Travel Demand Model TAZ and Years Development Tasks 1 3.1.7 Regional Model Adaptation Memo 1 3 3.2 Network and TAZ Development 1 3.2.1 Define Network Coverage 1 3.2.2 Develop Basic Network Attributes 1 3.2.3 Traffic Count Processing 1 3.2.4 Speed Capacity Routine Development Now Complete 1 3.2.5 Centroid Connector Development 1 3.2.6 TAZ Boundary Development 1 3.2.7 TAZ Base-Year Demographic Data 1 3.2.8 TAZ Base-Year Employment Data 1 3.2.9 Accessibility Calculator 1 3.2.10 Network and TAZ Memo 1 3 3.3 Passenger Model Development 1 3.3.1 Develop Observed Passenger Origin-Destination Matrix 1 3.3.2 Develop Highway Network Assignment Procedures 1 3.3.3 Develop Future-Year Passenger Origin-Destination Matrix 1 3.3.4 Develop Modular Pivoting Model 2 3.3.5 Develop Population Synthesizer Develop Short-Distance Home-Based Trip-Generation 2 3.3.6 Models 2 3.3.7 Develop Short-Distance Home-Based Mode Choice Models Develop Short-Distance Home-Based Destination Choice 2 3.3.8 Models Develop Short-Distance Non-Home-Based Trip Generation 2 3.3.9 Models Develop Short-Distance Non-Home-Based Destination 2 3.3.10 Choice Models 2 3.3.11 Develop Short-Distance Time-of-Day Models 2 3.3.12 Develop Long-Distance Trip-Generation Models 2 3.3.13 Develop Long-Distance Destination Choice Models 2 3.3.14 Develop Airport Models 2 3.3.15 Develop Visitor Generation Models 2 3.3.16 Develop Visitor Destination Choice Models 2 3.3.17 Develop Long-Distance Time-of-Day Models 3 3.4 Freight Model Development 1 3.4.1 Develop Observed Truck Origin-Destination Matrix 1 3.4.2 Develop Truck Generation Rates and Technological Factor 1 3.4.3 Develop Growth Factor Model 2 3.4.4 Develop Commodity Generation Models 2 3.4.5 Develop Commodity Distribution Models with Pivoting Develop Commodity Mode Splits, Payload, and Percent- 2 3.4.6 Empty Factors 2 3.4.7 Develop Short-Distance Truck Model 3 3.5 Statewide Model Calibration and Validation 1 3.5.1 Develop Graphical User Interface/GISDK Scripts (Model 1) Network Assignment Calibration with Observed Origin- 1 3.5.2 Destinations 2 3.5.3 Develop Graphical User Interface/GISDK Scripts (Model 2) 2 3.5.4 System Calibration Technical Report on Model Development, Calibration, and 2 3.5.5 Validation 4 Future-Year Forecasts 1 4 4.1 Future-Year Network Development 1 4 4.2 Future-Year Socioeconomic Control Total Development 1 4 4.3 Future-Year Socioeconomic Growth Allocation to TAZ 1 4 4.4 Preliminary Forecast Runs 2 4.5 Postprocessing and Reporting Tools 2 4 4.6 Final Phase 1 Forecast Runs 2 4 4.7 Future-Year Run and Results Comparison Report 5 Documentation, Training, and Installation 1 5 5.1 Model User Guide (Phase 1) 1 5 5.2 Training/Presentation of Phase 1 Model 2 5 5.3 Model User Guide (Phase 2) with Data Maintenance Dictionary 4 2 5 5.4 Model Installation Guide 2 5 5.5 Model Presentation to IDOT Leadership 2 5 5.6 Model Training (Phase 2) 2 5.7 Roadmap for Future Maintenance and Development (Phase 3)
RSG-Led Task CDM Smith-Led Task Lochmueller Group-Led Task IDOT-Led Task/Review Complete PHASE 1 PHASE 2 2018 2019 2020 2021 ase Task Subtask Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan 1 1 Review Requirements—Develop Work Plan 1 1.1 Review of IDOT Requirements 1 1.2 Project Kickoff and Work Plan 1 1.2.1 Recommendations Report 1 1.2.2 Final Project Work Plan 1 1.2.3 Meetings/Calls Schedule Status Update 1.2.4 Agendas, Slides, Minutes 1.2.5 Record of Significant Events 1.2.6 Weekly Calls 1.2.7 Periodic Meetings 1.2.8 Kickoff Workshop 1 2 Data Assessment 1 2.1 Data Assessment Report 1 2.2 Data Purchases 1 2.3 Data Repository Report 1 2.4 Transfer of Datasets to IDOT 1 3 Illinois Statewide Travel Demand Model Development, Calibration, and Validation 1 3.1 Adaptation of Regional Models • Network and Zone 1 3.1.1 Review and Assure Consistency of Network Coverage 1 3.1.2 Review and Assure Consistency of Network Attributes 1 3.1.3 Review and Assure Consistency of TAZ Boundaries 1 3.1.4 Review and Assure Consistency of TAZ Socioeconomic Data Convert Metropolitan Planning Organization TAZ Growth to 1 3.1.5 Illinois Statewide Travel Demand Model TAZ Boundaries and Years Convert Metropolitan Planning Organization Base and Future 1 3.1.6 Origin-Destinations to Illinois Statewide Travel Demand Model TAZ and Years Development Tasks 1 3.1.7 Regional Model Adaptation Memo 1 3 3.2 Network and TAZ Development 1 3.2.1 Define Network Coverage 1 3.2.2 Develop Basic Network Attributes 1 3.2.3 Traffic Count Processing 1 3.2.4 Speed Capacity Routine Development Now Complete 1 3.2.5 Centroid Connector Development 1 3.2.6 TAZ Boundary Development 1 3.2.7 TAZ Base-Year Demographic Data 1 3.2.8 TAZ Base-Year Employment Data 1 3.2.9 Accessibility Calculator • On-going 1 3.2.10 Network and TAZ Memo 1 3 3.3 Passenger Model Development 1 3.3.1 Develop Observed Passenger Origin-Destination Matrix 1 3.3.2 Develop Highway Network Assignment Procedures 1 3.3.3 Develop Future-Year Passenger Origin-Destination Matrix 1 3.3.4 Develop Modular Pivoting Model 2 3.3.5 Develop Population Synthesizer – Development of Future Develop Short-Distance Home-Based Trip-Generation 2 3.3.6 Models 2 3.3.7 Develop Short-Distance Home-Based Mode Choice Models Develop Short-Distance Home-Based Destination Choice 2 3.3.8 Models Develop Short-Distance Non-Home-Based Trip Generation 2 3.3.9 Models Develop Short-Distance Non-Home-Based Destination 2 3.3.10 Choice Models Year Scenarios 2 3.3.11 Develop Short-Distance Time-of-Day Models 2 3.3.12 Develop Long-Distance Trip-Generation Models 2 3.3.13 Develop Long-Distance Destination Choice Models 2 3.3.14 Develop Airport Models 2 3.3.15 Develop Visitor Generation Models 2 3.3.16 Develop Visitor Destination Choice Models 2 3.3.17 Develop Long-Distance Time-of-Day Models 3 3.4 Freight Model Development 1 3.4.1 Develop Observed Truck Origin-Destination Matrix 1 3.4.2 Develop Truck Generation Rates and Technological Factor 1 3.4.3 Develop Growth Factor Model 2 3.4.4 Develop Commodity Generation Models 2 3.4.5 Develop Commodity Distribution Models with Pivoting Develop Commodity Mode Splits, Payload, and Percent- 2 3.4.6 Empty Factors 2 3.4.7 Develop Short-Distance Truck Model 3 3.5 Statewide Model Calibration and Validation 1 3.5.1 Develop Graphical User Interface/GISDK Scripts (Model 1) Network Assignment Calibration with Observed Origin- 1 3.5.2 Destinations 2 3.5.3 Develop Graphical User Interface/GISDK Scripts (Model 2) 2 3.5.4 System Calibration Technical Report on Model Development, Calibration, and 2 3.5.5 Validation 4 Future-Year Forecasts 1 4 4.1 Future-Year Network Development 1 4 4.2 Future-Year Socioeconomic Control Total Development 1 4 4.3 Future-Year Socioeconomic Growth Allocation to TAZ 1 4 4.4 Preliminary Forecast Runs 2 4.5 Postprocessing and Reporting Tools 2 4 4.6 Final Phase 1 Forecast Runs 2 4 4.7 Future-Year Run and Results Comparison Report 5 Documentation, Training, and Installation 1 5 5.1 Model User Guide (Phase 1) 1 5 5.2 Training/Presentation of Phase 1 Model 2 5 5.3 Model User Guide (Phase 2) with Data Maintenance Dictionary 5 2 5 5.4 Model Installation Guide 2 5 5.5 Model Presentation to IDOT Leadership 2 5 5.6 Model Training (Phase 2) 2 5.7 Roadmap for Future Maintenance and Development (Phase 3)
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