RISK ASSESSING THE ‘PERFECT MURDER` Alan Smith Director | Matrix Risk Control IADC SAPC 16 February 2017
A RISK ASSESSMENT AS WE KNOW IT ?
March 22 nd April 5 th Fraser arrested April 28 th Car set on fire for Att murder Arlene vanishes April 26 th Fraser +2 January 7 th charged Murder Trial No. 1 January 29 th Fraser Convicted January 30 th Of murder Fraser begins life May 25 th Sentence Conviction quashed April 23 rd Murder Trial No. 2 TIMELINE OF A May 30 th Fraser convicted For second time MURDER
Premeditated murder is the crime of wrongfully and intentionally causing the death of another human being … …after rationally considering the timing or method of doing so, in order to either increase the likelihood of success, or to evade detection or apprehension This particular High RiskTask = The premeditated murder of his wife.
SPONTANEOUS CRIMES PREMEDITATED CRIMES
In the UK 98% of murders are spontaneous
Nat Fraser
SO WHY? - HIGH TARIFF REWARD FREEDOM MONEY CONTROL Facing lengthy prison sentence Impending divorce settlement Of his life and what’s in it
NAT FRASERS 4PS PLANNING PREPARATION Selecting Team / Roles / Team Briefings – Covert Method Body Disposal / meetings – His TBT ! Alibi PEOPLE PROCESS Loyal, trustworthy and De-Risking Police from a incentivised / Logistics / Murder Investigation (High) Execution to a Missing person Enquiry (Med/Low)
Investigative Challenges NO CRIME NO BODY SCENE NO DIRECT NO WITNESSES CONFESSION
FRASER`S INSIDE ALIBI MISTAKES KNOWLEDGE LIBRARY DRUG ACCOMPLICE VISIT STAGING CAR ARLENE’S MEDICINES SOURCING & GLASSES RINGS
FRASER`S INSIDE ALIBI MISTAKES KNOWLEDGE LIBRARY DRUG ACCOMPLICE VISIT STAGING CAR ARLENE’S MEDICINES SOURCING & GLASSES RINGS
FRASER`S OVERKILL THE KIDS RESPONSE WILL BE FINE BEHAVIOUR AVOIDED PRISON CONTACT MONEY VISIT WITH STASH CCTV ACCOMPLICES MATCHED SHUNNED INTERACTION FAMILY SOME WITH FAMILY REWARD FRIENDS
FRASER`S OVERKILL THE KIDS RESPONSE WILL BE FINE BEHAVIOUR AVOIDED PRISON CONTACT MONEY VISIT WITH STASH CCTV ACCOMPLICES MATCHED SHUNNED INTERACTION FAMILY SOME WITH FAMILY REWARD FRIENDS
TYPICAL RARELY SINGLE ACCUMULATION INCIDENT MAJOR OF MINOR CAUSES ERRORS MISTAKE FAILURE TO UNEXPECTED POOR FOLLOW CHANGE HUMAN PROCEDURES FACTORS NO LESSONS POOR ORGANISATIONAL INVESTIGATIONS NOT IMPROVEMENT AND RCA LEARNED
A toolset and learning experience to get to the ROOT CAUSES of problems more quickly and efficiently. Uses proven INVESTIGATION techniques grounded in forensic practices to generate the optimum input data. Utilises unique COMET ROOTMAPS to identify root causes. Assists in creating PREVENTIVE ACTIONS to deal with the root cause preventing repeat failure.
Application Areas Safety Incidents Environmental Incidents Accidents and injuries. Spillages, leaks and damage. Project reviews Business strategy failures Understanding ‘lost’ and ‘wrong’ strategies. Learning lessons on failure to deliver. Performance improvement Process failure Losses and inefficiencies. Non-adherence and ineffective. Market / Product failures Equipment failure Unable to achieve intended results. Costly shutdowns and outages …any situation where you need to know why something went wrong and how to prevent it again.
COMET Phases of Investigation & Analysis…
What we see…
Today I’m fishing!
What am I fishing for? C ommitted JV Drilling COMET lens project partner Serious about improving sector safety and performance Enthusiastic about investigation, analysis and improvement Willing to contribute Drilling industry technical knowledge to project development Be a geographical and sector COMET Champion and Enablor
Over to You. Any Questions? Show Designed by Eilidh Harding of
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