Ready for Anything Designing Resilience for a Transforming World - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Ready for Anything Designing Resilience for a Transforming World Anthony Hodgson 6 th December 2011 Email: tony@internationalfuturesforum.com Twitter: @tonyworldvision

Changes in My Life-time - 1940 10 9 8 7 6 1940 5 1970 4 2010 2050 3 2 1 0 SCALE Population Urban Living Energy Ecosystem Consumption Distress

Changes in My Life-time - 1970 10 9 8 7 6 1940 5 1970 4 2010 2050 3 2 1 0 SCALE Population Urban Living Energy Ecosystem Consumption Distress

Changes in My Life-time - 2010 10 9 8 7 6 1940 5 1970 4 2010 2050 3 2 1 0 SCALE Population Urban Living Energy Ecosystem Consumption Distress

Changes Beyond My Life-time -2050 10 9 8 7 6 1940 5 1970 4 2010 2050 3 2 1 0 SCALE Population Urban Living Energy Ecosystem Consumption Distress

Planetary Boundaries ? ?

The Dynamic Tipping Point PLANET HEALTH HUMAN GROWTH 2012? Where are we now? 2000 2030

The One Planet Living Challenge

The World Challenge in a Nutshell SUSTAINABILITY Unavoidable radically increasing different unsustainability operating of our current environment multi-planet Single planet way of life living paradigm becomes the norm HORIZON 1 The Fragmented Adaptive innovation to try The planetary and keep things Imperative system sorts out going the realities from the politics HORIZON 2 The new paradigm retains useful elements of the previous era Need for Transformative Resilience HORIZON 3 PRESENT DECADE with Adams TIME 9 Associates

Things are heating up!

World System Envisioning Tool for today’s predicament to design a better future

A Resilient Society Requires... ... all these factors to be healthy and dynamically in balance with each other as challenges and shocks arise

From Brittle Society to Resilient Society Ready for Anything Transformative Resilience Synchronous Failure Single Issue Obsession Ignorance and Neglect

Illustrating Synchronous Failure Climate Catastrophe, Dominant Economic Collapse, Food Worldviews Community Supply Conflict Health and Resilience • Extreme planetary events cause Wellbeing disruption of urban habitats Governance where the majority of people Food and and Law live – infrastructure is wrecked Agriculture • At the same time , failure of regulation of the financial Wealth system triggers economic Markets and Power collapse and Trade • At the same time, extensive global crop failure leaves Habitat and Energy and millions starving Infrastructure Raw Materials • The result is a failure of governance, public health crises Climate Water and community breakdown. Change Impact Dependency Planetary • Distressed populations explode Limits with large scale aggression towards the rich and powerful

Horizon 1 - Brittle Control Ownership of Control of Dominant Media Control of X World Health Military and X X Police X X Control Over Control of Political Systems Global Agriculture ... all these factors are becoming increasingly X X Control Over Control of unhealthy and brittle Money as Global Trade as the Horizon 1 Debt Rules mentality clings on to X X power Elite Serving Control of Infrastructure Global Energy X X Ownership of Major Exploitation of Water Resources Climate Change “but Pachamama doesn’t do politics!”

Horizon 3 - Transformative Resilience Bringing It All Together 1. Food as sustenance before Dominant commerce Worldviews Health and Community 2. Trade and technology as support Resilience Wellbeing for life 3. Renewable energy for most needs Governance Food and and Law Agriculture 4. Reduction of man-made carbon emissions to balance 5. Living within planetary limits with restoration Wealth Markets 6. Water as a right not a commodity and Power and Trade 7. Resilient infrastructure on multiple scales 8. Wealth distributed within a Habitat and Energy and humane bandwidth Infrastructure Raw Materials 9. Recursive levels of governance between local and global Climate Water 10. Resilient communities living to an Change Impact Dependency Planetary adaptive norm Limits 11. Diverse cultures all sharing a common world view of one-planet living 12. Determinants of health and wellbeing top priority

Horizon 2 – Transformative Innovation Dominant Worldviews Health and Community Resilience Wellbeing Governance Food and and Law Agriculture Wealth Markets and Power and Trade Habitat and Energy and Infrastructure Raw Materials Climate Water Change Impact Dependency Planetary Limits

There YOU are where you live ........... …..in the middle of all this

So how can we engage with all this complexity and find the profound simplicity? The IFF World Game • We can evoke the transformative resonance through serious play where we role play running our world according to our own insights, as a role play. • A supportive knowledge base is scanned from the best science and understanding we can tap into. • Having engaged with the game board and the relevant data we evoke the harmony using the methods of wisdom council gifted from the indigenous communities of the world.

IFF World Game Making the Connections

IFF World Game Future of Dundee

21 st Century Hopscotch! The next generations can do it better

Please don’t get depressed. From massive intractable challenges come our best responses. You are invited to play your way creatively into a better future. Seek playful forms that generate serious results www.internationalfuturesforum.com