Southeast Galt School Closure Review ARC Meeting #1 January 18, 2012 - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Southeast Galt School Closure Review ARC Meeting #1 January 18, 2012

Presentation Outline • Demographics & Enrolment • Funding • Southeast Galt • Goals • Review Process

Demographics & Enrolment

Population Growth • Population growth has two primary contributors: – Natural increase (births minus deaths); and – Net migration (immigration minus emigration)

Number of Births ‐ Canada Baby Boom Baby Boom Echo Baby Bust Baby Bust Echo

Population Projections ‐ Ontario

Changing Composition of Immigrants ‐ Canada  Larger proportion  The composition of of immigrants from the immigrant traditionally non ‐ population has Catholic countries changed over the past 30 years

Waterloo Region Population Projections Regional Population Projections Source: Ministry of Finance, Ontario Population Projections Update, Spring 2011

Live Births – Waterloo Region Entering JK in 2011 Source: Ontario Registrar

Live Births vs. WCDSB JK Enrolment Steady 5 Year Trend

Board ‐ wide Student Yields Historic Projected 0.35 0.33 0.31 0.301 0.29 0.289 Student Yield 0.27 0.266 0.256 0.25 0.246 0.236 0.23 0.21 0.19 0.17 0.15 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025

Board ‐ wide Elementary Enrolment Historic Projected 18000 17500 17000 16500 Total Students 16000 15500 15000 14500 14000 13500 13000 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025

Funding

Funding Types • Capital – New schools – Additions • Operating – Staffing – Resources for students – Maintenance (custodial, utilities, minor repairs) – Transportation – Renewal (large maintenance/replacement projects) • Separate funding envelope

Capital Funding • New schools & additions are funded on a case by case basis (Capital Priorities). – School boards submit a business case to the Ministry of Education. – Individual projects and funding is determined by the Ministry. • Some capital projects can also be funded through the proceeds of the sale of properties (Proceeds of Disposition Reserve)

Operating Funding • Most of the funding is provided on a per pupil basis board ‐ wide – Based on a school size of approx. 450 students – Median elementary enrolment is 296 students (266 FTE) – Median elementary school capacity is 325 pupil places • Small schools, schools operating below capacity and inefficient schools are effectively funded by removing resources from other schools in the system • A fixed amount of money is given for Renewal projects on a yearly basis. – Based on square footage per student

Southeast Galt

Existing Boundaries Existing Schools: • Holy Spirit • St. Ambrose • St. Anne • St. Francis • St. Vincent de Paul Future School Site: • Southeast Galt

Growth/Decline • Comparison of 2006/07 ‐ 50 enrolment vs. 2011/12 • St. Ambrose – New ‐ 2 development east of Dundas has offset the decline on the west +65 side. ‐ 53 +91

Student Distribution Higher concentration of students in newer housing at the south end of the Southeast Galt study area Significant number of out of boundary students

Residential Development Planned residential development New community to be developed east of Dundas Street Earliest possible dates: • Housing starts 2014 • WCDSB school 2015

Student Yields 0.800 0.700 0.600 HOLY SPIRIT 0.500 ST. AMBROSE 0.400 ST. ANNE, C ST. FRANCIS, C 0.300 ST. VINCENT DE PAUL 0.200 Board Average 0.100 0.000 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Enrolment vs. Capacity Historic Projected 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 ST. VINCENT DE PAUL ST. FRANCIS ST. ANNE ST. AMBROSE HOLY SPIRIT Total Capacity

Utilization 157% 900 135% 800 700 191% 600 161% 500 94% 83% 400 95% 81% 300 59% 54% 200 100 0 HOLY SPIRIT ST. AMBROSE ST. ANNE ST. FRANCIS ST. VINCENT DE PAUL Capacity 2011 Enroment 2016 Projected Enrolment

Walking Webs • Walking distance: • JK ‐ Gr.3 = 0.8km • Gr.4 ‐ Gr.8 = 1.6km (shown on map) • Significant overlap in walking areas

Transportation • Slightly over 50% of students in this area are deemed “walkers” • Hazard means that students are within walking distance but are bussed due to a hazard such as a missing sidewalk, unsafe crossing of busy streets, etc.

Holy Spirit Holy Spirit 1000 800 600 400 200 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Enrolment projected to • increase due to development east of Dundas Street • 2 additional kindergarten Region of Waterloo Air Photo: 2009 rooms required for FDK

St. Ambrose St. Ambrose 400 300 200 100 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 • 2.7 acres with very little green play space • Enrolment growth is related to development east of Dundas Region of Waterloo Air Photo: 2009 Street Partnership with Dolson Pool (City of Cambridge) and St. Ambrose Parish •

St. Anne St. Anne (C) 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 • Declining enrolment may impact curriculum delivery • Partnership with Alison Park Neighbourhood Region of Waterloo Air Photo: 2009 Association (City of Cambridge)

St. Francis St. Francis 400 300 200 100 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 • 1 additional kindergarten room required for FDK which is problematic due to: – Small site size – Open concept classrooms & Region of Waterloo Air Photo: 2010 building layout • Insufficient Administrative and Special Education space

St. Vincent de Paul St. Vincent de Paul 500 400 300 200 100 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 • Approx. 100 out of boundary students • 2 additional classrooms required for FDK • Built in 1988 with modular construction (re ‐ locatable) Region of Waterloo Air Photo: 2009

Southeast Galt School • WCDSB has an elementary school site reserved in the Southeast Galt subdivision (East of Dundas St.) • Potential joint venture project with the City of Cambridge, Cambridge Libraries and Waterloo Region DSB

Goals

Goals of the Review • Determine the ideal long ‐ term location and size for each Southeast Galt school. • Determine long ‐ term enrolment boundaries within the Southeast Galt Planning Area to balance enrolment amongst the schools. • Explore the long ‐ term sustainability of the schools in Southeast Galt with particular focus on the impact of small schools. • Establish the boundary and size of a new elementary school east of Dundas Street.

Goals of the Review • Address site size and/or facility issues at St. Ambrose, St. Francis and St. Vincent de Paul. • Determine how the full day kindergarten program can be fully implemented by 2014. • Maximize the number of walkers.

Questions?

School Closure Review Process

Policy Requirements Ministry • Board Policy APF008: Pupil Accommodation Review Process – Part A – Boundary Review Process – Part B – School Closure Review Process • Ministry Guideline – Pupil Accommodation Review Guideline – Oct 31, 2006 – Revised Guideline – June 26, 2009 – Administrative Review

Accommodation Review Committee (ARC) Committee Composition: – School Superintendent (Chair) – Two parent representatives from each school in the review – Principal from each school included in the review – Chief Financial Officer (or designate) – Senior Manager of Capital Planning – Chief Managing Officer – Two Trustees (non ‐ voting members) – One business representative (where possible) – One municipal representative (where possible) – One parish representative (where possible)

Review Process Initiate Review & Public Consultation Preferred Option & Form ARC #4 Recommendations (Nov. 14/11) (Mid ‐ October) Public Consultation ARC Final Report to School Information #3 Director of Profiles Education (Mid ‐ June) Public Consultation #1 Director’s Report to Revise Options Board (End ‐ February) Public Consultation 3 Board Meetings Preliminary Options #2 (Nov 2012 ‐ Jan 2013) (Mid ‐ April)