Teachers’ and State Employees’ Retirement System Principal Results of Actuarial Valuation as of December 31, 2012 October 17, 2013 Board of Trustees Meeting Larry Langer and Mike Ribble
Purpose of the Annual Actuarial Valuation Each year, the actuary determines the amount of contributions to be made to the Retirement System during each member’s career that, when combined with investment return, will be sufficient to pay for retiree benefits. This contribution is determined through the annual actuarial valuation, which is summarized in the annual actuarial valuation report. In addition, the annual actuarial valuation is performed to: • Determine progress on funding the Retirement Systems • Explore why the results of the current valuation differ from the results of the valuation of the previous year • Satisfy regulatory and accounting requirements 1 Teachers’ and State Employees’ Retirement System – December 31, 2012 Valuation Results
The Valuation Process INPUT RESULTS • Member Data • Actuarial Value of Assets • Asset Data • Actuarial Accrued Liability • Benefit Provisions • Net Actuarial Gain or Loss • Actuarial Assumptions • Funded Ratio • Funding Methodology • Employer Contributions 2 Teachers’ and State Employees’ Retirement System – December 31, 2012 Valuation Results
Events During Year Ending December 31, 2012 Which Impacted the December 31, 2012 Actuarial Valuation Results Results of this valuation deviated from last year’s valuation due to several causes: • Market value returns of 11.8% compared to 7.25% assumed • Slight decrease in payroll compared to 3% assumed increase Overall, when compared to the December 31, 2011 baseline projections, the above events resulted in: • Slightly higher funded status as of December 31, 2012 – 94.2% in the valuation compared to 92.6% in the baseline projection • Lower employer required contribution rate for fiscal year ending June 30, 2015 – 8.76% in the valuation compared to 9.72% in the baseline projection • Lower projected benefit amounts being accrued by active members 3 Teachers’ and State Employees’ Retirement System – December 31, 2012 Valuation Results
INPUT RESULTS • Member Data • Actuarial Value of Assets • Asset Data • Actuarial Accrued Liability Member Data • Benefit Provisions • Net Actuarial Gain or Loss • Actuarial Assumptions • Funded Ratio • Funding Methodology • Employer Contributions GROUP NUMBER NUMBER The increase in retiree population is consistent As of 12/31/12 As of 12/31/11 with expectations. Retired members and survivors of deceased members currently receiving 179,908 171,786 benefits The increase in active population means more Terminated members and survivors of benefits accruing, but deceased members entitled to benefits but not yet receiving benefits also more contributions 117,489 110,686 supporting the System. Active members* 319,999 317,906 Total 617,396 600,378 * Includes current recipients of Disability Income Plan benefits Refer to Tables on pages 3 and 4 of the actuarial valuation report for more information on the member data submitted for the valuation. 4 Teachers’ and State Employees’ Retirement System – December 31, 2012 Valuation Results
INPUT RESULTS • Member Data • Actuarial Value of Assets • Asset Data • Actuarial Accrued Liability Active Members and Payroll • Benefit Provisions • Net Actuarial Gain or Loss • Actuarial Assumptions • Funded Ratio • Funding Methodology • Employer Contributions $14,000,000,000 350,000 Slightly $12,000,000,000 300,000 decreasing Reported Compensation compensation $10,000,000,000 250,000 Active Members over the past few years results in $8,000,000,000 200,000 lower normal cost than $6,000,000,000 150,000 expected. The valuation $4,000,000,000 100,000 anticipates payroll will $2,000,000,000 50,000 increase in the future. $0 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Actives Reported Compensation Refer to page 1 of the actuarial valuation report for a side-by-side comparison from the past two valuations. 5 Teachers’ and State Employees’ Retirement System – December 31, 2012 Valuation Results
INPUT RESULTS Retired Members and Survivors of • Member Data • Actuarial Value of Assets • Asset Data • Actuarial Accrued Liability • Benefit Provisions • Net Actuarial Gain or Loss • Actuarial Assumptions • Funded Ratio Deceased Members • Funding Methodology • Employer Contributions $3,600,000,000 Steady 180,000 increase in amount of $3,000,000,000 150,000 benefits paid Retired Beneficiaries Annual Pensions out of fund, $2,400,000,000 120,000 increasing as expected $1,800,000,000 based on plan 90,000 assumptions. $1,200,000,000 60,000 $600,000,000 30,000 $0 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Members Pensions Refer to page 1 of the actuarial valuation report for a side-by-side comparison from the 6 past two valuations. Teachers’ and State Employees’ Retirement System – December 31, 2012 Valuation Results
INPUT RESULTS • Member Data • Actuarial Value of Assets • Asset Data • Actuarial Accrued Liability Asset Data • Benefit Provisions • Net Actuarial Gain or Loss • Actuarial Assumptions • Funded Ratio • Funding Methodology • Employer Contributions December 31, 2012 Transactions December 31, 2011 Additions 1,897,179,772 1,669,391,367 Contributions 6,206,397,536 Net Investment Income 1,162,727,294 8,103,577,308 Total 2,832,118,661 Deductions 3,725,310,777 3,538,048,036 Benefits Payments (705,929,375) 4,378,266,531 Net Increase / (Decrease) Net Assets Held in Trust for Pension Benefits 54,108,134,326 Beginning of Year 53,402,204,951 53,402,204,951 End of Year 57,780,471,482 11.82% Estimated net investment return 2.19% Returns were more than the 7.25% assumed rate of return, resulting in lower contributions and higher funded ratio than anticipated as of December 31, 2012 based on the baseline projections presented at the January 2013 board meeting. Refer to Schedule A on page 13 of the actuarial valuation report, for more information on the plan assets submitted for the valuation. 7 Teachers’ and State Employees’ Retirement System – December 31, 2012 Valuation Results
INPUT RESULTS • Member Data • Actuarial Value of Assets • Asset Data • Actuarial Accrued Liability Benefit Provisions • Benefit Provisions • Net Actuarial Gain or Loss • Actuarial Assumptions • Funded Ratio • Funding Methodology • Employer Contributions Benefit provisions are described in North Carolina General Statutes, Chapter 135. There were no significant changes from the prior year’s valuation. Refer to Schedule D of the actuarial valuation report, beginning on page 22, for a summary of the benefit provisions submitted for the valuation. 8 Teachers’ and State Employees’ Retirement System – December 31, 2012 Valuation Results
INPUT RESULTS • Member Data • Actuarial Value of Assets • Asset Data • Actuarial Accrued Liability Actuarial Assumptions • Benefit Provisions • Net Actuarial Gain or Loss • Actuarial Assumptions • Funded Ratio • Funding Methodology • Employer Contributions Demographic (future events that relate to people) • Retirement • Termination • Disability • Death Economic (future events that relate to money) • Interest rate - 7.25% per year • Salary increase (individual, varies by service) • Real return – 4.25% • Payroll growth – 3.00% The latest assumptions were adopted for use with the December 31, 2009 actuarial valuation, based on the experience study prepared as of December 31, 2009 and adopted by the Board of Trustees on October 21, 2010. Our next experience study will be prepared as of December 31, 2014 and presented to the Board in October 2015. Refer to Schedule C of the actuarial valuation report, beginning on page 15, for more information on the actuarial assumptions used for the valuation. 9 Teachers’ and State Employees’ Retirement System – December 31, 2012 Valuation Results
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