Dr Gabriel Schor, Member of the Management Board Christian Dagrosa, Manager Q2 2020 results Frankfurt am Main, 13 August 2020
Agenda A Highlights B Group results C Asset quality D Balance sheet, capital and funding Q&A Appendix 1 ProCredit Group | Q2 2020 results | Frankfurt am Main, 13 August 2020
ProCredit in the current market environment Encouraging Q2 results against backdrop of challenging, but gradually steadying environment ► Good business growth: Strengthening market position while maintaining strict client selection criteria Customer loans Q2 growth of 4.4% (YTD 5.3%), reflecting in particular demand for investment and green loans Customer deposits Q2 growth of 4.2% (YTD 2.6%), achieved through growth in business and private client deposits ► Steady profit of the quarter of EUR 8.0m (YTD EUR 21.7m/RoE 5.5%), reflecting: Net interest income up 3.6% vs Q2-19 (H1-20 up 7.8% YOY) with strong loan growth overcompensating slight decrease in margin Increased cost of risk of 71 bps (YTD 67 bps) in line with expectations; update of macro assumptions as key driver Further decreased operating expenses (down 3.1% relative to Q2-19), with cost-income ratio at 66.5% YTD Continued steady risk profile ► Credit risk profile developing steadily despite challenges arising from COVID-19 pandemic Loan portfolio quality remains good with credit-impaired loans at 2.5% and steady coverage with good collateral Continued individual review of client situations and differentiated approach to restructuring ► LCR at 142%, deposit-to-loan ratio at 88% ► Continued strong capital base: CET1 ratio at 14.1%, leverage ratio at 10.3% Guidance for full year 2020 confirmed, with guidance for loan growth increased to 8% – 10% 2 ProCredit Group | Q2 2020 results | Frankfurt am Main, 13 August 2020
ProCredit in the current market environment (continued) Focused and long-term-oriented business model of ProCredit continues to provide strong basis for managing prevailing challenging environment well ► Very efficient branch structure and digital approach to all routine banking transactions allows us to focus on core business Update Q2: Strong new customer growth in Q2 as a result of focused staff activities and reduced activities of competitor banks ► “Hausbank for SMEs” concept with close client relationships visible to clients and a catalyst to supporting economies in times of COVID-19 Update Q2: Deepened cooperation with International Finance Corporation (IFC) announced: USD 100m financing by IFC to support SMEs during the COVID-19 crisis ► Impact-oriented business approach with no focus on consumer lending (94% loans to SMEs, 6% housing loans to individuals) with strong presence in agricultural and green loans Update Q2: Green loan portfolio amounting to EUR 874m, with particularly strong growth of 8.4% or EUR 68m in Q2 ► Long track record of very good loan portfolio quality and low net write-offs Update Q2: Share of portfolio in moratorium peaked at around 30%, declining at end-Q2 to 17% Diversified portfolio with relatively low exposure to high-risk sectors Good basis to take advantage of opportunities: e.g. clients valuing ProCredit’s service quality, serving robust and expanding sectors 3 ProCredit Group | Q2 2020 results | Frankfurt am Main, 13 August 2020
Key recent developments and outlook for our countries of operations Overview of regional presence in SEE/EE COVID-19 pandemic and governmental response ► Infection and death rates increased in the second quarter after many lockdown measures were lifted, but remain well below most Western European levels ► Very differentiated situation by country, with uncertainties regarding developments in the coming weeks ► Borders partially re-opened, but new restrictions likely/currently being announced ► Fiscal and monetary measures maintained, combined with state guarantee programmes in some countries ► Legislative moratoria on debt, initially issued in a relatively Expected GDP development in SEE/EE (1) consistent way, now treated differently in different countries 2019A 2020E 2021E Macroeconomic impact 5.1% ► Strong GDP decline felt in Q2 but some signs of improvement 3.6% in June 2020 with end of lockdown ► Degree of real GDP (1) decline in 2020E and recovery in 2021E varying depending on source, with -4.5% 2020E estimated between -4.3% (EBRD) and -5.0% (WIIW) Notes: (1) Median real GDP growth; includes PCH countries of operation in SEE/EE 2021E estimated between 3.0% (WIIW) and 5.5% (EBRD) Source: IMF World Economic Outlook, WIIW, EBRD (2020) 4 ProCredit Group | Q2 2020 results | Frankfurt am Main, 13 August 2020
Portfolio and credit risk update Update as of mid-August ► Portfolio in moratorium declined to EUR 870m as of Q2-20 Serbia’s temporary opt-out moratorium expired on 30 June 2020, new two-month opt-out moratorium announced end-July Individual client approach to credit risk management; particular focus on more affected sectors ► Increase in Stage 2 portfolio in line with expectations; continued strong coverage of 93.6% Stage 2 loans of 5.3% (4.5% as of Q1-20) driven by individual assessment of all exposures as well as restructurings Stage 3 portfolio almost constant at 2.5% (2.4% as of Q1-20) ► Provision expenses in line with expectations Update of macroeconomic assumptions within the credit risk model as a consequence of the COVID-19 pandemic resulting in EUR 8.0m provisioning expenses in H1-20 YTD provision expenses of EUR 15.7m and cost of risk of 67 bps Full year 2020 expectation for cost of risk of ca. 75 bps H1-20 provision expenses (1) 67 bps ca. 75 bps (in EUR m) Loan growth/ Stage 2 Stage 3 Macro Recoveries Other Total Estimated Stage 1 assumptions H1-20 FY 2020 Provision expenses Cost of risk (annualised) Notes: (1) Expenses are estimated based on the volume changes in each stage and their respective statistical expected loss 5 ProCredit Group | Q2 2020 results | Frankfurt am Main, 13 August 2020
Steady development in customer loans Loan Portfolio growth in Q2 2020 ► Strong growth in customer loans, above previous expectations (YTD EUR 255m/5.3%; Q2 EUR 213m/4.4%) +4.4% Recovery in demand for loans after drop in March and April Reduced lending activities of competitor banks Growth primarily driven by investment and green loans Positive impact on growth from moratoria; negative effects from foreign exchange Green Loan Portfolio growth ► Particularly strong growth of green loan portfolio (YTD EUR 9.1% 12.6% 15.4% 16.6% 17.3% 79m/9.9%; Q2 EUR 68m/8.4%) 874 795 17 Growth of green loans represents 31% of the group’s 17 678 total portfolio growth 15 489 Very high portfolio quality; default rate of the green loan 14 857 331 779 portfolio at 0.3% (2.2pp lower than for total loan portfolio) 662 15 (in EUR m) 475 316 Medium-term target for green loans of 20% of total loan portfolio (1) Dec-16 Dec-17 Dec-18 Dec-19 Jun-20 Business clients Private clients % of total loan portfolio Notes: Previous periods have been adjusted according to the scope of continuing operations as of June 2020 6 ProCredit Group | Q2 2020 results | Frankfurt am Main, 13 August 2020
Good deposit development through digital banking channels Deposits by type of client ► YOY increase of EUR 588m (+15%) Achieved through growth in business and private client deposits 4,447 3,859 Increased share of sight deposits and FlexSave 3,548 1,555 1,471 ► Strong increase in Q2 (4.2%) highlighting growing 1,292 appeal of digital approach for new and existing clients, 1,147 (in EUR m) 931 748 particularly in the pandemic context 1,745 1,508 1,456 Virtually no disruptions to regular business activity Jun-18 Jun-19 Jun-20 All branches remained open Current accounts Savings accounts TDA accounts Entire client base uses internet banking Positive impact on liquidity and interest expenses Notes: Previous periods have been adjusted according to the scope of continuing operations as of June 2020 7 ProCredit Group | Q2 2020 results | Frankfurt am Main, 13 August 2020
H1 2020 results versus guidance Guidance 2020 Actual (updated) H1 2020 8% – 10% (excl. fx effects) ► Growth of the loan portfolio 5.3% Previous: low single-digit percentage increase (1) ► Return on average equity (RoAE) positive, but lower compared to FY 2019 5.5% ► Cost-income ratio (CIR) c 70% 66.5% ► CET1 ratio > 13% 14.1% ► Dividend payout ratio 1/3 of profits 1/3 of profits Medium term: In the medium term, assuming a stable political, economic and operating environment, we see potential for around 10% p.a. growth in the total loan portfolio, a cost-income ratio (CIR) of < 60%, and a return on average equity (RoAE) of about 10%. Risk factors to guidance: Include negative economic effects from further spreading of COVID-19, major disruptions in the Eurozone, a significant change in foreign trade or monetary policy, a worsening of the interest rate margin, and pronounced exchange rate fluctuations. Notes: (1) Annualised; 8 ProCredit Group | Q2 2020 results | Frankfurt am Main, 13 August 2020
Agenda A Highlights B Group results C Asset quality D Balance sheet, capital and funding Q&A Appendix 9 ProCredit Group | Q2 2020 results | Frankfurt am Main, 13 August 2020
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